10. Liam Conway, Sr Owen J Roberts
(1 AAA)
One of
the tricky parts about the rankings is figuring out how track success is going
to equate to the XC trails. No one fits this more than Owen J Roberts stand out
Liam Conway. The junior rolled to brilliant times for a second straight track
season as he clocked a 1:53.30 and a 4:13.00 in his two primary events this
spring. Conway also took a silver and a bronze at states indoors and outdoors
respectively, his first ever state medals. The question is, how does this lightning
speed translate to the trails?
For
some, the two aren’t all that correlated, but for Conway it’s clear that he can
run the hills. He won the Centaur Invitational last year and also placed 3rd
at Foundation with a time of 16:16. That time would have been 12th
at states and #3 among returners. On the faster courses, Conway showed up as
well. In his two trips to Lehigh he ran 15:39 (7th at Paul Short)
and 15:40 (6th at Districts). The problem was, Conway didn’t have
the pop at the end of the season as a bad injury ended up hampering him at the
exact wrong moment and he finished well out of medal contention.
That
marked two years in a row where Conway was a medal contender but came up short
at states as he finished 28th there as a sophomore. However, I’m not
too concerned. He’s clearly shown he has a clutch gene, having now garnered
three state medals in his last three attempts. I think he has the potential to
be a lot like Souderton’s recent grad Connor
McMenamin. McMenamin had good success at districts but just missed medaling
at states as a sophomore and junior. Then, to cap off his senior season, Connor
placed 6th at states and top 20 at the Footlocker Northeast Regional
meet. McMenamin may be a bit more strength based than Conway, but I think Liam
could have a similar breakthrough at states this year if things click right.
9. Joe Cullen, Sr Wyomissing (3 AA)
With Jack DiCintio graduated last year,
Wyomissing lost one of their best runners in school history. But Joe Cullen
quickly stepped up to fill the hole he left. With Cullen at the helm,
Wyomissing had an excellent season, taking second at districts and qualifying for
the state championships. Joe led the way for the team with a 1st place
finish in the race. A week later at states, Cullen finished 15th for
his best ever state finish. However, he did lose to Bryce Ohl from his own district, who finished 8th.
Cullen was also 25 seconds slower than his time from the Foundation Invitational
where he had clocked a 16:30. That time would have placed him 5th
overall. All that said, a slightly off state race (if you can even call it
that) was the only blemish on Cullen’s XC resume. He won the PTXC and Berks
meets to go with his district title and was second at Foundation. Overall, he
was close to unbeatable all year.
On the
track, Cullen was somehow able to top his fall achievements. He ran a 1:55
indoors at the state final in the 800 to claim 5th overall. Then
outdoors, after winning the 3200, 1600, 800 and 4x4 at his district meet,
Cullen attempted a difficult 4x8-16-4x4 triple. He ended that with two silvers
and a gold, including a blazing 4:13 1600 PR. At the Eastern States
Championships this June, Cullen also clocked a 1:53.56 800 FTW and his best
speed performance of the year. That set his season best marks at 1:53. 4:13 and
9:33.
The
kids got all the wheels to win the AA state title this year. I honestly think
he’d be my pick to win if I had to decide right now, but thankfully I don’t.
8. Isaac Davis, Sr Jersey Shore (4
AA)
Cullen
may be the up and coming name to watch, but Jersey Shore’s Isaac Davis has
earned the right to sit across the AA rankings right now. In his past two
seasons, Davis has placed 9th and 3rd at states. He was
the top non-AAA sophomore by time in 2015 and the top non-AAA junior by time in
2016.
Those
state finishes came after Davis crushed courses around his area. He clocked a
15:54 to win Big Valley, ran 16:21 to win at Foundation and then won big at
Bloomsburg and Sunbury (both times over Tyler
Leeser). Davis is not afraid to run from the front and doesn’t back down
from a challenge which makes him tough to beat.
On the
track, Davis was off to a bit of a slow start, not quite at his dominating form
from the fall, but he got rolling at the right time, winning districts (in two
events) and then clocking a season’s best 9:36 at states in the 3200. When
Davis is healthy and locked in, there’s little anyone can do to stop him.
7. Morgan Cupp, Sr Mechanicsburg (3
AAA)
I had a
tough time placing Cupp on my list this season. As a part of one of my personal
favorite sleeper picks from last season, Mechanicsburg, Cupp and now graduated Alex Tomasko were fantastic over the XC
hills. Cupp was top 10 at PTXC (top PA returner), top 10 at Carlisle (#2 PA
returner), and then 5th at Paul Short (#2 PA returner), 6th
at Mid Penns top returner), and 5th at districts (top returner).
That’s incredible stuff in a variety of places. But always, Tomasko was nearby,
helping to push him in every race and, likely, every practice.
With
Tomasko now gone, Cupp will have a big target on his back. He’s the top
returner in District 3 and, considering the way he has excelled on the Big Spring
layout, he could be district champ in what was the toughest district in the
year last year. He’s also the #4 returner from states this past fall after
placing 13th.
Cupp
may not have the same flashy track times as others on this list, but he was
very successful this past year on the oval. He ran 4:23 for 1600 and a strong
9:32 for the 3200, a PR that came at the right time in Shippensburg. He’s
consistently improving, just like has the past three seasons on the trails. If
he continues to cut time, he’ll be dropping from a sub 15:40 PR in the 5k. That’s
scary to think about.
6. Josh Hoey, Sr Bishop Shanahan (1
AAA)
In
2016-2017, Josh Hoey not only changed schools but seemingly changed his
identity. After being a miler his first two seasons at DT West (and a pretty
successful one at that), he gradually changed his focus to the 800 meters.
Unsurprisingly, the middle Hoey shined in this event as well. He ended up
winning two states titles at 800 in dominant fashion, running a 1:49 800 to
close things out. That made him 6th in state history for the event.
So in
summary, Josh ran 1:49.37 and a 4:08.59 mile in 2017, putting him in the top 6
on the PA All-Time list in both events! And he’s still a got a year to go.
Of
course this isn’t a track list. It’s a cross country list. So let’s turn to his
XC credentials. Wait, turns out these are also pretty darn good. As a sophomore,
Josh finished 3rd at districts and states, running a blazing 15:49
on Hershey’s hills (the same time as Dominic
Hockenbury). He also ran under 12:30 at Manhattan and was the team’s #1
runner in DT West’s regional championship. Even while at Shanahan, he still
clocked a 15:37 at Carlisle (top PA returner) and won a Ches-mont title.
Doesn’t
seem like there’s much to complain about here, because there isn’t. That being
said, Hoey gets the #6 spot for now because it’s unclear how much, if at all,
XC will be a focus for him. Clearly, he’s got the talent to win the title if he
wants to pursue it, but last year he changed course later in the year and ended
up passing on states completely (which worked out pretty well on the track). If
Josh’s head is in something, he does big things, but if it’s not, I think he’s beatable
for any of the names surrounding him on this list.
Shanahan
is an interesting wild card team with both Josh and Jonah Hoey, Logan Yoquinto,
Jack Ettien and Jon McGrory. That’s a team that could make a run at one of the
state team spots. So that may be enough incentive to get Hoey fired up this
fall. If so, watch for him to shoot up this list toward the very top.
Shanahan on paper may be the only team capable of challenging CRN for the state AAA title this year. But their history leans toward other objectives. The ranking is probably not low enough based on potential but to high based on what's likely.
ReplyDeleteI wouldn't count out Seneca Valley either. They only lose one of their top 5 and would need a new number 5 to step up,
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