It’s been almost two weeks since Josh Hoey made the
country’s jaws drop with his massive national record of 1:47.67 in the 800
meters. The Bishop Shanahan senior has always been a strong distance runner-he
had two state championships at 800 and mile wins at the Penn Relays, Millrose
Games and Boston Indoor. But this record was unlike anything we’ve seen from
him before.
On Boston’s lightening quick track, Josh stormed through
the four lap race and held his own in a group of semi-pros and top flight
collegiate athletes. His record time was a massive PR indoors or out. He had
clocked 1:49.37 last summer at Junior Nationals (his previous best) and owned a
1:51.49 indoor 800 best from February 15th of this year. However you
can throw all those PRs out the window as, in a year of big half mile
breakthroughs for many PA stand outs, Josh skipped the 1:48s entirely and
shattered Robby Andrew’s national record of 1:49.21 by over a second and a
half.
I can still remember Robby’s national record. At the time
it was an absurd run-no one had ever broken 1:50 indoors before and he brought
it all the way down to 1:49.2. Just a year later, Robby went on to win the
indoor NCAA title at 800 and run 1:45 outdoors. He finished runner-up in Eugene
to Olympian superstar Andrew Wheating that outdoor season. Andrews has since
become a multi-time national team qualifier in the 1500 (including a USA title
last year) and a world championship finalist.
Indoors has changed a lot since Andrews broke that
record. Although no one could quite eclipse him, guys have been knocking on the
door of history starting with Ben Malone’s sub 1:50 as a junior in 2012 and
most notably Cameron Cooper’s 1:49.46 just last year. Now, however, it’s Hoey
who sits across the standings. This time isn’t just fast for indoor race
either, it puts Josh at #7 ever for high schools. He’s within 1.22 seconds of
Mike Granville’s legendary 1996 record of 1:46.45. Nobody has been in the 1:46s
since Granville did it and the closest we’ve seen anybody get to that record
this century is Donovan Brazier (1:47.55 in 2015). Hoey’s in a similar spot
with months still left to go.
By the way, when Hoey ran his mark, it put him in the top
70 Americans ever for indoor track.
Only 10 guys in the NCAA have faster marks than the Oregon according to TFRRS
and he actually beat 2015 NCAA runner up Dylan Capwell head to head during the
record. Unsurprisingly, Hoey’s run is a PA record for indoors (by nearly 3
seconds) or outdoors (by almost a full second). PA now has two individual distance
state records that were set indoors (Noah Affolder set the two mile record at
nationals last year) and Carlisle’s DMR from indoors a year ago is our fastest
of that relay on any surface.
Clearly the indoor landscape is changing. Sometimes PA’s
top indoor performers struggle to hit those same times outdoors so there will
be pressure on Hoey as he moves forward. I’d imagine the big goals for him now
would be centered around a few things-national outdoor record in the 800, sub 4
minutes in the mile, making the US Junior World Team for Finland this July. The
sub 4 list is short, but it’s been growing at a much more rapid pace in recent
years. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Hoey chase some fast opportunities-including
a run on his future home track out in Oregon and perhaps some local
professional races at Princeton, Swarthmore or Penn. That 800 national record
will be perhaps the hardest target of them all, but Josh has a huge head start
on everyone else who has chased it in history.
I’d love to see Shanahan throw some relays together.
Without Josh, they were in the mix for a state title indoors and have the
pieces to win the DMR at the Penn Relays like Drew Hunter did with Loudon
Valley a few years back. The Shanahan 4x8 could also make a run at a sub 7:40
time or a big Penn Relays performance. They will be qualified for PR based on
their 7:49 from December last year.
As I’ve speculated before, I think this may be the end of
Josh Hoey at state championship meets. After passing on the indoor state
championship this year (and the decision paying off with a national record) he
seems likely that he will chase top notch competition during the spring, keep a
relatively light race schedule and look to extend his senior into the World
Junior Championships this summer. He could be a dark horse medal contender if
things break right.
Assuming this is it, Josh will graduate with two
individual state championships at 800 and a team title in XC. He has two top 10
finishes in XC at states and has led two different teams into the top 5 in the
final standings, including a surprising run from Shanahan this year. He was
also the #1 man on PA’s only ever NXN Regional Champions as just a sophomore.
Josh anchored DT West to a state medal in the DMR as a freshman, medaled at
states in 1600 as a freshman, ran 4:17 for the mile as a freshman. He was 2nd
in the mile indoor, 3rd in the 1600 outdoors and pulled down two
more golds as a member of the DT West 4x4 as a sophomore. He won the Penn
Relays mile as a sophomore. Junior year, he grabbed those two state golds at
800 meters and helped Shanahan to a 4x4 state title. Back to back seasons he
was a part of the indoor state championship team.
There are no questions about his accomplishments. The
only question is: what’s next?
with his brother and him both getting ready for Oregon I think Josh has fantastic mentorship in terms of racing. I agree with you that he will keep the schedule light; frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if he goes a bit lighter with training as well. he is still young, so there is no need to break his body down with high school racing or over training by himself as a 17 or 18 year old. (although he might be training with his brother Jaxson now???)
ReplyDeletePart of me hopes we don't see him again until Penn Relays and that we don't see him again until the end of May for a couple meets. Like the skill and development of Robby Andrew's, I really really hope Josh takes his time, stays healthy, and has fun :)
Right before states I was going to post a prediction but I couldn't guess what Shanahan would do. I figured they'd go for the team win and maybe load up the DMR if they needed the points so I thought Josh might be in for at least 3 events. The 2nd to last thing I would have thought was that he wouldn't run states at all but the absolute last thing I would have thought was that he would absolutely crush a national record.
ReplyDeleteSince he went 1:49.3 outdoors last year the 1:49.2 indoor was within his potential. So in a perfect race I might have predicted he'd get it by a .10 or .20. But 1:47.67? He absolutely destroyed it. That's just amazing for anyone, let alone a high school runner, so congrats to him on a remarkable performance.
Who knows what's planned for Hoey for the rest of his high school career but I'd love to see him take a crack at sub-4 in the mile. With 1:49 800 speed it was possible but now 1:47 makes it seem like he'd have a real good shot if in the right mile race. I think there are only 10 high school runners who have ever broken 4:00, that'd be some nice company to be in and maybe worth giving it a shot.
- RJJL
So many things would have to go right for him to break 4:00 this year, I don't think he's shaving 8 seconds off his pr at this stage.
ReplyDeleteI've read that Mr. and Mrs. Hoey were both college runners. If either of them could still throw down a sub-70 400 it's very feasible that the Hoey family could go sub 10:00 in the DMR right now. That is incredible. - JEB
ReplyDeleteSt Joe Prep 4x400 took down the state record.
ReplyDeletehttp://pa.milesplit.com/articles/235427-ptfca-indoor-track-field-all-state-teams-announced
ReplyDeleteI know all-state teams don't mean anything, but how can you put the NATIONAL RECORD HOLDER as 2nd team? I'm hoping they just screwed up and meant to say Josh was 1st team 800/2nd team mile and Liam 1st team mile/2nd team 800, which is much more understandable.
Mile leader by 8 seconds with a 4:07, Millrose winner, yup that's first team. 800 leader by 6 seconds with a national record 1:47, yup that's first team too. For as good as Conway was at states there's no way he's first team this year. That seems like a not so transparent attempt to just spread out the awards
DeleteHe should be first team All Time Pa in the 800, how could he not be first team PA the year he set a national record? What a farce.
DeleteSo the 2nd Team All State 800 runner ran a time nearly six seconds faster than the 1st Team guy and 3.24 faster than the New Balance Indoor National winner?
DeleteWho votes on these things?
That's an insult to the sport.
Delete