By Jarrett
Felix
Noah
Affolder and his brother Sam took the trip back to New York for another run at
the McQuaid Invitational. The
Carlisle duo took 1-3 in the AAA seeded race with Noah breaking his own course
record with a 14:12 solo victory. Sam ran a 14:53 over the 3 mile distance to
take 3rd in his section, a five second improvement on his mark a
year ago. For reference, PA’s old fastest time on the course belonged to Andrew
Marston, who ran 14:31 to win the meet in 2014. In the same year, Sam Webb
clocked a 14:58 and future state runner-ups Conestoga put five runners under 16
minutes.
Besides
the Affolders dominating in AAA, PA also had a fantastic showing in the A race.
Zach Wortman of Elk County Catholic led the way for Pa with a strong 15:22 for
4th in his section. The Elk CC boys also had Logan Hoffman under the
16 minute barrier (15:49) with three more packed together under 16:20. That
helped the Elks finish in second overall. This A squad has turned heads
recently as the primary contenders to Winchester Thurston for the state title.
Both teams will be relying heavily on freshman in the scoring five as Elk’s #4
and #5 runners were both freshman (and it looks like the younger brothers of
their #1 and #2 runners).
Wortman’s
run was impressive not just for the team implications, but also the individual
ones. He defeated a pair of top 10 guys from last year’s state meet in Donovan
Myers (6th in 15:29) and Noah Curtin (10th in 15:45). It’s
going to be an interesting year in A with so much variability at the top and
District 9 (which also has the Cranberry boys and Ryan Thrush) should be a
treat this year. Also making noise in this race was Northeast Bradford’s Casey
Ellis, who dropped a 15:31 to finish 7th overall. Behind Ellis, NEB
was 6th as a team, just ahead of District 10 squads Seneca and
Mercyhurst Prep. NEB, a perennial top 5 team in A, finished 3rd at
states a year ago, just 17 points off gold. Ellis was 36th at states
a year ago, but is looking like a threat to finish much higher this time
around.
Keep an
eye on Montrose going forward. It looks like this team may have moved to A this
season which should make them instant contenders out of District 2 (the home of
Elk Lake who finished 8th a year ago). Montrose was PA’s #2 team in the
A race and was led by a sub 16 performance from junior Brandon Curley. Montrose
finished 3rd in D2 AA a year ago and returns their entire top 7 for
this season. Zack Mead (16:03 for 19th overall) was the team’s lone
state qualifier a year ago. Also worth noting, District 11’s John Koons of
Notre Dame GP (still AA I think?) ran 16:04 for 20th in this race.
The sophomore was the #1 runner on his team a year ago as just a frosh and
placed 62nd at states. There were 14 frosh in the top 85 at AA
states a year ago which is bananas to me. For comparison there were just 5 in A
and 0 in AAA.
Out
West, Noah Beveridge of Butler rolled to the individual championship at Slippery Rock clocking a time of 16:26
to win by 22 seconds over Harbor Creek’s Ryan Starvaggi and Mount Lebanon’s
Bryce Brandenstein. Last year, the race was won by Peters Township’s Nick Wolk
(the eventual district champ) in 16:28. The time is also nearly 40 seconds
faster than what Beveridge clocked on the district championship course last
year. Harbor Creek took 2-4-15 in this race, without their 2014 state medalist
Christian Babo. They finished 6th in the team standings (second for
AA schools behind Central Cambria), but could potentially jump 50 plus points
with Babo back in the line-up (assuming he’s healthy) which would jump them
into second (as mentioned in our comment section by the way). But Central
Cambria deserves a lot of credit right now. Even after losing Bryce Descavish,
the team’s catalyst out front a season ago, a young group has competed very well
in the early invites. CC had two frosh and two sophs in its scoring five and
were led by senior Mike Walwro, who placed 17th.
Mount
Lebanon rolled to the team title with a strong, well spread pack. They have a
very interchangeable group of runners in the varsity squad (Rob Doncourt was
their #8 this weekend but can definitely be a top 5 guy on the right day) which
makes them dangerous at a big meet. They had 11 guys in the top 39 overall.
Really
nice run from Freeport’s Jonathan Asay, who ran under 17 minutes and took 5th
overall. He was just outside the top 20 at AA WPIAL’s last year (in 17:59) but
should contend for a top spot in the loaded district (they return 8 of their top
10 from 2015).
In the
hilly Grove City course, sophomore
Jonah Powell rolled to a 16:14 victory, winning by nearly 30 seconds over Czar
Tarr of Chartiers Valley. It’s roughly 50 seconds faster than he ran a year ago
and faster than past AA state medalists Aaron Benka, Andrew Maxwell and Ryan
Budnik ran in 2014. One of Grove City’s all-time greats, Jacob Kildoo, ran
almost an identical time his sophomore year in 2008. He ran 16:14 to win by 48
seconds. He finished 17th at AAA states that season.
Grove
City was also able to win the team battle in a tight battle with Chartiers
Valley. They scored 35 to CV’s 66 with the race hinging on the 4-5 runners for
both teams. CV had a terrific season a year ago and looks like they are ready
to make a nice run in the WPIAL this season with their top 4 set to return next
year. Grove City on the other hand, will be trying to get their title this
season with 3 seniors in the top 5 overall. Behind the Powell brothers, who
have been their 1-2 punch at the last two invites, we’ve seen a lot of
variability from GC’s varsity scorers. Braydon Pyle (two times in the top 30 at
states already), moved up from #7 to #3 this week.
Great
races were also produced by Meadville’s freshman Patrick Stevens (17:01 for 5th)
and Michael Noethiger of Avonworth (11th overall).
In Delaware, PA had a monster showing at the Salesianum Invitational. In the large school race, Casey Conboy and Avery Lederer battle it out all the way to the finish, with Conboy throwing down a monster kick to leave with gold. Conboy and Lederer ran blazing times of 16:32 and 16:35 on this difficult lay out. Our own Garrett Zatlin was on site and posted up on all-time list on our twitter page that's worth checking out. These kind of times put Conboy and Lederer in a league with guys like Conner Quinn, Sam Hibbs and Casey Comber during their state medalist years.
Ben Hoyer of Wissahickon had a terrific race as well, dipping under 17 minutes with a 16:59. No other PA varsity racers were under 17:20 (that's how difficult the course is). The team title race was a tight one, but ultimately Great Valley edged out Cheltenham and Baldwin to grab the title. Just 7 points separated GV and Chelt with an extra 8 back from the Panthers to Baldwin. Great Valley's #2 and #3 performances by sophomore Hayden Coates and senior Everett Beauregard played a big role in separating the Patriots from Cheltenham. GV returns 4 out of their top 5, including their top 2 runners in Zatlin and Coates, for next season.
In Delaware, PA had a monster showing at the Salesianum Invitational. In the large school race, Casey Conboy and Avery Lederer battle it out all the way to the finish, with Conboy throwing down a monster kick to leave with gold. Conboy and Lederer ran blazing times of 16:32 and 16:35 on this difficult lay out. Our own Garrett Zatlin was on site and posted up on all-time list on our twitter page that's worth checking out. These kind of times put Conboy and Lederer in a league with guys like Conner Quinn, Sam Hibbs and Casey Comber during their state medalist years.
Ben Hoyer of Wissahickon had a terrific race as well, dipping under 17 minutes with a 16:59. No other PA varsity racers were under 17:20 (that's how difficult the course is). The team title race was a tight one, but ultimately Great Valley edged out Cheltenham and Baldwin to grab the title. Just 7 points separated GV and Chelt with an extra 8 back from the Panthers to Baldwin. Great Valley's #2 and #3 performances by sophomore Hayden Coates and senior Everett Beauregard played a big role in separating the Patriots from Cheltenham. GV returns 4 out of their top 5, including their top 2 runners in Zatlin and Coates, for next season.
In the small school race, PA put another runner under the 17 minute barrier: Peter Borger of Malvern Prep. This kid has quietly emerged as a big sleeper in the Independent League as just a junior. Behind Dahl, he might be the next best guy in the league. Callahan Lennon of HG Prep ran a terrific race as well, clocking a 17:05 for 3rd just behind Borger. HGP rolled to the team title as well with 6 in the top 26 and 4 in the top 15.
At the Westtown Invitational, Brandon Hontz of
West Chester Rustin returned to action with a strong win over independent
league stand out Ryan O’Donnell at his home invite. The times were right in
line with Charlie Scales’s winning effort a year earlier. The big news for
Ches-mont fans was that DT West won the meet without their varsity runners. Ben
Codd, who was the team’s #7 runner in the varsity race at Carlisle, led the way
with a 3rd place finish overall and Payton Sewall, their #3 runner
from the JV race at Carlisle, finished in 4th place just behind him.
Aidan Peat, who was the team’s #8 runner in the JV race at Carlisle, dropped
roughly 10 seconds from a week ago and finished at the team’s final scoring
member of the varsity squad. West also rolled through the JV race at Westtown,
taking the top 8 spots overall.
In my eyes, other than the obvious favorites Dwest, every other team in the chesmont will be leaping at that runner up spot. Every team truly has something going for them.
ReplyDeleteWCH- They're Henderson, cmon
Unionville-Tight pack, beat WCH at Oberod
WCE-Runner up's in White race at Paul Short, young team
Avon Grove- Won Bulldog
GV-Won Salesianum
Rustin-Great 1-4, need #5
Shanahan-Plagued with injuries, but they have a buttload of natural talent.
This league is such a tossup this year, but I'll say this, unless someone makes a definitive statement over the rest of the league as a runner up behind Dwest, none of these teams have a legitimate shot at states. Too many good teams from Suburban, PAC, central, etc.
This just isn't WCH's year. The legacy appears to be over.
ReplyDeleteThey've lost by a lot to DTW, Avon Grove, WCE and Unionville. No states this year for the first time in probably a decade.
DeleteWhen did they lose to WCE? And they lost to uville by 4? Without Smucker? Avon Grove beat Henderson by ONE point? Again without Smucker? I agree with that they most likely won't make states but to suddenly slot them behind these teams seems a little crazy.
DeleteHenderson lost to East last week, they were nearly shut out.
DeleteHenderson and Dwest both jogged that meet...
DeleteNo way the coaches of those programs disrespect the competition by throwing the race.
DeleteSo you legitimately believe WCE beat Dwest??????
Delete^ this
Deletehttp://pa.milesplit.com/meets/253254/results/473547/formatted#.V_PX6MspDqA feel free to look for yourselves.
DeleteWCE was the only team running the race wearing spikes. That should tell you all you need to know.
DeleteD3 has so many better teams at 1,2,3 over D1. I wonder how strain would analyze this versus D1 depth through 5 at the state meet.
ReplyDeleteConestoga came out of nowhere to be in the mix.
ReplyDeleteQuestion: if all other factors are the same (same day, same weather, same fitness etc.) which course is faster, Carlisle or Lehigh?
ReplyDeleteCarlisle, by about 10-15 seconds.
DeleteNo way Carlisle is faster course. Just faster runners. Up until this year nobody suggested that.
ReplyDeleteDwest racing at Manhattan against Carlisle this weekend, should help solidify whether or not Carlisle are the favorites or not. Also, if they do, who will Dwest race at chesmonts, which is 2 days later?
ReplyDeleteLa Salle is also in that race
DeleteLast year they did the same thing and still raced enough of their varsity guys to run away with the meet and Henderson was a state qualifying team last year so they ran a pretty good group.
DeleteDwest JV can handle Chesmonts this year. There's several decent teams but only one in the states talk. It's really a down year for what had been the premier league in the state for many years.
DeleteChes Monts prediction (assuming D West runs their whole team two days after Manhattan)
ReplyDeleteIndividual
1. Hoey BS
2. Smucker WCH
3-5. Bullock, Allansky, O'Niell (no specific order they'll probably run together tho) DTW
6. Hontz WCR
7. Maxwell Kennett
8. Dusseau AG
9-11. Barton, Blair, Rollins DTW
12. Lewin WCE (first frosh)
Teams
1. DTW
2-3. AG and Henderson. This is just too close to call, early in the season I woulda just went with WCH but AGs top three at Paul Short really impressed me so this could go either way. If you put a gun to my head and said I had to pick one I'd go with AG.
4. Unionville
Henderson and Shanahan are going to Manhattan too. Chances are DTW runs 3 varsity as a tempo to get enough low places and their depth handles the rest. Since WCH can't win Smucker will probably run it as a tempo too, grabbing something in the top 10. The Hoey's will probably be taking the meet off and cheering their teammates on. So it wouldn't be suprising if Hontz or Maxwell wins it, sort of like when Cummings won a few years back when WCH's great team held back at this meet.
DeleteI doubt smucker will hold back bc his team can't win it. Especially if Hoey is sitting out he'll be gunning for that league title. There's just no reason to hold back he doesn't have another race for 18 days at districts.
DeleteAlso Josh Hoey came back from Manhattan last year to win the Ches mont meet so it's not unheard of for Manhattan guys to show up and bring it at ches monts
DeleteI wouldn't put avon grove over Henderson but good list
ReplyDeleteIn a tri-meet yesterday (10/4) between North Allegheny, Seneca Valley, and Hampton, SV took the top 3 spots over NA running 16:32, 16:34, 16:35 at a difficult Hartwood Acres course and handed NA it's first section defeat in over a decade.
ReplyDeleteDual meets usually don't mean anything but wow that's big
DeleteMid 16:30s on that Hartwood course is absurd. Ran that course quite a few times running for Lebo and it is no joke. Seneca Valley is looking quite strong this year, didn't expect them to be this solid with the departure of Kolor, but it seems that a lot of guys have stepped up, especially Owori.
DeleteManhattan Prediction (PA only)
ReplyDelete1. Carlisle - 1-3 punch too much to overcome. this should come down to 4-6 and how they can handle a big meet.
2. LaSalle - 1-3 to continue to progress with a tight pack behind them
3. DW - This is going to be a close battle with LaSalle. Very deep team. It comes down to 1-3 for LaSalle vs 1-3 for DW.
1. Noah A 12:06
2. Nick Dahl 12:21
3. Hoey 12:24
4. Sam A. 12:27
Affolder has a very legit shot at going under 12
DeleteMeet record is 11:55 (Cheserek). He is not quite in Cheserek's level but he has a good chance to dip below 12. Been raining a lot so course might not be as fast.
DeleteThat win by SV over NA is big. NA takes league meets seriously. Why is Manhattan so short and not a 5K? Chestmonts has been reduced to a glorified dual meet.
ReplyDeleteDelaware county championship is this weekend too and that meet is taken very seriously by the DELCO schools.
DeleteDoes anyone know why ches monts is so early? A league championship on October 10th and three weeks before districts is stupid. There's a full slate of invitationals this weekend, headlined by Manhattan. The meet should be moved to the 14th or 15th. Athletes are still given two weeks before districts and no one has to run two invitationals in three days.
ReplyDeleteMaybe because they don't take it seriously.
DeleteMy understanding is that it is held each year on Columbus Day because the host school (Unionville) is only willing to host it when school is not in session.
DeleteRustin is a legitimate threat in D1 now.
ReplyDelete