50. Anthony Harper, Sr Bonner (12
AA)
The boys
from Bonner have rolled in District 12 AA in recent years, but perhaps none of
their champions improved as consistently as Harper did in 2016-2017. Harper
finished 12th at the Foundation Invite in September and then,
against a deeper field, took home 14th at the PIAA State
Championships in crunch time. That was one spot ahead of Wyomissing’s Joe Cullen.
During
indoors, Harper opened up with a 9:35 3k but then a few weeks later he was doubling
4:37 and 9:10 at PCLs. By outdoors, Harper ran 9:39 for the full 3200 distance,
4:26 for 1600 and even flashed some speed with a 2:02 800. He even picked up a
victory against Souderton’s multi-time state medalist Connor McMenamin at the Haverford Invitational.
Harper
has strong upside for the 2017 season, showing a lot of potential after making
a big jump in his junior season. But he can’t slow up in his progression,
especially after the team graduated a key training partner in Dave Whitfield (their only other sub 21
minute finisher at states this past year). He also will need to prove himself
as a top 5 runner in the PCL if he wants to hold this spot on the list. In that
league, he’ll get plenty of chances to battle the best.
49. Evan Dorenkamp, Jr Manheim
Township (3 AAA)
Manheim
Township’s talented sophomore was 25th a year ago at the District 3
Championships, punching a ticket for his first state championships. But District’s
wasn’t even his fastest result as Dorenkamp actually covered the same Big
Spring layout three seconds faster in early September. That got Dorenkamp on my
radar, but he really came alive in the spring.
This past
track season, Dorenkamp clocked a 1:58 for 800 meters and a 4:23 full mile to
end the year at Henderson. He also was likely the key cog in Manheim Township’s
impressive 7:57.44 4x800 clocking. That whole 4x8 is listed as returning for
next season by the way.
Dorenkamp
should have a nice training pocket as Manheim Township returns their 4x8 relay
and a strong 3200 runner in Ian Miller
who ran in the 9:40s his freshman season. I like this 1-2 punch, I like the
young core and I like the potential for Dorenkamp to have a breakthrough as he
makes the sophomore-junior jump. All that being said, he has to prove that his great
speed improvements can translate to the tough hills he’ll have to face in the
major XC championships.
49. Christian Groff, Sr Hempfield
(3 AAA)
Hempfield
has produced top 50 finishers at states each of the past three seasons and
their team success as put this program on the map when it comes time for the
top 50 rankings. Even in a down year last fall, Hempfield still qualified three
individuals for the state championship including the district’s 17th
place finisher Christian Groff and the state’s 19th place finisher Nick Norton.
Groff
was running all season along top 50 types, including his own teammates Norton
and Max Lessans. At this year’s Paul
Short Invite, Groff clocked a 15:54, just ahead of Sean Rahill and Carlos
Shultz. At Carlisle, Groff clocked a 16:11, just ahead of Yahya Soliman and less than ten seconds
back of state medalists Jake O’Neill
and Spencer Smucker.
On the
track, Groff had his best season yet, running 4:26 for 1600. He also likely
played a big role in the team’s 7:58 4x800 clocking that qualified them for
states. Christian’s brother, Matt Groff,
was a 4:16 miler and 2nd place finisher at Districts a few years
back.
Groff
has a lot of talent and a great training group at Hempfield. He also has a ton
of experience on the Hershey course, as he has competed there each of the past
three seasons. However, he’s still looking to break into the top 50 on the
difficult lay out. He made great strides a year ago, but he will need to really
focus up for the Hershey hills if he wants to end this season on this list.
47. Colin Cramer, Sr Southern
Lehigh (11 AAA)
Southern
Lehigh made a big statement this past season when they finished 2nd
at the District 11 Championships, punching a surprise ticket to states ahead of
Easton and Stroudsburg. Southern Lehigh did it with pack running, putting their
top 5 in the top 17 overall, but scoring no top 5 finishers. Southern Lehigh
will return four of those five this coming fall and be hungry to not just make
it back to states, but unseat the always dangerous Parkland squad from their
perch atop the district.
I
actually considered two Southern Lehigh guys for this spot as I was going
through the rankings. Shout out to Thomas
Matsumura who has qualified for states each of the past three seasons and
ran 4:23 at districts this past spring. But ultimately, I opted to give Cramer
the nod. Cramer was the #5 runner at districts, but turned it around and
finished as the team’s #1 at states. On the track is where he really stepped
things up. After just a 9:45 indoor 3k, Cramer clocked a 9:33 outdoors for 3200
and finished second at districts behind only Seth Slavin of Pleasant Valley.
Cramer
still has a lot to prove as he didn’t even break 17 minutes for 5k last season
in major invitationals, but Southern Lehigh also raced on some of the toughest
courses PA has to offer. I’d be either he or Matsumura has a big year the upcoming
fall and the Southern Lehigh team could really surprise some people.
46. Chayce Macknair, Jr Mifflin
County (6 AAA)
You may
not have noticed, but Mifflin County quietly emerged as a team of the future
out in District 6 last year. Chayce Macknair, Seth Phillips and Chase
Sheaffer, two sophomores and a freshman, all broke 17 minutes for 5k last
year at Carlisle’s Invitational. Plus, they were all top 7 finishers at
Districts. On the track, Macknair and Phillips both qualified for the state
championships, running 4:23 and 1:55 respectively. This is a core that could
make big strides in 2017-2018.
Macknair
showed real distance potential all through track season. He come on very strong
toward the end of XC, but blossomed on the track. His 4:23 state qualifying
performance behind Owen Wing was
just a piece of the puzzle. Macknair also clocked a 9:33 to win the Mid Penn
3200 over big names like Alex Tomasko,
Morgan Cupp and Kyler Shea. That’s
some real strength for a sophomore.
Chayce
is another guy who fits the buzzword “potential”. What I saw on the track indicates
this guy has the ability to compete for a AAA state medal in the fall. But potential
doesn’t win races. Let’s see if he can build off the experience he picked up
last year and become a serious medal contender for the first time.
45. Owen Isham, Jr State College (6
AAA)
It’s no
coincidence that Isham and Macknair are right next to one another on my
rankings. These two classmates have been stalking each other for the past 12
months and this season should bring some epic rematches. At Mid Penns for XC,
Isham defeated Macknair by 4 spots. At Districts, Isham finished ahead of
Macknair by just one spot. Then, during the outdoor season, Macknair made a
jump and bested Isham in their dual meet and the WCC meet over 3200.
But
what gets Isham the marginally better spot in the rankings was his impressive
finish at the State Championships this past fall. As just a sophomore, Isham
put on a brilliant kick and moved all the way up to 47th overall in the
state standings. That made him the #5 sophomore in the state (and #4 when you
remove the transferring Sam Affolder).
Finishing top 50 as a sophomore is typically a great sign. Two years ago, Ryan Campbell of CR North was 42nd
at states as a sophomore and he finished 7th this past season. Now
that doesn’t mean Isham is locked in for a top 10 spot next season, but it does
speak to his excellence at a young age.
The
other big upside here is that State College has really developed into an XC
power. After a long stretch without a state medalist, the Little Lions have had
medalists every year since 2013, qualified for states as a team every year, and
finished 7th last year in a clutch performance. This team knows how
to rise to the occasion and that will hopefully translate to Isham as he
pursues a top 25 finish this fall.
44. Cole Walker, So Unionville (1
AAA)
As
mentioned, there were five sophomores in the top 50 in AAA for last fall’s
state championship. And that was actually on the lower side. Four out of the
previous five seasons included 7 top 50 sophomores including 10 sophomore
medalists. Considering how talented the freshmen were this past season, it’s
not crazy to expect a breakthrough from at least one of these outstanding
runners.
Unionville
is a great distance program that has produced three separate state champions at
3200 and two different national qualifiers. Last year, they had the top
sophomore in district one in James
Conway and by the end of the spring they had arguably the best freshman.
Cole Walker clocked a 9:29.77 at the district championships for 3200, under the
SQS in the event. He also ran 4:29 for 1600 to help bolster his case.
Walker’s
XC credentials are bit more up in the air, but training alongside a proven
state qualifier in Conway should be helpful. He did run 16:39 at districts as
just a freshman and place top 10 in the Oberod Invitational. The list of sub
9:30 3200 freshman is pretty short and most, if not all, of the guys who have
cracked that list have ended up being special on the trails. Off the top of my
head Reiny Barchet, Jake Brophy and Sam Webb are the guys who have run similar marks and all three
ended being top 7 finishers at states before they hung up their spikes.
It may
not happen right away for Walker as sophomores typically come on late in the
season, but once he gets rolling he might be a force to be reckoned with.
43. Josh Lewin, So WC East (1 AAA)
Again,
the order here is not a coincidence. While Walker was clocking a blazing 9:29
3200, league rival and fellow freshman Josh Lewin was just one spot behind in
9:31. Lewin actually was ahead of Walker in the state rankings when he ran 9:41
at Henderson’s Invite and placed 3rd overall in the 2nd
section, ahead of proven XC runners like Ethan
Koza and Drew Alansky.
If you
take a look at Lewin’s XC credentials, they are quite strong. He ran 16:26 at
Paul Short last year, taking 9th in the White Race and also 10th
at Ches-monts and 63rd at Districts in 16:31. While Lewin doesn’t
have a teammate quite on Conway’s level, he does have a strong group of
returners that could be a sleeper squad in District One, especially if Lewin
drags everyone forward by making a jump.
42. Jake Underwood, Sr Wilson (3
AAA)
Underwood
has been a stand out for Wilson since his sophomore season. He placed 11th
at Districts that year, running 16:19. As a junior, Underwood clocked a very
quick 16:08 at the Carlisle Invitational to start off his junior season and
then was second at the Berks County Championships. Things were looking great
for Underwood as a potential medal contender, especially as a part of a Wilson
team that has proven they can peak at the right time. However, it was senior Evan Royko, not Underwood who ended up
being the top dog for Wilson in the final two meets, placing 14th at
districts and then cracking the top 40 at states.
Underwood
had the potential to be right along his teammate. He ran through two miles
stride for stride with Royko but couldn’t quite hold on. If he was a top 50
finisher last year, he would shoot even further up this list given his resume
in other aspects.
That
resume includes a 9:30.92 clocking for 3200 this past spring, a time that was
fast enough to punch his ticket for the state championships in this event. He
also won the Berks title at 3200. The guy is improving and he’s probably very
motivated after his XC season didn’t finish quite the way he wanted to. He’s
not a name that we talk about much, but Underwood should be a name on everyone’s
radar this fall.
41. Tyler Wirth, Jr Wallenpaupack
(2 AAA)
Tyler
Wirth ran 4:17, split 1:53 and qualified for a state finals in AAA, all as just
a sophomore. That right there sounds like a resume that even top 10 guys can’t
boast. However, there’s one probably with throwing Wirth up on a Cross Country
ranking sheet. Based on his milesplit profile, he’s never run cross country
before.
The talent
is there for Wirth if he decides to make a move to the trails in the fall. He
could be an instant contender for a district championship. Plus, he’s have a
strong teammate in Thomas Johnson, who ran 16:20 at Paul Short last year. If
Wirth does opt for XC, he will join a district landscape that returns the top
11 (!) finishers from last year’s championships including more than one medal
contender. I’m keeping my fingers crossed.
Awesome first couple 10, starting to get me really excited for XC. My only problem here is Wirth. It seems a little unfair to bother taking a top 50 spot for someone who is entering their junior year and has never run XC nor shown any initiative to.
ReplyDeleteThat's a fair point. I have a strong feeling we see him on the Hershey hills this fall, but it's no lock. I was thinking about it more from a "I want to say I called it" perspective, but not from a "people work hard to make this list and its a honor to some to be mention" perspective. I'm going to drop in an honorary #51: Andrew Healy, So Holy Cross (2 A). This freshman was awesome last year and by the end of track season ran 9:50 for 3200 at states and won the D2 3200 title. He was in a great spot with 2 miles to go at states this past fall and then had a tough time hanging on. Wouldn't be surprised if, a year strong, he comes back with a top 10 or even top 5 finish in A this fall.
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