Team Rankings: AA Schools
Honorable Mention: Warrior Run
10. Central Cambria (District 6)
Early
Season MVP: Ike Haycisak
If
Central Cambria wants to make a leap from 16th (last year) into the
top 10, they will need guys like Ike to continue to impress. He wasn’t on last
year’s state finals squad, but showcased some of his skills in the Red Devils
first season invite.
Biggest
Strength: Depth
This is
a pretty deep squad filled with a variety of young talent. That should keep
everyone motivated, hungry and disciplined.
Keep
An Eye On: The Team’s Identity
It’s
going to sound silly, but I think teams run better when they have an identity.
Some are a pack team, some rely on their front running and just need the 4-5 to
bring things home. I’m not sure what CC’s identity is just yet. Once I figure
it out, I’ll have a better feel for their state finish.
9. Wyomissing (District 3)
Early
Season MVP: Matt Driben
Biggest
Strength: Secretiveness
I haven’t
seen any big results from this squad just yet. I was super high on them in the preseason,
but they are playing their cards close to the vest so far. They should be fresh
and no one will have a good scouting report on them just yet.
Keep
An Eye On: If They Run A Race
Wyomissing
is still a school right?
8. Holy Redeemer (District 2)
Early
Season MVP: Bryce Zapusek
The
team’s #1 runner has been reliable in the team’s major invites. He is picking
up right where he left off last year as the team’s #1 runner at states.
Biggest
Strength: Lots Of Choices For A Step-Up Star
This
team has a 2-6 that I really like. Any of those guys could become the #2 runner
on the right day. That means if this squad clicks at the right time (not unprecedented
for this historically strong program) they could really surprise at states.
Keep
An Eye On: Who Rises To The Occasion
We’ve
seen flashes, but who will actually carry the mantle on race day? Zapusek was
the team’s #1 by over a minute in Hershey. There are guys who can run with him,
but who will be ready to step up and accept the challenge?
7. New Castle (District 7)
Early
Season MVP: LeShawn Huff
There
was a lot of high expectations for Huff after he won the WPIAL 1600 title last
year, but he has risen to the challenge. Huff has become a top 50 list caliber
performer after being a relative unknown last season on the state stage.
Biggest
Strength: Improved Front Running
At last
year’s WPIAL championship, New Castle missed out on a state championship birth
by just 1 point. That was, at least in part, due to the fact that they had no
top 15 finishers in the meet while South Fayette (who out tie breakered them)
had two guys in the top 5 (WPIAL champs Greensburg Salem had 4 in the top 16).
This year they have Huff, they have a more seasoned Litrenta (their #1 at
WPIALs last year as a frosh) and they have some freshmen stand outs emerging as
well.
Keep
An Eye On: Those Emerging Freshmen
Jonah
Miller and Zac Gibson (huge race at Sharpsville) will be interesting top 5
pieces this season. I think this team, on paper, has the most complete roster
through five looking ahead to WPIALs, but that can change in a blink if the
freshmen aren’t quite ready for the big stage.
6. Greensburg Salem (District 7)
Early
Season MVP: Dylan Binda
Greensburg
Salem graduated Frankie King from their big 3 a year ago and needed someone to
fill the shoes alongside Brown and Cameron Binda. Dylan Binda has answered the
call impressively through his opening races of the 2017 XC season.
Biggest
Strength: Excellent Top 3
Readers
of the blog have probably heard my top 3 theory before. I’m a believer that the
best formula for a successful XC squad is to have a dynamic top 3. You can
succeed with other formulas of course, but the first thing I usually look at is
a school’s top 3 runners. Greensburg Salem may have the best top 3 in all of
AA.
Keep
An Eye On: GS’s State Championship Demons
Greensburg
Salem wasn’t a big time program even a few years ago. But now they have a WPIAL
championship and a 7:51 4x800 to brag about. However, on the state championship
scene this squad has had some heartbreak. How will they seek out redemption as
their big 3 hit their junior seasons?
5. Indiana Area (District 7)
Early
Season MVP: Evan Weaver
With
many of these teams, we often dwell on the young up and coming talent, but for
Indiana Area one of their most important pieces is a senior. Evan Weaver has
given Indiana consistent varsity scoring and a senior leader to hold down the
fort as they make a push for states.
Biggest
Strength: Overachieving
I feel
like the word “overachieving” sounds like it’s negative, but really it’s a big
compliment. Indiana Area wasn’t at the forefront of the preseason WPIAL discussion.
Their top returner, Rocco Fanella, hasn’t raced yet this season, and one of
their most important pieces, Kendall Brenan, is a sophomore still finding
himself on the big stage. But this team has consistently improved, including a
big leap from Julian Yerger this weekend at Foundation. Keep in mind, Indiana
Area was just 10 points back of York Suburban at half way.
Keep
An Eye On: The WPIAL’s Depth
Like
the AAA landscape, there are only 3 spots up for grabs and multiple deserving
teams. New Castle, Greensburg Salem and South Fayette are among the squads
trying to knock Indiana from their perch at the top. And now that they finished
as the top dogs at Foundation, they will have a big target on their back the
rest of the way.
4. Harbor Creek (District 10)
Early
Sesaon MVP: Nate Dougan
Dougan
has really stepped up to start his senior season. Harbor Creek knew they would
need to improve their depth to stay competitive and Dougan is among a core of
3-4-5-6-7 guys that have really made great strides thus far in September. Guys
like Dougan, not their returning state medalists, will determine HC’s success
in 2017.
Biggest
Strength: Absurd Front Running
They’ve
got 3 returning state medalists. What more is there really to say? Has any team
after brought back three state medalists in the same season? With two of them
entering just their junior seasons? Babo-Weber-Stravaggi is a nightmare for the
rest of the state.
Keep
An Eye On: Health
There
has been more than one time this year where HC has been missing a key piece or
two. Since they rely on those big three, having Babo and Stravaggi MIA in their
last meet isn’t the best sign. However, it is a good opportunity for some of the
other guys to get experience running as a scorer. It’s a different type of
attitude when you know every guy you pass means something.
3. Dallas (District 2)
Early
Season MVP: Adam Borton
From the
beginning, Borton has been a key part of the Dallas dynasty. It was his clutch
run in 2015 that might have swung the title toward the Cowboys. In 2016, he
overcame an up and down season to throw down another top finish and swing
another title. Now this year, Borton looks to be in top form and ready for that
first state medal.
Biggest
Strength: Monster Top 4
We
talked a lot about the big 3 for HC and GS, but how about Dallas’s top 4? They
could very realistically have 4 state medalists this year in Zardecki, Rome,
Borton and Wyandt. They should have at least two for the first during this
dynasty run.
Keep
An Eye On: The Hot Seat At The Top
It’s
hard to stay on top for this long. Three straight titles? That’s very rare in
any classification in recent years. Is the pressure going to be too much in
2017?
2. York Suburban (District 3)
Early
Season MVP: Andrew Paskey
York
Suburban returned a nice core, but Paskey would be needed to round out the top
5. As has been the case the past two seasons, the AA state title bout should be
very close again. Every point will count and that’s why the development of a
guy like Paskey in the 4-5 spot is huge.
Biggest
Strength: They’re Always Good
It
sounds silly, but this York Suburban team will seemingly never be stopped. They
won the state title in 2014 with a terrific team. Then, they lost their top guy
and still competed tooth and nail for the title. Then, they lost their top guy
and still competed tooth and nail for the title. Yes, that happened twice in a
row. This year, they’re actually returning the most they ever have heading into
a title run. Look out.
Keep
An Eye On: The Foundation Curse
York
Suburban went to Carlisle in 2014 when they won the state title, but in 2015
and 2016 they went over to Hershey for the Foundation Invite. They won each of
those editions of the meet, but they ended up losing both state title runs in
November when they came back. 2017 brought another foundation gold, but will it
be Silver for YS next time they take to the hills?
1. Grove City (District 10)
Early
Season MVP: Luke Owrey
As
Grove City tries to claw back to the top of the state rankings, Owrey has been
a consistent scorer for this team. He really hasn’t had a bad race all season
and is a reliable piece behind their front-runner Jonah Powell.
Biggest
Strength: Best Top 5
I think
this past weekend Grove City proved they are the most complete team at this
point in time. They had some younger guys step up and they rolled against a
solid field at Sharpsville. No one has wowed me yet in this classification, but
Grove City came the closest with their most recent win.
Keep
An Eye On: Recent History
Grove
City has always seemed to be in the state title talk, but they are still
searching for that elusive victory. Since the first AA state championship of the
three classification system in 2012, Grove City has been within striking
distance of gold. Could 2017 finally be the year they pull out a victory?
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