Team Rankings: A Schools
Honorable Mention: York Catholic
10. St Joesph’s (District 6)
Early
Season MVP: Carter Kauffman
The
sophomore has become a breakout star, leading the team across the line at all
meets this year including an excellent top 10 finish at the Foundation Invitational.
Biggest
Strength: Youthful Team On The Rise
Yes,
youth can be a concern, but youth can also be a benefit. This is an exciting group
of sophomores (their top four finishers from Foundation) who have the chance to
get this program back to states for the first time in a while. It can be great
motivation to be running with your young teammates and trying to build a
dynasty.
Keep
An Eye On: Youthful Team Under Pressure
Yes,
youth can be a benefit, but it can also be a concern. Four sophomores at the
top of your lineup doesn’t always end in success right away. There’s a reason
at least half of the top 50 guys from states are typically seniors.
9. Seneca (District 10)
Early
Season MVP: Brock Smith
Smith
is another sophomore who has stepped into a leadership role. Brock’s
performance was particularly important as Seneca graduated their top 3 runners
from last year’s 3rd place squad and those guys were all-time kinda
talents. It’s nice to see another youngster carry on their mantle and inspire
his teammates.
Biggest
Strength: Week to Week Improvement
I feel
like Seneca made a nice jump from Race One to Race Two. Race Three wasn’t quite
as spectacular, but it was solid. They need to be clicking through five guys to
knock off some of the front running squads in front of them. Jake Schneider and
Rob Stepnowski have experience from the state championship and understand how
to peak in November. Step was 56th at last year’s state meet and is
an x-factor for this team in October.
Keep
An Eye On: Depth, Particularly Nick Post
Like I
said, this team will need to be the best through five guys if they want to
knock off North East and Cochranton (among others) in District 10. One of the key
pieces could be Nick Post who raced (well) at McDowell, but hasn’t been seen
since. Hopefully, he is healthy and can return to the top 5 soon.
8. Cochranton (District 10)
Early
Season MVP: Jac Coakley
Cochranton
had a star last year in Noah Bernarding, but Coakley has stepped up to get
within striking distance of the sophomore. After not making states last year,
Coakley is a medal threat in 2017.
Biggest
Strength: Battle Tested
Cochranton
has already been in a slew of close team battles. They’ve faced top squads like
Shenango, North East and Seneca and seem to fight well against them every time.
I like the resiliency of this squad.
Keep
An Eye On: A Deep District
Not
only are there a lot of good teams in District 10, there are a lot of good
runners. That means you really need all of your top 5 runners to be sharp so no
one gets buried deep in the pack and drags down the team score.
7. North East (District 10)
Early
Season MVP: Zane Courtwright
Courtwright
has stepped up in his sophomore season becoming a reliable #2 behind breakout
star Josh Lewis.
Biggest
Strength: Big Breakthroughs
This
team wasn’t amazing last year, placing 4th in D10 and finishing 63
points out of state qualifying. They only returned two top five runners from
that team while the schools around them returned much more. But North East has
had big breakthroughs. After having 0 state qualifiers individually last year,
they have two guys who could get in even if the team falters.
Keep
An Eye On: Lack of Experience
Like I
said, this team had 0 state qualifiers last year. Their top two guys are a
junior and a sophomore who don’t quite know their way around Hershey. There
will be big pressure on these guys at both districts and states. Can they
handle it and come through?
6. Riverview (District 7)
Early
Season MVP: Ben Barnes
Riverview’s
#1 runner has been fantastic this season, even picking up an individual win
against AAA medal hopeful Christian Fitch in his first invite of the season.
Barnes sets the tone for this team with his low stick ability.
Biggest
Strength: Team Still Coming Together
Riverview
was missing a few varsity performers in meet #1 and had a big talent in the
freshman race in meet #2. That means this full varsity squad likely hasn’t
shaped up into its peak form.
Keep
An Eye On: Team Still Coming Together
Like I
said, we still don’t know what the varsity squad is. It will be nice to see
them in a couple races with a consistent group so that they can gain confidence
and comfort in their roles. That being said, this isn’t a big concern as the
Riverview boys have been to the big dance before and know what it takes to get
out of the WPIAL.
5. Jenkintown (District 1)
Early
Season MVP: Jack Miller
Jenkintown’s
#1 guy was good last year, but he has been phenomenal thus far in 2017. He’s
proven that he could be a top 3 guy in the A state championship race and that
should give Jenkintown a lot of confidence.
Biggest
Strength: Two Returning Medalsits
Jenkintown
brings back two guys who have done it before. Along with Miller they have Josh
Jackson who knows what it takes to peak and run the hills well in Hershey. Out
of the top teams, no one else brings back two runners of this caliber.
Keep
An Eye On: A Game Changer In the Back Half
This
team is already good. Now it is about becoming great. To do that, they are
going to need to find a game changer in the back half of their line up. Maybe
that guy is freshman Luke Miller or maybe it’s junior Danny Westcott who didn’t
race at Foundation, but somebody has to have a breakthrough if they are going
to join the top 4 elite squads. That’s just what it will take in this loaded
year.
4. Montrose (District 2)
Early
Season MVP: Eric Bixby
A
newcomer to the varsity season, Bixby was excellent as a scorer on Montrose’s
Cliff Robbins championship team.
Biggest
Strength: 6 Deep
Not
many schools can say they go six deep in the A classification, but this school
is legitimately that good through 6 runners. I’m confident anyone can step up
and be a capable scorer on state championship Saturday. Not sure the other
teams are as comfortable with each of their varsity runners.
Keep
An Eye On: The Next Time They Race
They’ve
only had one major appearance this year and, while it was great, it’s just one
appearance. I need to see more if I’m going to properly rate them. Last year, I
had Montrose a little too high on my big board as I thought they were state
title threats. This year, I don’t want to put unfair pressure on them.
3. Elk County Catholic (District 9)
Early
Season MVP: Jacob Carnovale
To stay
competitive at the top of this deep state title race, you need to have 5 legit
cross country runners. Carnovale has emerged from completely off my radar into
an instant, steadily improving contributor so far this season.
Biggest
Strength: Emerging Front Runner
I think
Ben Hoffman is going to have a big season. This sophomore was their #2 runner
last year and nearly a state medalist. Now he’s significantly better in year #2
of his high school career. He won’t led Winchester Thurston get far ahead and
he should put a gap on Montrose and Penns Valley.
Keep
An Eye On: A #2 Stepping Up
If you
look at the top 2 teams on this ranking (and most rankings) they’ve got a
dynamite big 3. I think ECC has the potential to get there as well. I just need
to see a little more from Wortman and Logan Hoffman. At least one of those guys
needs to get on the state medal stand.
2. Winchester Thurston (District 7)
Early
Season MVP: Scott Routledge
This
sophomore was outside the scorers last year at states, but he’s come on like a
rocket in his second XC season. He’s the big reason why Winchester Thurston has
a legit shot at a repeat.
Biggest
Strength: Championship Pedigree
This
team won the state title in 2016 and 2014. Their #1 man, Tristan Forsythe, was a
scorer on both of those teams. Gordon Pollock also has two golds from the two
state meets. Four of their top six guys from last year’s gold medal winning
team are back. They should feel confident, even after a tough loss against
Penns Valley. Even in 2015, when WT didn’t win the title, they still overcame
an injury and finished just nine points out of 2nd place and 17 out
of 1st.
Keep
An Eye On: Two Frosh, Two Soph On Varsity
This is
a really young core outside of Forsythe and Pollock and that always leaves the
door open for an upset. However, I think the championship pedigree trumps that
a bit. They can rely on their young guns because they have a system in place
that has allowed them to excel in the past. Soph Sean Heintzleman will be the
x-factor this season.
1. Penns Valley (District 6)
Early
Season MVP: Sam Gray
While
the freshmen sensations on this roster will get a lot of well-deserved
publicity, Gray has been one of the most important contributors through the team’s
first three major invites. The senior has been excellent as a reliable 4/5. He
was easily the best #4 at Foundation’s White Race.
Biggest
Strength: No Weakness In The Top 5
That
top 5 is insane. Bierly may be their #5 runner and I thought coming into the
year he had a legit shot at a state medal. This team is great. Not just great
for a A team. Great in general. As pointed out in the comments, they would have
been 5th in merged scoring with the best spread of any of the top 5
teams.
Keep
An Eye On: Two Top Five Freshmen
This will
be the story line all year. Elk County Catholic had two scorers who were
freshman last year and those guys came up clutch under the lime light so
success is possible with the young guns. However, it is at least worth
mentioning as Penns Valley relies heavily on Colton Sands and Brendan Colwell
for points. If either of those guys have an off day at states, they will need
seniors Haden Stamm and Charlie Romig to be ready to rise to the occasion.
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