Timing

Timing is everything in our sport. You have to time your move at the right moment. You have to time your training to peak correctly. Heck, the way we measure how well someone did on a given day is by timing them.
 
When we talking about Casey Comber, the discussion, unsurprisingly, revolves around timing. At Van Cortland Park this weekend, Comber ran 15:36.4 to place 4th overall in the Northeast Footlocker Qualifier, securing his place in the National Championships in San Diego. It was perhaps the best race of his career and the timing could not have been better.
 
Comber’s time is the 5th fastest mark by a PA athlete on the course over the past 9 seasons. His place of 4th matches the highest finish of the past five seasons (Brendan Shearn was 4th as well in 2012) and he has a chance to challenge for a top 20 finish at Foot Locker, which would place him in the top five for finishes in the past decade.
 
Comber did something that his former state champion teammates Sam Hibbs and Conner Quinn failed to do when he qualified, making him the first in school history since Josh Hibbs qualified a decade ago. Comber also made some history for his school this year when he clocked a 15:12 and 15:19 back-to-back weeks at Lehigh, giving him two of the 25 PA sub 15:20 performances that have come on the course in the past nine years and likely the fastest two marks in program history.
 
What may be sweetest about the performance for Comber is a victory over conference rival Jake Brophy. Comber beat Brophy for the league title in 2013, but had not been able to beat him in a championship cross country race since. After PTXC, Comber pointed out in an interview that he wanted to peak better to beat Brophy when it counted. Just when it appeared the rivalry was over, Comber outlasted Brophy by a second to take PA’s top spot at regionals.
 
Comber started his rise to PA prominence as a Junior when he finished 13th at the state championships in a surprising coming of age story. He had the unfortunate timing of making the leap just after Conner Quinn and Sam Hibbs graduated, leaving him without a superstar training partner that so many other top runners have benefited from.
 
However, Comber’s work ethic and leadership helped lead this year’s Hatboro Horsham squad on a nice run that included some top invitational performances at meets like PTXC. Many of his teammates continued to train through for Regionals, accompanying him on the long, cold journey. Their efforts likely played a role in his success on November 29th.
 
As a Footlocker qualifier, Comber has officially joined PA’s elite, however, just how high on the All-Time list could he go? Unfortunately, here Comber’s timing is unfortunate. This year, Comber ran into an historically loaded AAA field. As a result, he finished second at his league championships, third at districts and sixth at states despite running some of the fastest marks in each meet’s history.
 
Out of Footlocker Finalists from the last 9 seasons, only Comber and Ben Furcht have never finished in the top 5 at a XC state championship. Furcht had won the District One Championship and the Foundation meet in a time faster than the winning time at States. He was widely considered the best runner in the state even before he punched his ticket to San Diego (barely slipping in as the 10th and final qualifier). During that same time span, only Comber and Max Norris qualified for the Footlocker championships after finishing outside the top two at their district championship. Norris was still recovering from a recent injury at District time so the right analyst could have predicted his rise during the extra month of training (although not me). Comber had a much different story. Although many believed he was a Footlocker contender, few were picking him to finish as PA’s top runner, let alone in the top four of the entire race.
 
So is Casey Comber a fluke? Did he get lucky to make it to Footlocker?
 
The answer is a simple and emphatic “No”. In fact, he was unlucky his best running was overshadowed during PA’s fastest ever season. Comber’s 15:48 at the state championship would have placed in the top two at any other state championship the previous seven seasons. It also would have given him state gold in 2008, 2010, 2011, or 2013. He was only two seconds away from finishing in the top four runners. The top three runners ran the three fastest times in course history.
 
Before the state championship, many forget just how dominate Comber had been. He was winning all sorts of races and although many were not against the marquee names, he was incredibly impressive in the regular season. In almost any other year, Comber would be remembered for a dominate year and Footlocker would have been the logical exclamation point.
 
Timing and luck have a lot to do with how we remember many of the best runners in past years. But when you’re as talented as Casey Comber, you find a way to make your own luck.
 
Congrats on a great season Casey and good luck at Footlocker Nationals!

16 comments:

  1. Breaking news: Little Hoey allegedly transferring to Dwest.

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  2. All three hoeys are transferring to dwest

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    1. Not that I doubt this because I also saw this on twitter but is there maybe a Facebook post or a tweet or something like that that can back up this rumor?

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  3. Younger Hoey posted on Instagram - rambled about brotherhood (or lack thereof)

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  4. There is no lack there of brotherhood. The Hoeys had a problem with the coach at malvern. I dont know what the problem is because he seems to be a nice guy. I do know that the hoeys trained separate from malvern and I guess the coach got sick of it and said he wouldn't allow it. If that's the case then good for that coach to be able to take a stand no matter how talented the kid. I don't see them training with dwest either though because they are a high mileage program and that is what the hoeys are against. Could be the same problem no matter what school they go to.

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    1. Word was they had there own professional coach who provided the workouts and their mom made sure they did them. IF that were true than the real coach didn't set the mileage and would have had his hands tied for running his team and have been in a pretty much hopeless situation for building team chemistry. Again, IF that is all true it could be a bad development for Dwest, who already have enough talent to make a run at state the next two years and don't need others with their own agenda not to mention that current quality varsity runners would be getting bumped.
      Then again, if they just go with the program Dwest could be a major powerhouse next year but that doesn't seem likely. And Dwest is not a high mileage team, that was one kid a few years back who also had parents setting ridiculous mileage training.

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    2. Dwest would definitely be favored to win states if they have the hoeys. I would put josh Hoey right around Smucker which is about 15th-20th and Jaxson would be top 10 and if Dwest gets the kind of performance they did from their other guys and they improve they should win. I did some quick math and if you put Josh Hoey at 20th and Jaxson at in the top 10 (while keeping everyone else places the same), they score around 90 points. That coupled with all of the sophomores on that team with room to improve, they could get into the 80's or even 70's for points scored depending on how much their other guys improve. And are they transferring next year or now, because Dwest could have a killer indoors dmr, Josh Hoey, Sappey and Jaxson with a 400 leg in there, Dwest can definitely get someone into the low 50's. ANd I am not so sure if there are any 800m specialists that go to Dwest but that would be filthy. maybe like a 3:05-3:10 1200, hopefully around a 1:58-1:59 800, a low 50's 400 and a 4:15 or faster mile. thats around 10:20 i think.

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    3. Frankly I think this will be an issue for DTW and I almost feel bad for them. I have not talked to Coach Koenig since I met him at Paul Short, but last season when Jaxson began to break out he and I were talking quite a bit about training runners who had large amounts of talent. He was very interested in keeping Jaxson's millage low and seeing how he would develop through tempo workouts and slowly building up his base and aeobics over the course of his high school career so that when he entered college he would have just been gaining momentum to his full potential. We're talking movement in millage from sophomore year to senior year from 30 to 60 miles, so that when he entered college and jumped up to 70+ miles he could handle the pressure, but he wouldn't be too beat up. He ran 4:19 and 9:05 off of that training. It seems to me from what I've read from other sources that the parents were not happy with this plan and felt as though Jaxson should be pushed to see his full potential in high school. They were forcing the Malvern Coach to over race him in my opinion. Coach Koenig has never stated anything of the sort to me, but when I was talking to him at Paul Short there was clearly a lot weighing on his mind that he could not tell me and it seemed very obvious from our conversation that it was not his idea to race Jaxson in the meet, but that some other factor pushed it forward. For Coach Koenig's sake I am glad the Hoey's are out of his system. He cares so much for his athletes and wants to propel them to successful college careers and be runners for life rather than pushing their bodies and breaking them down too much in high school.

      Again that's just my sense of things.

      --Forrest Kentwell

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    4. I wouldn't be surprised of Malvern's coach did kick them off the team and that is why the transferred. Cross country teams are the tightest group of kids I've ever met, and having 2 of your kids and their parents undermine your authority must be very difficult. To me they seem almost uncoachable. Not to mention Malverns coached up another pretty good runner in McDevitt so he is obviously doing something right. Even though Jaxson and Josh are two great talents, I think Downingtown West would be just fine without them and I would not be so thrilled about this situation if I was them.

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    5. When i saw jaxson raced hard week after week, the first thing i thought was hopefully this kid doesnt burned out or gets injured

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  5. The Hoeys should go to wce, great coach and not a high mileage program from what I have heard.

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    1. The Hoeys have always been inside Downingtown West's district, they're not handpicking who they want to run for

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  6. Great read etrain! BTW any chance of a final top 50 ranking for the season?

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    1. Thanks! Glad you enjoyed it! And yes I will have something together hopefully by week's end

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  7. Can anybody confirm Jaxson transferring too? I saw Josh's post on instagram and I would think Jaxson is going too, but I just want to make sure.

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  8. Jaxson is also transferring for sure

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