I tried for a solid AA post, but it was tricky. Quite frankly don't have enough data to make an informed post on a top 8 for AA. The usual players will likely be involved (Wyomissing, Trinity, Lakeland, Mercyhurst) but I'm not sure yet. As for AAA, yes I can give you a little AAA.
AAA 4x800m
1.
State
College – State College ran an impressive 7:45 at Indoor Nats to back up their
state championship at PSU. Counting their Millrose victory, their last three
races have been nothing short of spectacular. Last year, this squad ran 7:41
with three of the same pieces: two of those pieces have already bested their
marks from last outdoors. But I’m interested to see how this team will approach
the outdoor season. SC was a solid team title contender last year, but
ultimately DT West was a monster that could not be contained. I’m interested to
see if outdoors, SC attacks the individual events a bit more, trying to get
Feffer and Degleris in the 800 finals and Milligan in the 1600 finals. They
would also push hard in the 4x4 and 4x8. That makes for a much busier weekend
in Shippensburg and potentially an upset in the state 4x8.
2.
CB
West – CB West returns three from their 7:45 squad last outdoor season and
backed up that time with a 2nd place finish at indoor states.
Remember, CB West ran within two seconds of Pennsbury at districts last year,
but took a small step back at Shipp while Pennsbury and Pennridge took big time
steps forward. If things broke differently, who is to say CBW couldn’t have
been right there at 7:40-7:41 last year? Would we then think different of them
heading into this outdoor season?
3.
Abington
– Abington was barely edged out by CB West at states this indoors, taking 3rd
overall. I really like this squad, which boasts two 1:56 guys and a 1:57 guy
from the indoor season. I also feel like we could see Isiah Smith at some point
this season at 800. I say this literally every post and maybe I’m just wrong,
but I’d be surprised if they don’t experiment with him in the outdoor two
lapper. And I’d also be surprised if he doesn’t become a stud in the event by
season’s end.
4.
Pennridge
– They still have three guys on their roster from their 7:40 last year. That
team was supposed to fall off after Joey Logue graduated and yet they ran
better than any relay he had ever anchored (which is saying something
considering the teams he has anchored). This indoor season wasn’t amazing for
them, but they did run a blazing fast DMR and develop two freshmen at 2 flat
and 2:03. They didn’t have the greatest state championship, but they also
didn’t use Desko or Howell on their 4x8 squad (arguably their two best legs).
Howell will be the key as he stuck mostly to the quarter during the winter.
5.
CB
East – I think everyone is curious what this team will do. They made the
Championship of America for 4x8 last outdoors at Penn Relays with three guys
who they still have on the roster. They ran right with teams like Pennridge and
CB West during the regular season before faltering at Districts. They had three
legs under 2 flat on their indoor 4x8 and none of them were Jake Brophy. But if
Brophy sticks to the 3200, he has the 32-4x8 double on his plate, a desperately
tricky affair. Does that type of double really make sense for the reigning XC
and 3k state champ? Trying the 3k-DMR double indoors almost cost him a state
title. But maybe Jake isn’t worried about becoming the first man to win
XC-indoor 3k-outdoor 32 since Jason Weller in 2007. He’s probably never heard
of Jason Weller. Don’t be surprised if we see an event change (like Sam Webb
last year) or even perhaps a completely fresh run out of Jake. I think anything
is on the table.
6.
Penn
Wood – Penn Wood is coming on quickly in this event. Their well-timed outdoor
peak of 7:49 earned a top 5 finish at states and this indoors we saw many of
those same pieces continue to improve. Seck seems like someone on the verge of
becoming a star to me and Manyeah is arguably already there. They have so much
speed and these guys will only get stronger as they have more time to train for
and learn the 800. If they find a way to get a 4th guy at or under 2
flat, they will be a team to watch.
7.
Bishop
Shanahan – Shanahan isn’t sneaking up on anyone anymore after their 3rd
place finish at XC states and their indoor state medal. They head to outdoors
with the same crew that ran 7:53 last year in the district finals and a rapidly
developing sophomore in Logan Yoquinto. Each runner is very comfortable in
their role on the relay and knows how to run their race. Then perhaps the best
way to move forward is to mix things up? I’m looking forward to some top notch
individual runs from these guys this spring in addition to this relay.
8.
Carlisle
– Real toss up between Carlisle and Cedar Crest for this last spot, but I went
with the team with the best anchor. I think this spot is fairly up for grabs
(will O’Hara chase it? How about LaSalle? A sleeper pick in District 7?), but
there’s big potential here with the Wisner bros and Kole already sitting around
1:53-2:02-2:03. Now I’m not sure what other pieces are waiting in the wings,
but they have delivered impressively in this relay in the past (back in the
Zach Brehm days) and the D3 teams always find a way to mix it up by outdoor
states.
Unrelated, but looks like both Hoeys are entered into the mile at the Adidas Raleigh Relays.
ReplyDeleteRustin Inv. today, some fields quite fast, others just so-so.
DeleteReally great point about Brophy in the 1600/4x8 double. i actually really like that option for him. he did split 1:55 as a sophomore, and i think he could move against Hoey in an open 1600
ReplyDelete