Here’s
a District One cheat sheet for you based on the D1 results from a year ago and
some milesplit snooping. The teams are listed in the order they finished at
last year’s championships. Runners in italics
are those who do not run varsity at districts last year but did show
promise to become stars in the future.
CR North (2016: 1st,
2015: 4th)
Ryan
Campbell, Sr 15:33 (3) + 15:10/9:14/4:25
Sam
Early, Sr 15:47 (13) + 1:58/3:20/9:01
Ethan
Koza, Sr 16:00 (21) + 15:57/4:24/9:42
Kevin
Ehrgott, Sr 16:19 (41) + 10:07/4:35
Matt
Mullen, Jr 17:38 (236) +17:19/4:47
The
defending state champions from CR North return five varsity runners from their
state championship squad a year ago. Ryan Campbell had a strong showing on the track
as a long distance guy while Sam Early and Ethan Koza showed some nice range.
There’s a tiny question mark at the 4-5 and it’s also unclear how their depth
will come together, but the historical strength of this program puts most
doubts to rest. However, as things currently stand, they will be searching for
5th guy to deliver a sub 17 performance to get them a second
straight district and state title.
DT West (2016: 2nd,
2015: 1st)
Tyler
Rollins, Sr 16:18 (40) + 4:29/9:25
Evan
Kaiser, Jr 16:51 (117) + 4:28/9:56
Isaac Valderrabano, Jr 16:43/4:36
Payton Sewall, Jr 16:59/4:38/9:51
Kevin Long, Sr 17:05/4:43/10:30
Joseph Chamoun, Jr 16:55/10:09/4:31
DT West
loses five of seven from last year’s district runner-up squad including
arguably their 4 best guys. They’ve officially lost all the members of their
2015 state championship squad. This will be a big “show me” year for DT West as
a program. They had a ton of JV depth last season and the assumption is that dudes
will step up this next year. Most notably, Tyler Rollins looked like a
potential star on the track after a nice close to his XC season. I think West
will be a bubble team at districts this year, especially considering they have
historically had some struggles at Lehigh and tend to run better on the Hershey
hills.
CB West (2016: 3rd,
2015: 2nd)
Ben
Bunch, Sr 16:19 (42) + 16:18/9:38/8:58/4:33
Michael
Samson, Sr 16:27 (57) + 16:14
Carter
Laatsch, So 16:33 (67) + 2:01/4:25 (15)
Brian Baker, Sr 17:10 + 1:56
CB West
has gone from track power to XC power in the blink of an eye. The past three
seasons they’ve been a top three team in the district. Last year, after losing
their top 3 runners from an excellent squad, they continued to improve and used
a lethal spread to get to states. They continue to lose key pieces as we look
ahead to 2017, but they do have depth. I like Ben Bunch as a potential top 50
finisher at states and sub 16 guy at Lehigh. Michael Samson had arguably his
worst race of the year at districts so don’t let that 57th place
fool you. But can they develop any of their 800 guys and make them cross guys?
Or will they find some more talented out of nowhere guys? I didn’t think they
would make states last year, but they did (and almost beat DT West). Let’s see
if they can surprise again.
Henderson (2016: 5th,
2015: 3rd)
Spencer
Smucker, Sr 15:37 (4) + 4:18y/2:01
Stephen
Heck, Sr 16:29 (61) + 10:15
Calvin
Pash, Jr 16:34 (72) + 10:22/4:47
Luke
Geier, So 17:14 (173) + 10:32
It’s
Henderson. They are probably making it through. They return four of seven from
their district championship performance, including some young guns in Calvin
Pash and Luke Geier. Smucker is a stud and coming off his best and heathiest
track season. Heck had a heck of a year last year in XC, especially down the
stretch. But they did lose another chunk of depth and they still need to find
one or two other stars to make a jump back to where they were in prior years.
Interested to see who steps up.
Spring Ford (2016: 6th,
2015: 6th)
Shane
Ainscoe, Sr 16:17 (37) + Sub 16
Milan
Sharma, Sr 16:25 (54) + 1:59
Jacob
McKenna, Sr 16:27 (58) + 9:36/4:30
Zach
Smith, Sr 16:49 (108) + 9:45/4:32/16:20
Joseph
Power, Jr 16:53 (126) + 10:19/4:43
Spring
Ford has had the heartbreak of finishing 6th two straight years at
districts, missing out on states by one spot. The biggest obstacle has been
front running and youth as they’ve had mainly returning guys and just one state
qualifier individually during that stretch. Now everything could come together as
those young guys are finally seniors. They should be hungry and ready to roll
this fall, but anything can happen. I like this team as a motivated squad, but
guys will need to join Ainscoe as state qualifiers. Milan Sharma is an
intriguing name as he made big strides down the stretch of 2016 as a breakout
star. I’m keeping my fingers crossed that this top four stays healthy and is
able to finally get the monkey off their back.
Pennsbury (2016: 7th,
2015: 8th)
Jed
Scratchard, Sr 16:32 (65) + 16:25/4:22y/1:57
Aidan
Sauer, Sr 16:34 (70) + 16:31/1:55
Thomas
Mink, Jr 17:04 (157)
Calvin
Hodges, Sr 17:33 (219)
Pennsbury
has been a consistent top ten program since the Webb-Harriman combo hit its
peak back in 2012. Even with a ton of graduations, they still have found a way
to keep near the front of the loaded district field. They lose some key pieces,
including state medalist Eric Kersten, but they have two guys coming back who
were monsters on the track this past fall in Jed Scratchard and Aidan Sauer.
They need to build up the depth behind these two to make a real run at states.
Also, they need to show that their track improvements can translate to the
trails. That’s never a guarantee.
Conestoga (2016: 8th,
2015: 19th)
Carlos
Shultz, So 16:00 (22) + sub 9 3k, sub 16
Henry
Borska, Jr 16:23 (48)
Jake
Robinson, Sr 16:23 (50) + 9:48
Michael
Gossow, Jr 18:19 (315)
Conestoga
has a monster top 3 in Shultz, Borska and Robinson. But last year they had a
loaded top 4 and could only manage 8th. This program has proven they
can be a title contender. As recently as 2014 they were district champs. That
hopefully means they can reload and continue to build in 2017. They jumped from
19th to 8th this past year and might have a similar jump
in store. However, they really need to improve the depth and find some more
guys who can give them a sub 17 run.
North Penn (2016: 11th,
2015: 9th)
Colin
Grace, Sr 16:16 (35) + 4:32/10:37
Brendan
O’Toole, Sr 16:17 (39) + 16:15/4:25/8:58/9:44
Nick
Cataldi, Jr 16:20 (44)
Brian
Johnson, Jr 16:35 (74) + 16:34/9:57/4:40
Dylan
Reid, So 17:18 (184)
Lucas
Apple, Sr 17:31 (214)
Noah Demis, So 10:22
Dan Santiago, Sr 16:41/4:25/1:56
The 4x8
powerhouse has won three state titles in the past 11 years in XC. People forget
that. However, this team was a surprising 11th place at districts
last fall and came very close to leaving the meet with no state qualifiers. The
good news is, that was a young squad with a lot of returning firepower. An
x-factor could be Dan Santiago, their 1:56 open 800 guy who has run 16:41 for
5k before. There’s also big potential from rising juniors Nick Cataldi and
Brian Johnson who ran high quality times as sophomores last year. When you add
in state qualifiers Grace and O’Toole, this team looks really deep. But they
will need to put it together under the bright lights and back up the numbers.
North Penn was one of my sleeper picks last year as well.
Bishop Shanahan (2016: 12th,
2015: 1st (AA))
Josh
Hoey, Sr 15:53 (17) + 1:49/4:08y
Logan
Yoquinto, Sr 16:32 (66) + 1:55s
Jonah
Hoey, So 16:42 (90) + 1:57
Jack
Ettien, Jr 16:50 (116) + 4:40/10:07/16:42
Jonathan
McGrory, Sr 16:55 (131) + 4:32/10:18
Joseph
Schubert, Jr 17:52 (275)
Cameron Cunningham 2:02/4:41/19:07
Shanahan
has already gotten their fair share of buzz this summer. The 2015 AA District
Champs return five guys who broke 17 minutes last year. Pretty amazing
considering this team looked pretty average for a good portion of the year. We
saw on the track their potential, but a lot of that came in the more speed
oriented events. It will be interesting to see if these track guys can buy into
XC. Remember, this team was 3rd in AA at states just two years ago
and that was before adding the Hoeys. The big x-factor to watch is Jack Ettien
as he continues to get healthy and looks to return to the form that saw him
lead the Shanahan boys to that 3rd place finish when he posted a top
50 performance as just a freshman.
Boyertown (2016: 14th,
2015: 25th)
Dominic
Derafelo, Sr 16:09 (30) + 4:29/9:40
Kollin
Miller, Sr 16:34 (71) + 9:53/4:38
Josh
Endy, Sr 16:46 (99) + 16:37/2:02
Justin
Smith, Sr 16:49 (109) + 10:08/4:43
Todd
Barton, Sr 16:55 (132) + 4:41/10:11
Christian
McComb, So 17:02 (152) + 4:35/9:51
Payton
Stanziani, Jr 17:13 (172)
This is
my sleeper team for this upcoming season. They don’t have any mind-blowing PRs,
but they return all seven from last year’s 14th place team including
state qualifier Dominic Derafelo. I think rising sophomore Christian McComb has
a chance to be really good as his track times were very impressive for a 9th
grader. Josh Endy showed me some flashes on the track as well. They return 5
sub 17 guys plus McComb. If I have to pick a team outside the top 10 from a
year ago to make states, I honestly might put my money on Boyertown.
CB East (2016: 15th,
2015, 5th)
Declan
Earles, Sr 16:33 (68)
Owen
Zila, Sr 16:38 (81) + 10:04
Cole
Sands, Jr 16:46 (102) + 10:08
David
Endres, Jr 17:00 (142) + 15:49/10:05/4:31/1:57
Cade
Sands, Jr 17:12 (170) + 16:40
Sean
Lahetta, Jr 17:29 (207) + 16:39/10:10/4:39
Andrew Conte, So 17:19
Jack McManus, So 17:22 + 10:22/4:42
Marc Motter, Sr 17:23/1:57/4:36y
Here’s
the other team with a tremendous amount of upside. CB East was just 15th
last season after losing star Jake Brophy, but they were hoping for more. East
looked excellent in the early season and posted some huge times on fast courses
in September. This year, they will have to carry that momentum all the way to
championship season. East is still super young as they have four rising juniors
returning from last year’s varsity squad and two really talented rising
sophomores in Conte and McManus. The seniors, Earles and Zila, had arguably their
best races of the year at districts last fall so they know how to be clutch.
Now they just have to impart it on the others. Remember, this squad still has
guys on it who were a part of a top 10 team in the state two years ago and they
will be hungry to get back to that level.
Penncrest (2016: 16th,
2015: 31st)
Avery
Lederer, Sr 15:47 (11) + 8:47/9:27/4:28
Justin
Senackerib, Sr 16:08 (29) + 10:17/4:41
Connor
Bonebrake, Jr 16:54 (128)
Adam
Gramo-Pensto, Jr 17:04 (155)
Luke
Narbus, So 17:04 (158)
Patrick
Theveny, So 17:15 (177) +10:14/4:42
Andrew
Woolrey, So 17:30 (212)
John McGlinn – 4:42
Penncrest
has two state qualifiers back in Lederer and Senackerib. Lederer is a monster
who could really help lead this team to big things as a low sick. They don’t
have a ton of fast times returning, but they do have a pocket of intriguing
underclassmen. They had freshman at the 5 to 7 spots last year and some of them
(like Patrick Theveny) look like potential stars in the making. With all seven
guys back from last year’s varsity, they should come motivated and ready to go.
Only Lederer and Senackerib will be seniors so the other guys all have a shot
to make a jump. They will need it as only one of those guys returns with a sub
17 mark.
Owen J. Roberts (2016: 17th,
2015: 10th)
Liam
Conway, Sr 15:40 (6) + 1:53/4:13/9:24
Andrew
Malmstrom, Sr 16:37 (77) + 9:44/4:39
Linus
Blatz, Jr 16:57 (135) + 4:44/10:10
Quinten
Sherwood, So 17:08 (163) + 10:17/4:42
Kyle Malmstrom,
Sr 17:46 (256) +10:05/4:42
Matt Muthler, So 4:44
OJR
quietly put together an impressive track campaign. We know about Liam Conway, the
6th place finisher from districts last year, but how about Andrew
Malmstrom? He dropped a 9:44 for 3200 and ran 16:37 last year as well. Owen J
Roberts stunned me a few years back with their run at Foundation. Since then,
they’ve been building up a nice culture there. I think, with Conway at the
helm, this team is starting to believe they can do big things. And the times
are dropping to back that up. They have to time their peak well, but I could
see things coming together and people being surprised by Roberts at one point
or another.
Great Valley (2016: 20th,
2015: 29th)
Hayden
Coates, Jr 16:24 (51) + 4:39/10:17
Brett
Zatlin, Sr 16:31 (64) + 1:57/4:29
Seth
Hoffritz, Jr 16:54 (129)
Roman
Silen, Sr 17:29 (205) + 10:26
Ryan
Small, Jr 17:38 (234)
We are
in the real deep sleepers now as we go outside the top 20. Great Valley is a
real long shot to jump into the top 5 and maybe even top 10, but they return a
solid core from last year. They have a big three on the rise that includes
Brett Zatlin, who ran 1:57 and missed out on states by one spot this spring.
But the Patriots get a mention here because of their history. They were 29th
in 2015, but before that were a perennial top 10 team. This year’s team looks
like it is building back up the talent to get back to that tier of District
One.
West Chester East (2016: 21st,
2015: 12th)
Josh
Lewin, So 16:31 (63) + 9:31/16:26/4:38
Harrison
Mazurek, Sr 16:40 (86) + 10:06/4:44y
Matthew
Clarke, Sr 16:51 (119) + 10:02/4:39
Joseph
Mazza, Jr 16:54 (127) + 4:47/10:33
Andrew Criscuolo,
Sr 17:10 (165)
Sean
Brennan, Jr 17:45 (252) + 4:43
Domenic Moser, So 4:42/10:05/18:28
It’s
hard being in the Ches-mont as you are going to get overlooked at times, even
if you have a great squad. But WC East has been suffering as the third best
team in West Chester at times. This year could bring about a big change. East
returns four sub 17 runners from last year’s district meet, including rising
sophomore Josh Lewin. Lewin could be a state medalist before all is said and
done this fall. They had three other guys besides Lewin under 10:10 in Clarke,
Mazurek and Domenic Moser and this team will see great competition every week
from their Ches-mont rivals. I think East is a top 10 team this upcoming year.
But they’ve got a lot of teams to pass to get there.
CR South (2016: 24th,
2015: 22nd)
Ian
Welborn, Sr 16:48 (105) + 10:17
Collin
Ochs, Jr 16:48 (106) + 16:33/1:59
Kyle
Kutney, Jr 16:53 (124) + 16:22/9:59
Andrew
Zawodniak, Sr 16:59 (137) + 16:48/4:28
Adam
Devlin, Sr 17:45 (254) +17:21/10:37/4:49
CR
South hasn’t been mentioned among XC powerhouses very often, but this team
deserves some love. They had a really nice track season, particularly in the 4x8,
and impressed me a bunch. Some of those 4x8 guys return for XC including Collin
Ochs and Andrew Zawodniak. I think both of them could run under 16:20 if all
breaks right. Kyle Kutney ran 16:22 last year so right away they’ve got a nice
pack going. Ian Welborn was actually the top guy for them at districts last
fall, so if he can duplicate that you are looking at a dynamite top 4. CR South
is definitely a long shot and needs a lot to go their way, but I could see them
putting together a slightly less impressive version of CB West’s pack running
display last year and sneaking into the top 10 in District One.
Shanahan moved up to AAA last year. Did they drop back down to AA again?
ReplyDeleteNope, Etrain was probably just pointing out that they were AA when they took that 1st place states in 2015.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
ReplyDeleteNothing inappropriate in this comment, just had a lot of spaces in it and was messing up the view. Feel free to post it back up without all the spaces (I think the gist was it's wide open right now and we won't know the top teams for a while)
DeleteOne million views might hit by Paul Short weekend.
ReplyDeleteI would be surprised, but would love to see us get to 1M this year. As of right now, our views have been trending downward relative to previous years. I gotta come up with some innovative ideas haha
DeleteHow about adding an Etrain runner of the week for the guy who came up big, had a huge PR or something like that. Maybe put out a few candidates on Sunday and let the viewership vote through like Wednesday. Lot's of runners not on a top team or expecting to crack the top 50 would love to earn a chance to see their name in lights on Etrain!
DeleteI like that suggestion. I think more polls in general would be a good way to get more readership.
DeleteI like this as well and definitely would like to do that this fall. I may need a reminder come September though so don't feel bad bringing it up again!
DeleteHenderson is ranked to high, having already lost one of their top 4 to personal issues.
ReplyDeleteShanahan is ranked way to low. With the Hoey's finally plugged in and content with Shanahan's excellant academics; they should be a lock for a D1 state birth.
Note that my post isn't rankings, just a list of who is coming back from each team based on their finish last year. The official team rankings are still under production
Delete1) CRN
ReplyDelete2) CRN JV
3) North Penn
4) DTW
5) Shanahan
6) Springford
1) CRN
ReplyDelete2) DTW
3) NP
4) SF
5t) BS
5t) WCH