We’ve
taken care of the big three, so now let’s talk about the little guys. Lots of
talented programs in other districts who deserve a shout out, but I tried to
limit it to squads with top 5-10 potential in the state so that the post didn’t
get incredibly long. I apologize in advance if classifications or state
qualifying #s have been changed without me knowing. If they have, hit us up
with a link and I’ll be sure to update my files.
District 1
A
Jenkintown (1st D1, 6th
States)
Jack
Miller, Jr (2) 16:26/4:42
Josh
Jackson, Sr (3) 16:59/10:14/4:37
Pat
Wagner, Jr 17:49
Charlie
Mangan, Sr (9) 18:23/2:07
Eli
Kravinski, Sr (13) 18:53
Caleb Limmer, Sr 19:03
District
1 A really excelled last year at the state championships. They had two top 11
individual finishers and their team champs, Jenkintown, placed 6th
overall. This year, Jenkintown will look to duplicate the feat, returning their
top 2 medalists and a solid pack behind them. They can definitely be a top 5
team in the state this upcoming season, but they will need to improve the pack
and replenish the gap at the #3 spot left by the graduation of Jamail Kahn.
Meanwhile,
Dock Mennonite returns their entire top 5 including defending district champion
Tim Kennel. They will need to improve their back end depth if they are going to
compete with Jenkintown. At the very least, they should provide good motivation
for Jenkintown to keep focused this season. If things break right, they could
be the team heading to Hershey hoping to crack the top 5.
District 2
AAA
AAA
Abington Heights (1st
D2, 19th States)
Dan
Uhranowsky, Sr (3) 16:55/4:22/1:58
Kyle
Burke, Sr (1) 16:45/9:41/4:20
Ryan
Siebecker, Jr (11) 18:04/10:48
Adam
Traweek, Sr (18) 18:30
Ethan
Mattox, Jr (9) 18:00
Thomas
Kerrigan, Sr (17) 18:29
Stephen Haggerty, Jr 10:52
The
boys from Abington Heights are getting a nice bit of hype right now and they
deserve it. The often overlooked District 2 scene has produced its fair share
of medalists and top teams, including a 6th place squad back in
2010. Abington Heights returns their top 2 runners who are coming off terrific
track seasons and then bring back a good pack behind them. However, I’m not yet
convinced they are the best team in their own district – Wallenpaupack returns their
top 5 and could potentially add Tyler Wirth to the equation (based on literally
no evidence, I think we will see him on the trails this year). I’m a big fan of
the 1-2 punch for Abington Heights and honestly believe one of those top two
will finish as a state medalist in the fall (currently betting on Burke), but
this district will be no walkover. At least one of their 3-5 guys is going to
have to make a big step forward if this team wants to break into the top 10-12
in AAA.
AA
Dallas (1st D2, 1st
States)
Jack
Zardecki, Sr (2) 16:14/9:22
Josh
Wyandt, Sr (19) 16:53/10:23/4:37
Adam
Borton, Sr (13) 16:58/4:45/2:03
Mitchell
Rome, Jr (6) 16:43/10:01
Steven
Postupak, Jr (15) 17:18
Josh
Jarden, Sr (16) 17:20
There
will be plenty of time to talk about Dallas during the season. This is the
culmination of a three (arguably four) year run of excellence that could lead
to 3 straight titles. They bring basically everybody back (although shout out
to Jason Culp who was a critical piece of their success) and it seems like
everyone is on the rise after a strong track season. They still aren’t a lock
(York Suburban looks like they will be great again), but they are certainly the
favorites for a 3 peat.
Holy Reedemer (2nd D2,
10th States)
Bryce
Zapusek, Jr (7) 16:47/10:26
Lucas
Volpetti, Jr (9) 16:55/4:35
Scott
Williams, Sr (27) 17:48/4:46
Dominic
Capaci, Jr (23) 17:37/2:00
George
Strish, Jr (47) 18:31/10:47
Connor Stevens, Sr 18:30/10:31
Nick Pikul, So 18:44
I’m a
big fan of this Holy Redeemer squad. I think District 2 is the best individual
district in in AA and they return two guys who were top 10 last year, including
near state medal Bryce Zapusek. On the track, HR ran 8:02 in the 4x8 for 4th
at states with a relay that appeared to include both stand out sophomores Lucas
Volpetti and Dominic Capaci. Those three juniors should create a nice core to
go alongside Scott Williams. I expect this team to return to the state
championships for a second straight year. That being said, teams like
Tunkhannock (2013 state champs), Berwick (barely lost out on the last spot to Redeemer
last year) and Scranton Prep (a powerhouse) will be lurking.
A
Montrose (1st D2, 5th
States)
Brandon
Curely, Sr (2) 4:33/16:48/15:56 (3 Mile)
Max
Brewer, Jr (11) 17:49/10:38
Liam
Mead, Jr (8) 17:22/4:41/10:54
Jerome
Washo, Sr (10) 17:31
Eric Bixby, Jr 17:48
Colin Spellman, Jr 17:51
Nick Coy, So 18:18/10:41
I was
on the Montrose bandwagon big time last year. I honestly believed they could
have given Winchester Thurston a run for their money if they raced perfectly
and the title favorites faltered. However, Montrose had a couple missteps and
had to settle for a very closely fought 5th place finish. Still a
fantastic result, but perhaps leaving a sour taste in their mouth as they were
just 29 points out of the medals. This year, Montrose returns four guys from
that squad (although they lose perhaps their best two) who are hungry and
determined to improve on last season’s result. In a perfect scenario, Brewer
and Mead can step right into the spots their brothers graduated from and they
can pull from one of the deepest JV squads in A to reload the back part of
their varsity. I still these guys as contenders for team medals.
Elk Lake (2nd D2)
Cody
Oswald, Sr (5) 16:56/50.86
Peyton
Jones, Jr (6) 17:11/10:19
Brett
Carney, Sr (23) 18:14
Devin
Bennett, Jr (24) 19:05
Kale
Decker, Jr (39) 19:55
David Lamoreaux, Jr 19:12
Elk
Lake is an excellent program that has produced state championship level teams
year in and year out. But they get a tough draw against Montrose. With only one
spot up for grabs, Elk Lake is going to have to bring their “A” game to knock
off the defending champions. Cody Oswald and Peyton Jones are great (42nd
and 41st at states) and I think one of them could break out and
become a medalist. They have a solid pack behind them, but will need to be
better than solid to topple Montrose.
District 4
A
NE Bradford (1st D4, 4th
States)
Zak
Smith, Jr (6) 17:21
Nate
Mosier, Sr (10) 17:44/10:34
Aaron Boss,
Sr (34) 18:50/17:54 (3 Mile)
Tyler
Devonshire, Sr 18:30/17:29 (3 Mile)
Destine
Moore, Jr (15) 18:17/17:26 (3 Mile)
Dusty Cook, Jr 19:08
Northeast
Bradford has owned the A District 4 classification since it was created. In
2012 they won the team title and every year since they’ve been hovering around
the conversation. Last year, they took 4th overall with two state
medalists. Those medalists are gone as is #4 runner Austin Senn-Bishop, but
there are enough names still around to indicate Bradford will still be a tough
test. Zak Smith really came on strong at the end of last season and I like his
potential to jump into the top 25 this year. After that, it’s a strong group
with a nice pack. I’ve seen this team win with pack running and front running
before so it’s hard to doubt them, but they will need bring their “A” game to
stay ahead of the hungry team behind them.
Southern Columbia (2nd
D4)
Ethan
Knoebel, Jr (3) 16:25/4:27y/2:00
Nicholas
Kuzo, Sr (4) 17:29
Jacob
Petro, Jr (13) 17:30
Reese
Houseknecht, Jr (20) 17:42
Brady
Reese, So (23) 18:06/10:30
Eli
Yemzow, Sr (38) 19:15
Southern
Columbia is a great squad that, unfortunately, had to stay home last year
during state weekend. This squad had the potential to be a top 5 team last year
considering they bested Jenkintown, Cranberry, Elk Lake and Penns Valley at the
Foundation Invite. But a tough match up with NEB left most of the squad home
besides their excellent 1-2 punch of Ethan Knoebel and Nick Kuzo. Knoebel is
coming off a terrific track season and entering his junior year. That could
mean he becomes a superstar. Brady Reese, a rising sophomore with big talent,
is a name to watch as well. I think he could make a jump.
This
match up should be one of the most exciting of district week. Whichever teams
wins will be a must watch at states.
AA
Milton Area (1st D4, 14th
States)
Tyler
Leeser, Sr (2) 16:39/9:37/4:16/1:55
Seth
Kendall, Sr (4) 17:10/2:03
Kellan
Guinn-Bailey, Jr (9) 17:43/10:42
Tanner
Walter, So (27) 18:13/10:29
Nick
Doresky, Sr (18) 17:40/10:15
Colton
Aikey, Sr (32) 18:07
Noah
Stamm, Sr (58) 19:31
Colton Loreman, So 10:32
I like
this Milton squad. I think they got strong experience last year building
confidence on the Hershey course on two occasions. They ran the foundation meet
there in September and averaged 18:10 for 13th place. When they
returned in November, they finished 14th overall with an average of
18:02. That improvement curve was in line with state runner-ups York Suburban
and better than some of the other top 10 teams. Tyler Leeser has made the jump
from great to amazing in the past year and he will hopefully be an inspiration
and motivator for the guys behind him. Seth Kendall has the potential to be a
great #2 and really came on strong toward the end of the year. If he figures
out the Hershey hills this year, he could be a top 40 guy and really transform
this team.
Others:
Loyalsock (4th D10)
returns entire top 7 including Quinn Serfass (defending champ) and Ryan
Sullivan (multi-time state qualifier). Will potentially have 6 seniors in top
7, but will need to develop pack. Rising sophomore Alex Reed could be one to
watch. Warrior Run (6th D10)
returns entire top 7 including 3 freshman and 2 sophomores. Warrior Run also
had the top finisher in the Lewisburg Middle School Classic in Caden Dufrene.
On the track, they placed 8th in the state running 8:04 for the 4x8
last spring. You can never count Lewisburg
(2nd D10) although they lose a lot of firepower.
District 6
A
Penns Valley (1st D6, 9th
States)
Chris
Colwell, Sr (1) 16:41/10:11/4:42
Mark
Bierly, Sr (2) 16:58/10:23
Sam
Gray, Sr (6) 17:26/10:23/4:37
Charlie
Romig, Sr (15) 17:55
Haden
Stamm, Sr (26) 18:36
Everett
VanHeyst, Jr (85) 20:37
I’m
high on Penns Valley going into this year. It’s always tough to knock off the
traditional powerhouses at the top of the A standings, but Penns Valley has
been steadily climbing the latter towards elite status over the past three
seasons. They cracked the top 10 last year and even got a state medalist in
Chris Colwell. I think their top 3 is excellent, definitely good enough to be a
top 5 team in the state. The pressure will be on the #4 and especially #5 spot.
These guys are all seniors who have grown together and chased this dream. It
would be cool to see that journey end with some team medals.
Others:
Purchase Line returns their top two from a state qualifying team last year and
is coming off a track season that included an 8:03 run in the 4x800. Micah
Kurka and Alex Boring lead that squad along with rising sophomore Hunter
Antisdel. Kurka was 48th at states a year ago.
AA
Central Cambria (1st D6,
16th States)
Ohm
Vyas, Jr (4) 17:07/10:38
Nate
Kuntz, So (6) 17:08
Duncan
Lambie, Jr (8) 17:31
Tyler
Wilson, Sr (23) 17:11/10:26/4:43
Zach
Brandis, So (11) 16:57/10:39
Alex
Jeffers, Sr (18) 18:01
Ike Haycisak, So 18:25
Central
Cambria was a fascinating team prior to the state meet last year after
dominating the District 6 championships with a young core and a tight spread.
However, they had trouble translating that to the state finals and finished
just 16th. This year, they bring back almost everyone including two
rising sophomores and two rising juniors. They have 4 guys back who were top 11
in the district last year before even starting their junior season. I want to
see this pack in action before I jump though too far up my theoretical
rankings, but I’m confident this squad will continue to improve. Really, I’d
just like to see one of their guys break out and hit another level as a top 50
type individual. That will transform this unit into something special.
AAA
State College (1st D6, 7th
States)
Owen
Isham, Jr (3) 16:25/9:51
Sam
Horn, Sr (11) 17:40/10:29
Joe
Messner, Jr 17:45/10:48
Mitchell Etter, Sr 16:44/9:27/4:34
It’s
hard to underestimate State College. They were a top 5 team in the state in
2013 and, when they looked fairly average at times, came through with a clutch
run at states to take 7th last year. With 3 top 10 finishes in 4
years (with that non-top 10 finish at 11th), this team has proven
they are force to be reckoned with. But, they took a sizable hit to graduation
for a second straight season with 4 of their top 6 and two of their very good
top 3 coming off the board. Owen Isham and a healthy Mitchell Etter will fill
the front-running void quite nicely, but the pack will need to be strong if
State College is going to hold on to a top 10 team spot at states.
Mifflin County (2nd D6)
Chayce
Macknair, Jr (4) 16:41/9:33/4:23
Chase
Sheaffer, So (6) 16:59
Seth
Phillips, Jr (7) 16:55/1:55
Dylan
Unger, Sr (15) 17:43/10:35
Garren
Wolfgang, Sr (17) 17:07/1:59
State
College has emerged as the power in this district, taking the mantle from
Altoona. However, like all great dynasties, there is always a challenger
waiting to topple them. This year, it looks like it will be Mifflin County. MC
returns three sub 17 guys and two breakout stars in Chayce Macknair and Seth
Phillips. Those two both qualified for states individually on the track and
really impressed me. This squad is still on the younger side (top 3 are juniors
and a soph), but they can’t wait around for the chance to seize the district
title. The key will be seniors Unger and Wolfgang. If Wolfgang can become a
consistent sub 17 guy, I think Mifflin County is going to be special.
District 9
A
Elk County Catholic (1st
D9, 2nd States)
Ben
Hoffman, So 17:15/16:17 (3 Mile)/10:00/4:43
Matt
Dippold, Sr 17:20/16:13 (3 Mile)/9:53/4:38
Isaac
Wortman, So 17:20/16:18 (3 Mile)
Logan
Hoffman, Sr 16:56/15:49 (3 Mile)/10:26/4:40
Sam Wolfe, Sr 19:38/10:33
Jacob Carnovale, Jr 11:02/4:45
Elk
County Catholic held on over the final mile in a hotly contested battle for 2nd
in the state last year. Ultimately, it was a big move from their freshman Ben
Hoffman that helped them hold off 4x8 powerhouse Seneca. Now Hoffman will have
to make the jump from pack guy to potential #1 low stick as Zach Wortman graduates.
The rest of the team’s scoring 5 will return and has the potential to be really
good yet again. Maybe even state championship level good. I think each member
of their top 4 has the chance to be a medalist by seasons end. Logan Hoffman
has run 15:49 for 3 miles and was 28th at 2 miles at last year’s
championships. He is their #4 returner. This team just needs to develop a #5
who can deliver them a strong performance and keep their score from blowing up.
They have a couple interesting JV guys in Sam Wolfe and Jacob Carnovale who could
be names to watch this season. I’m very high on this team for 2017.
Smethport (3rd D9)
Christian
Tanner, Jr (5) 16:49/15:59 (3 Mile)/4:36/2:01
Darion
Gregory, Jr (6) 17:14/10:12/4:46/16:25 (3 Mile)
Eric
Szarowicz, Jr (43) 18:58
Ethan
Nannen, So (48) 19:05/18:03 (3 Mile)
Smethport
is a fun team. They are very young with a projected top four that includes only
rising juniors and a sophomore, but they have two outstanding front runners in
Tanner and Gregory. Those guys will be the 2 to beat at Districts next year as
the top names graduate. Can this squad develop the back end of their line-up
enough to hold off Kane and Cranberry. If they do, they could have a very
similar finish to Cranberry’s 2016 team that took 8th in A.
Others:
Kane returns their entire top 6 from last year’s championships. They will need
to establish a front runner (their top guy, Shaw, was just 19th
overall last year), but they have a couple seniors and some young guns with
potential to improve. Kane was 4th overall last year and will be
hoping to plunge into that top 2 in this strong district.
AA
Punxsutawney (1st D9, 17th
States)
Owen
Bartlebaugh, So (2) 17:44/10:36/4:48
Ethan
Brentham, Jr (1) 17:36/10:21/4:47
Corbin
Heitzenrater, So (11) 18:55
Liam
Storms, Sr (15) 19:17
Ethan
May, Jr (20) 19:23/11:16
Matt Wehrle, Sr 1:59/4:51
Bradford (2nd D9)
Vinnie
Bizzarro, Jr (4) 17:06/2:04
Cade
Hayden, Sr (5) 17:26/10:51
Logan
Caruso, Sr (6) 16:55/9:52/4:29
Andrew
Kraft, So (7) 17:53/10:48
J.
Daniel Fedak, Jr (14) 18:53/17:48 (3 Mile)
David
Allen, Jr (17) 19:36/18:14 (3 Mile)
Dominic Cary, So 19:30
Tyler Kraft, So 2:06
The
District 9 AA battle should come down to two very familiar teams. Punxsutawney
enters as the defending champions. They are led by individual champ Ethan
Brentham and break out freshman performer Owen Bartlebaugh. Those two make for
a terrific 1-2 punch. After that, the pack will need to continue to progress,
but the pieces are there. It will be interesting to see if Matt Wehrle, who ran
1:59 last spring, comes out for the XC team and gives them a lift in their
scoring 5.
Punxsutawney’s
old rival Bradford will be ready for the challenge. They took 4th
through 7th last year with three returners. They return their entire
top 7 and are hungry to reclaim the district title. You have to like this pack
and you certainly have to be excited about the prospect of two time XC district
champ Logan Caruso returning to full health. He started to hit his stride
toward the end of outdoors and could be a real challenge for the Groundhogs’
top 2.
District 10
AA
Harbor Creek (1st D10, 4th
States)
Ryan
Stravaggi, Jr (2) 16:23/4:26
Aiden
Weber, Jr (3) 16:26/10:03
Christian
Babo, Sr (8) 16:37
Nolan
Weber, So (38) 18:13
Nate
Dougan, Sr (70) 17:48/10:37
Caleb Mandel, Jr 18:14/4:49
Harbor
Creek was an incredibly interesting team last year. They have 3 state medalists
and 4 top 50 finishers, a truly elite group of runners. However, they had to
settle for 4th at states as they ran into some terrific teams at the
front end and were edged out via the #5 spot against others. It could
potentially be a similar story this year for the district champs. They return
all 3 of those medalists (two of which were sophomores) and have a crop of
potential talents to give them a lift on the back end of the scorers. I think
Noal Weber could be quite strong this year. He was 38th in the
loaded D10 as just a freshman and helped the team clinch their District 10 with
his performance. He should really benefit from an extra year of training and
experience, especially on those Hershey hills.
I think
this team has all the pieces to contend for the top 5 again. They may even be
better in 2017 then they were in 2016. However, they are peaking at the wrong
time. District 10 AA is absolutely loaded as a ton of teams return a lot of
talent. And then forecasting ahead to states, essentially all the top programs
return 4 or 5 guys who are doing incredible running. Let’s see how Harbor Creek
handles the pressure of repeating their championship efforts.
General McLane (2nd D10,
6th States)
Erik
Andrzejewski, Jr (4) 16:56/9:41/4:31
Nate
Price, Jr (6) 16:43/9:38/4:28
Simon
Zehr, Jr (23) 17:46
Nick
Halmi, Jr (60) 17:56
Gotta
say, General McLane made me a fan last year. They did some clutch running, took
down some big scalps and ended up going on to take 6th at states.
Their top two, Erik Andrzejewski and Nate Price, are rising juniors with a ton
of talent. I think these two have a ton of potential (they are just stuck in a
loaded class that also includes the Harbor Creek 1-2 and Jonah Powell … and
that’s just in their district). If General McLane wants to repeat their incredible
stretch run in 2017, they will need to find guys behind those 2 that can make
an impact. Two other rising juniors in Simon Zehr and Nick Halmi will be tasked
with the job.
Grove City (3rd D10)
Tyler
Quinn, Sr (15) 17:34
Jonah
Powell, Jr (17) 16:14/4:22/9:49/2:00
Mason
Murray, So (21) 17:50
Luke
Owrey, Jr (25) 17:34/10:04/4:45
Joe Somora, So 17:58
Ben Jones, Sr 4:41/10:19/18:30
Grove
City is a terrific program with a long history of success. But last year the
powerhouse was stunned in the District qualifiers, taking 3rd place
behind General McLane and having to stay home from the state championships. The
good news? The top 4 guys at districts were all returners and pretty much all
had strong days for themselves at districts. Jonah Powell is a star and
although he had a hiccup last year, should be back with a vengeance this
season. It wouldn’t surprise me if he’s the individual district and state
champion this fall considering his progress on the track and his XC credentials
to date. I also like some of their up and coming talent. Luke Owrey looked very
strong as a sophomore last year and Ben Jones showed consistent improvement
during the spring. I’m expecting this team to rally together a redemption squad
and get back to states where they have been 5th, 2nd, 5th
and 2nd in the years before last.
Fairview (4th D10)
Jamison
Cook, Jr (12) 16:54
Jerrod
Nelson, Sr (13) 17:32/10:14/4:48
Cole
Pollock, Sr (33) 17:58
Max
Myers, Jr (36) 18:32
Jacob
Shultz, Sr (37) 18:28
Wes
Good, Jr (55) 19:01
Tim
Kill, Jr (77) 18:38
I
wanted to give Fairview a quick shout out. They’ve got a lot of talent coming
back, a strong pack and a potential breakout star or two out front. They will
have some work to do if they are going to catch any of the schools in the top
3, but we saw an upset last year so I don’t think we should count them out. If
they do advance, I think we have seen enough evidence the past few years that the
top schools in District 10 are top 10 teams in the state, knocking on the door
of top 5 if they peak right.
A
Seneca (1st D10, 3rd
States)
Robert
Stepnowski, Sr (20) 17:46/10:35
Jake
Schneider, Jr (29) 17:36/2:03
Brock
Smith, So (36) 17:46/10:30
Nick
Post, Sr (31) 17:38/10:31
Alex Hopson, So 19:09
Matt Zajac, So 19:16
Seneca
has cemented themselves as a top 10 program in the state over the past 4
seasons. Of course, that was in large part thanks to the now graduated Myers
twins who have been elite athletes since their arrival at the school. With
Myers, Myers and Hanes out the door, it’s finally time for the next generation
to rise to the occasion and try and keep Seneca’s title in house. It won’t be
easy, but they return a crop of four guys who seem poised to carry on the legacy.
Schneider likely learned a lot from his training with the 4x8 crew this past
spring and is coming off a pretty nice season for himself. Stepnowski, rising
sophomore Brock Smith and Nick Post all have personal bests that indicate they
can be top 15-20 guys in the district this fall. But is that enough? D10 A has
consistently produced top 10 teams and has had individual title contenders as
well. I’d say Seneca is still among the favorites, but it’s going to be crowded
at the top.
Reynolds (5th D10)
Troy
Hart, So (16) 17:33/10:21
Dylan
Forrester, Sr (24) 16:59/2:03
Garrett
Duffy, Sr (32) 18:27
Corey
Thompson, Sr (39) 18:29
Adam
Wilcox, So (66) 18:36
Nick
Gill, Sr (106) 18:58
This
Reynolds team was very solid last year and return their core for ‘17. Troy Hart
was terrific as a freshman last year. I think Dylan Forrester could be a top 10
guy this season as well. They are built a lot like Seneca with a nice pack and some
strong potential, but they will need to be better than that if they want a
state spot. Watch for Adam Wilcox this year as a sleeper to emerge as a key piece
for this squad.
Lakeview (9th D10)
Zac
Tingley, Sr (4) 16:33/10:17/1:59
Carson
Kyko, So (51) 18:45
Tyler
Lightcap, Sr (57) 19:28
Logan
Hogue, Jr (63) 17:48/10:29
Joe
Grim, Jr (65) 18:54
Zac
Tingley is an excellent runner who has program changing potential. When you
have a guy of his caliber leading the way and inspiring his teammates, that can
left your school to the next level. He will provide the low stick potential and
the rest of this top 5 will just need to fill in the pieces, racing with
essentially a man advantage. The pack will have to get better (they were just 9th
last year), but I think they definitely can. Keep an eye on Logan Hogue who I
think may end up being one of the best #2 runners in the district.
Others:
Cochranton (7th D10)
returns their entire top 7 including last year’s 8th place finisher
Noah Bernarding. What makes this team a must watch is the fact that their
returners are all either rising sophomores or rising juniors. That could mean
this team has big upside. Even with that young core, Cochranton had 4 guys
under 17:45 at Sharpsville last fall. West
Middlesex (2nd D10, 7th States) was a big surprise to
me last year when they made states over established powers Mercyhurst and North
East. They return a talented big three in Luke Mantzell and the Chlpka boys who
will be sophomores and juniors respectively in 2017. Those are their only
varsity returners, but they have some younger pieces like Joey Varga who could
potentially add another dimension to their line up.
Freshman
will likely play a big role in this district (and others). Keep in mind that
West Middlesex got a huge boost from their freshman in Mantzell, who they
needed to get to states. We can’t predict which freshmen will show up in 2017
(for the most part) so there’s still a lot up in the air, even for the best
programs. D10 A should be a wild ride this year.
District 11
AA
Notre Dame GP (1st
Districts, 9th States)
John
Koons, Jr (2) 17:02/16:04 3 Mile
Anthony
Pacchioli, Sr (6) 17:05
Charlie
Hohl, Sr (17) 17:49/51.51
Sheamus
Hammerstone, Sr (13) 17:14/10:16/4:40
Aeron
Meilinger, Sr (46) 18:38/17:16 3 Mile
Joe
Gubernot, Jr (49) 18:46/11:18
Notre
Dame Green Pond had a nice day at states. Their #1 runner, sophomore John
Koons, took 25th overall and earned a state medal. Then, thanks to a
nice team run, NDGP finished 9th overall in the team standings.
Considering they bring back 6 varsity runners (including 4 top 20 finishers
from districts), it’s hard not to see them as a potential top 5 team in the state.
The x-factor here could be Sheamus Hammerstone. When I look at a team, I
usually jump to their top 3 first and Hammerstone could be a great #3 for this
school. Another interesting piece is Charlie Hohl who was a 400 meter runner
during track but had one of his best races of the year at states on the Hershey
hills. It’s a talented bunch.
AAA
Parkland (1st D11, 17th
States)
Nicholas
Bower, Jr (12) 16:37/9:54
Sam
Morgan, Sr (3) 16:31/4:21/2:00
Riley
Williamson, Jr (8) 1:59/4:33/16:47
Jacob
Ringer, Sr (27) 17:18/1:58
Nathan Rode, Sr 17:28/10:15
Parkland
knows how to make it to states. They know how to compete for district titles.
And so far, they’ve developed a nice group of talent to try and continue their
streak of excellence. Sam Morgan, the 3rd place finisher and top
returner from districts, is an experienced winner who can lead this squad from the
front. Nicholas Bower made big steps in 2016 and broke 10 minutes on the track.
Riley Williamson and Jacob Ringer are both sub 2 guys. And we know this team is
deep. They tend to show up with an army to XC meets. And yet, in a rare turn,
Parkland doesn’t have favorite status for this year’s district championship. Let’s
see if they run with a chip on their shoulder this fall.
Southern Lehigh (2nd
D11, 18th States)
Colin
Cramer, Sr (17) 17:00/9:33/4:36
Raahi
Klar-Chaudhari, Sr (16) 16:58/10:29
Thomas
Matsumura, Sr (7) 16:44/9:39/4:23
Corey
Welsh, Jr (9) 16:47/10:01/4:44
Alex
Fillman, Jr (36) 17:55/2:03
Southern
Lehigh has emerged as a potential top 10 team in the state. They absolutely
stunned me at districts last year with a really impressive bit of pack running.
Since then, they’ve continued to put on a show with strong results from Colin
Cramer and Thomas Matsumura on the track. That 1-2 punch makes this team
dangerous on not just the district level, but also the state level. Lehigh
reminds me a bit of the Freedom teams that rose up in District 11 in recent
years, riding a nice pack with some talented individuals to a position where
they could challenge the best in district and contend for a top 10 spot.
Hopefully everyone stays healthy and continues to improve.
District 12
A
Masterman (1st D12, 15th
States)
Dan
Bici, Sr (2) 17:36/10:01/4:30
Stephen
Njiru, Jr (5) 18:53/10:30
Isaac
Colon, Sr 19:05/10:28
Noah
Bradley, So (11) 19:15
Darren
Chen, Sr (9) 19:24
David
Lawrence, Sr (4) 18:58/4:55
Masterman
is typically dominant on the D12 A stage and with a group of 6 coming back from
their state line up, it seems likely they will take gold yet again. But the
bigger goal for this squad should be to contend on a state level. Their top 3
is coming along well as Bici had a monster track season while Nijiru and Colon
impressed me as well. David Lawerence was a top 4 guy in the district last year
so he can clearly be a contributor on a good team. That’s plenty of pieces for
Masterman to make a run and get back into the top 10 teams in the state.
AAA
LaSalle (1st D12, 5th
States)
Vincent
Twomey, So (7) 16:59/4:29
Ethan
Maher, So (15) 17:18/10:09
Evan
Addison, Sr (1) 16:18/4:17y/1:54/9:24/8:46
Sean Egan, Sr 17:38/9:50
Jack Seiberlich, Jr 18:04/4:35y
Matthew Zilligen, Jr 18:00/4:28y
O’Hara (2nd D12, 13th
States)
Jack
Becker, Sr (12) 16:51/10:04
Tom
McNicholas, Sr (27) 17:43/10:09
Josh Hayes, Jr 17:55
Derek Sacks, Sr 18:04/4:48y
LaSalle
and O’Hara could be on this list even if you didn’t know any of their
returners. The coaching and the sustained excellence have given them the
benefit of the doubt. However, both teams will be fighting up-hill battles in
2017. LaSalle lost a ton of seniors including consistent varsity performers
like Brendan Price and Stephen Paul. In fact, their only two returners from the
5k at states are rising sophomores. However, they have Evan Addison, defending
district champion, to lead the charge and provide a low stick while up and
comers Matthew Zilligen and Jack Seiberlich could factor into the varsity
equation. LaSalle was pretty darn deep last year and even if most of their core
are gone, I trust them to restock.
O’Hara
has been one of the best teams in the state for almost a decade, but this year
could finally be the one where they take a step back. They graduated arguably
their best four runners from 2016 and are running out of links to the O’Hara
squads that posted 5 straight top 3 finishes at states from 2010 to 2014. Jack
Becker had a strong season last year when he got the chance to be a consistent
part of the varsity squad and I like the track season McNicholas put together.
But they will need some JV guys to step up like others have before them and
make mini leaps to get toward elite status. On this team, it seems very
possible. We’ve seen guys like Rob Morro and Gavin Inglis make big leaps to
become top 30 types at states and O’Hara has posted 22 top 50 finishers at
states since joining the PIAA in 2008 (21 of those have come since 2010) and 14
top 25 finishers (all since 2010). Let’s see if they can build on their legacy
and surprise me with a huge 2017 season and a return to the state’s top 10.
honestly in all clasifications the key to winning states is racing every weekend. ive noticed the best teams always have the most racing experience and they do the best in their duel meets. the racing serves to make them battlehardned spartans and give them racing experience and get them in shape because the best racing speed work is racing right
ReplyDeleteI've really been enjoying these team previews. Just so you're aware, I believe programs only change classifications every other year. The switches fall on even years ('16,'18) for XC so everyone should be where they were last year. As far as district qualifying numbers, I assume those only change every other year as well, but I can't seem to find anything about that on the PIAA website so someone can correct or confirm that.
ReplyDeleteYou've put a lot of work into these clearly, and I've really enjoyed reading these, so much thanks for all these
ReplyDeleteOk, little rant about the classifications. I don't care if we have two or twelve classifications. What bothers me is the different standards set for different classifications. The classifications are based on school size, NOT competitiveness. I can't understand why we can't just have the same standards across the board and accept that the A and AA classifications will have less kids make states. If the difference is too extreme, then slide more AAA schools down to A and AA. I am in a 1AAA school, and while I do prefer the competition over an easy route to states, it is extremely frustrating to have to be roughly around sub 16:20, sub 4:20, and sub 1:57 to make states while kids can run 18:00 and 2:05 and make states simply because their school is smaller. So again, make standards the same for all classifications, and slide more AAA schools down to eliminate the ease of making states in a smaller school. Please let me here some thoughts on this.
ReplyDeleteI think you are completely right. I went to a smaller school and we just will never have the depth to compete against these larger schools. I think there should be 3 classifications. One called like Independent for the the catholic schools and such that can give scholarships for people to attend ther. schools. They should not be able to compete against public schools. This would also be a good way to try and get the private schools in on things. Then I think they should keep the AA and AAA but just split them into 2 classifications of equal size.
DeleteA side note: Would having separate divisions/classifications and medal separately but just running the whole meet as one work? No idea how they would set that up but it could be the best of both worlds. Would really make it a State meet of the best of the best. Would never happen but just throwing that out there.
Maybe more feasible in XC (which may be what you are referring to) since it just the one race? A little tricky to keep track of in the moment though so someone who is a "state champ" individually may have no idea until the race is over, but you do get a head to head match up
DeleteEvery year there's probably at least 5 teams from D1 XC that have a legit shot at being top 10 in the state but don't get to go to states. Meanwhile there's another 10 teams from other districts who make states and couldn't finish in the top 30 teams at D1 districts. Then in track it's always been an injustice that kids from D1-AAA can get under the SQL with a 9:30 3200 and not go to states, yet some kid from a rural district goes with over 10:00. The system is set up for representation instead of qualifications.
DeleteThere's D1, and then the rest of the state. D1 is too big.
DeletePrivate schools do recruit for football and basketball, but lets be real for a second: No school cares enough about track and XC athletes to give scholarships or to recruit them. Football and basketball players could potentially be throwers, jumpers, hurdlers, and sprinters but track was definitively an afterthought for most of these athletes. The last comment had a good point in saying that some runners go to states and can run no where near the state qualifying time. In District 12 the winning time in the AA 3200m was 10:51. That time wouldn't have qualified for the championships in most other districts. (In D7 I believe the time was in the 10:20s). It seems unfair that slower runners in uncompetitive districts can make states that easily. On the contrary, it is unfair that a District Champion can't run in the state meet. The solution is simple, create regional meets in between Districts and States. Ohio, Texas and a few other states do it. In result, the state meet is reserved for only those who are close to the qualifying time, and runners in smaller districts get a chance to compete a higher level without taking up space on the track.
ReplyDeletePersonally I'd be very interested to see some district realignment/regional meets. Some of these district championship results are just so small. I don't how feasible things are from a travel standpoint, but regional meets sound like they could be pretty effective at alleviating some of the more glaring problems with the system while still giving opportunity to a lot of runners.
DeleteI realize that creating the regional boundaries so to speak would be difficult but I have some ideas. For travel reasons, I'd say put 3 Districts together, creating 4 regions. 3 regions would increase travel time for some times. Districts 4, 5, and 9 only go up to AA for XC, while all district 8 teams compete in AAA. Because of this you could put 9 and 8 together with the WPIAL. I'm not too familiar with the position of all the districts, but the PIAA could probably figure it out if they tried.
Deletehttps://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a9/PIAA_District_Map.png Here is a district map. Hopefully link works. Idk how long anything is in minutes though, but this should give us an idea what districts might be matched up
DeleteAlright hear me out on this. This would only work for AAA. You would have 2 regions, East and West. The East region would be Districts 1,2,11,12. 10 spots would be up for grabs at this meet. I would say a lot of years you would get about 7 D1 teams, 2 D12 teams and 1 from D11. 2 would rarely get teams. It would likely be competed at Lehigh. The West region would be the rest of the state, which includes 3,6,7,8,10. They get 10 spots as well. A typical year would likely see about 5 D3 teams, 4 D7 teams, and 1 D6 team. 8 and 10 would rarely get teams. You would probably compete it near State College or somewhere farther west (Indiana or Armstong county would probably be ideal, but I don't know if there are any good locations there). District 3 doesn't have to travel for states, so make them do the travelling that weekend. This system would lead to less representation, but it would definitely yield better teams. The beauty of the system is that if a small district has a lot of good teams, they all get to go. If we had this system all along, the days of LaSalle or O'Hara, and State College or Altoona would never have been an issue. In addition to this, when D7 is an up year and D3 is in a down year (or vice versa) their representation will reflect that. As far as individuals go there would be a few different options. Make the district meets the place to qualify for states just like it is now and have the regional meets be for teams only. Make the district meets qualifiers for regionals for individuals as well and take the top 50 from each region. Or you could use a more complicated system where you can qualify at either. The main issues would be the travel and the fact that it adds an extra week to the schedule. Personally, I don't think either of those are that big of a deal. Ultimately, I don't see anything like this happening, but if they truly wanted the 20 best teams at AAA states, I believe this would be the best way to go about doing it.
ReplyDelete(Just to justify why it would have to be only 2 regions and not more, if it were 3, one of the regions would just be districts 1 and 12 getting 7 spots, which means district 1 would still only get 5 teams most year based on the strength of LaSalle and O'Hara).