AAA
Seneca Valley (2016: 1st, 2015: 2nd)
Seneca Valley (2016: 1st, 2015: 2nd)
Sam
Owori, Jr – 16:44 (4) + 4:19/16:40
Seth
Ketler, Jr – 16:48 (7) + 4:24/1:58/16:46
Alex
Dixon, Sr – 17:07 (17) + 50.9
Christian
Resch, Sr – 17:12 (22) + 10:05
Aidan
Domencic, Jr – 18:06 (61) + 17:53/10:19
Luke
Bellack, Sr – 19:02 (126) + 2:00/17:36
Adam Owori, So – 10:33/18:39
Andrew Balla, Sr – 4:30
Seneca
Valley has been on a rapid ascent the past few seasons. It started with Brett
Foster and Tanner Quiggle. Then it picked up steam in a hurry with the arrival
of Mike Kolor. But now, SV is in its absolute prime. They just won a district
title and took 4th at states. That team returns six varsity runners
and some JV pieces would could surprise. Their top two juniors have established
themselves as household names, but they’ve also got dudes with incredible range
like Alex Dixon (can place top 20 at WPIALs and also run 50 point for the open
quarter) and Luke Bellack (I believe he ran a 1:55 anchor leg for this school
at outdoor states this past year). After its upset last year, SV isn’t sneaking
up on anybody in 2017. How will they handle the pressure?
North Allegheny (2016: 2nd,
2015: 1st)
TJ
Robinson, Sr – 16:48 (8)
Daniel
McGoey, So – 17:00 (12) + 9:36/16:53
Cam
Phillips, Sr – 17:39 (38) +17:08/4:33
Luke Turkovich, Jr – 17:03
Historically,
North Allegheny has had no problems rebuilding. But last year they may have
finally been outmatched. Although the Tigers had a fantastic season by any
reasonable standard, they did fail to keep their WPIAL streak and Top 5 in the
state streak alive when they were 2nd and 6th. But still.
2nd and 6th? Those are awesome results that most teams
dream about over the summer. It’s a great team, but what makes them great is
that they always want more. After once again getting hit hard by graduation,
the boys from North Allegheny will be hungry and back with a vengeance this
season. It’s hard to bet against them, but the WPIAL is top heavy this season
and there’s unbelievably a chance this squad doesn’t even make states.
Butler (2016: 3rd, 2015:
17th)
Noah
Beveridge, Sr – 16:35 (2) + 15:59/9:07/4:19/1:57
Brett
Brady, Sr -17:08 (19) + 16:55/4:26
Aden
Dressler, Jr – 17:26 (30) + 9:55
Robbie
Hays, Sr – 17:38 (37) + 17:35/4:37
Camden
Seybert, Sr – 18:00 (55)
Timmy Porter,
Sr – 18:41 (103) + 18:12/4:44/2:02
Butler
was down my list of teams to qualify for states in 2016. But they came on
perfectly at the right time and dropped from 17th to 3rd
in the span of a year. Now they bring back a confident, experienced crew with
bigger goals than just making it to states. Butler has a fearless leader in
Noah Beveridge, an excellent #2 in Brett Brady and then a good mix of distance
and mid distance specialists. How good can this team be? And, based on the
ability to peak they showed this past year, when will we know their true
potential?
Pittsburgh CC (2016: 4th,
2015: 4th)
Sam
Gatti, Sr – 17:09 (20) + 16:51/9:50
Max
Steffey, Sr – 17:56 (51) + 17:24/10:05
Brendan
Lawlor, Jr – 18:52 (112)
After
heartbreakingly close finishes for state qualifying spots the past two seasons
(and some even before that) the PCC crew is going to try and change their
fortune in 2017. Sam Gatti is an excellent piece to build around and I liked
the performance Max Steffey had on the track. They don’t return a bunch from
last year, but this team always finds a way to stay competitive. You can’t
count this team out.
Mount Lebanon (2016: 6th,
2015: 3rd)
Patrick
Anderson, So – 17:22 (27) + 16:28
Peter
Cosentino, Jr – 17:23 (28) + 9:47/16:53
Jack
Cameron, Sr – 17:42 (40) + 16:43/4:32
Bryce
Brandenstein, Sr – 18:18 (81) + 4:30/16:10/2:00
Cameron
Potts, Sr – 18:31 (90) + 17:01/4:30
Thomas Cosentino, Sr – 16:32/10:03
Nate Everhardt, Sr – 17:26/4:48/1:57
This is
the team to watch. The boys from Mount Lebanon could finish the season outside
the state qualifying picture like they did last year. But they also could end
up being in the mix for a top 5 team finish at states. I think they are that
good. They had two guys in the state qualifying mix last season and those
arguably weren’t even their best two runners. They ran on a fast legends
course, but if you look at their 5k PRs and their track times you can see a
boatload of talent. As has been mentioned, they just need to bring their “A”
game to Coopers Lake. If that happens, the rest of the state should look out.
Chartiers Valley (2016: 7th,
2015: 5th)
Czar
Tarr, Sr – 16:51 (9) + 16:39/4:30/9:38
Elias
Zajicek, Jr – 17:28 (31) + 16:50/4:38/1:57
Mark
Golebiewski, Sr – 17:33 (36)
Zack
Macy, Jr – 17:54 (49)
Joshua
Kusajtys, Sr – 19:25 (156)
People
used to not think much about Chartiers Valley, but that has all changed the
past few seasons. CV has back to back top 7 finishes in the WPIAL and looks like
they will be back in the top group again with 4 top 50 returners. Czar Tarr
leads the way. He’s a good bet for a top 5 finish at WPIALs and maybe even a
state medal at Hershey. Don’t sleep on Elias Zajicek either. He dropped a 1:57
on the track to showcase some serious wheels. They have to bolster up the 5
spot a bit, but this is a quality program that can’t be overlooked any longer.
Fox Chapel (2016: 8th,
2015: 11th)
Christian
Fitch, So – 17:21 (26) + 16:47/9:56
Greg
Overbeck, Jr - 17:58 (52)
Jonathan
Folkerts, Sr – 18:10 (70) + 17:21/4:32
Ian
Brown, Jr – 18:13 (75)
Avery Bursick,
Jr – 18:38 (99)
It’s
been a while since Fox Chapel qualified for the state championships, but they
are starting to build up the pieces to do it again. Christian Fitch was a
sneaky strong freshman last year with big upside in 2017. The other name to
watch is Jon Folkerts who dropped 4:32 for 1600 on the track. Maybe that 1-2
punch makes a leap and this team drops a bunch in the team scoring.
Mars Area (2016: 14th,
2015: 4th (AA))
Zach
Leachman, So – 17:16 (24) + 17:03/4:32/9:37
Connor
Volk-Klos, Jr – 17:49 (46) + 17:42/4:32
John
Zervos, Jr – 18:14 (76) + 17:45
Caleb
Keys, Sr – 18:37 (98) + 17:18/10:25
In their
first year in AAA, Mars acquitted themselves quite well against the large
schools. Assuming they stay there, watch for this young core. Their top 3
finishers from WPIALs last year were sophomores or younger. Caleb Keys didn’t
have his best day at Districts last year and I think he could bounce back in a
big way to close out his senior year. This is a very intriguing core. Probably
not fast enough to make it to states, but you never know what a high upside
group is capable of doing.
AA
Greensburg Salem (2016: 1st,
2015: 3rd)
Mark
Brown, Jr – 16:55 (4) + 16:22/4:25/9:38
Cameron
Binda, Jr – 17:04 (6) + 16:21/9:37/4:22
Dylan
Binda, Jr – 17:50 (16) + 17:20/1:58/4:37
Nick
Leo, Sr – 19:59 (106)
Noah
Calisti, So – 21:04 (151)
The 2016
WPIAL champions lost two key members of their top 5 to graduation and will have
to work hard to replenish that depth. The top 3, on paper, looks awesome. They’ve
got 3 sub two guys that also have the ability to move and do damage at the
longer distances. The story here will be the 4-5, as it is with most teams. If
they get some step up performances, GS will be heading back to states for a 3rd
straight season.
Quaker Valley (2016: 2nd,
2015: 6th)
Dan
Ford, So - 17:45 (14)
Ryan
Weicht, Sr – 18:52 (61)
Henry
Guild, Sr – 19:23 (85)
Quaker
Valley also was hit hard by graduation this year. Most notably, they lost 3
time district champ Zach Skolnekovich, but they also lost a consistent
performer in Jake Smiley. Dan Ford is a very talented youngster in this loaded
2020 class, but the QV coaching squad is going to need to continue to work it’s
magic if this team is going to stay in the top 5.
South Fayette (2016: 3rd,
2015: 2nd)
Sam
Snodgrass, Sr – 17:00 (5) + 4:21/9:38/16:08
Silas
Mays, Sr – 18:15 (30) + 17:25/1:57
Michael
Cusick, Sr – 18:21 (37)
Colin
Dunn, Sr – 18:33 (45)
Ryan
Hayes, Sr – 19:45 (95)
With QV
and GS both losing some big names, South Fayette seems poised to make a run.
This school was 3rd at states this past fall and brings back 5
talented runners to carry on the legacy. I will point out that the loss of a
top tier low stick like Aaron Pfeil is going to hurt more than it seems on
paper. Especially from a consistency and leadership stand point. That being
said, guys like Silas Mays (1:57 this spring) have the potential to step up and
fill his shoes. What I really like is how these guys overcame nearly missing
out on qualifying for states, to jump within striking distance of team medals. That
speaks to the culture of this program and the mental fortitude of the athletes.
New Castle (2016: 4th,
2015: 11th)
Anthony
Litrena, So – 17:58 (18) + 10:37/17:24
Le’shawn
Huf, Sr – 18:05 (22) + 4:24/17:22
George
Eggleston, Sr – 18:09 (27)
Andre
Corbin, Jr – 18:17 (34)
Aaron
Adamo, So – 19:44 (94)
New
Castle almost knocked out South Fayette last year and finished a tie breaker
out of state qualifying. I highly doubt these boys have forgotten that near
miss and fully expect an awesome summer from this team’s returning core. They’ve
got 4 top 35 finishers coming back and one of them is a freshly crowned
district champ. Le’shawn Huff is one of the big sleeper names to watch this
fall after his upset victory at WPIALs in the 1600 over big names like Sam
Snodgrass of South Fayette. If he develops into a low stick and pulls the rest
of his training partners, look out. New Castle could be your 2017 WPIAL
champions.
Indiana Area (2016: 5th,
2015: 10th)
Rocco
Fanella, Sr – 18:06 (23) + 17:54/10:28
Joey
Bujdos, Jr – 18:24 (38) + 1:59/18:06
Kendall
Brenan, So – 18:28 (40) + 17:48
Matt
Berzonsky, Jr – 18:33 (44)
Julian
Yerger, So – 18:47 (54)
Evan
Weaver, Sr – 18:53 (64)
Isaac Evans, Sr – 10:14/18:53
Uniontown (2016: 7th,
2015: 5th)
Cameron
Kutek, Sr – 18:06 (24)
Austin
Metts, Sr – 18:17 (35) + 18:00
Riley
Gilleland, Jr – 18:24 (39)
Sam
Killinger, So – 18:29 (43) + 18:00/10:35
Logan
Maust, So – 18:48 (56) + 18:05
I feel
like these two programs are incredibly underrated. Heck, I’m underrating them
right now by pushing them together into just one paragraph. Indiana Area loses
their #1 guy and reliable low stick in Sam Lenze, but returns everybody else.
Plus, they should pick up Isaac Evans, who is fresh off an excellent track
season. This is a program that has closed a sub 8 4x8 to take down Seneca
Valley within the past 5 years so clearly they aren’t afraid of taking on the best.
Meanwhile,
Uniontown has a knack for always turning it on at WPIALs. They don’t have a ton
of flashy track times or big PRs. In fact, they don’t have anybody on Milesplit
with sub 18 credentials. But mark my words, this team will be in the mix for a
state qualifying spot. In fact, I’ll go on record right now and say that they
make it to states in 2017. No pressure.
A
Winchester Thurston (2016: 1st,
2015: 2nd)
Tristan
Forsythe, Sr – 17:10 (2) + 4:12/15:40/9:35
Gordon
Pollock, Sr – 17:36 (5) + 2:00/4:28/17:23
Sean
Heintzleman, So – 17:53 (9)
Scott
Routledge, So – 18:10 (14) + 17:50/10:31
Dan
Senter, Jr – 19:28 (53)
Winchester
Thurston has developed into a contender for a state title every year. It always
seems like they have more guys in the pipeline. They graduate one or two studs
(Landin Delaney, Will Loevner, Ben Littmann and Shaun Hay in successive years),
but then they return everybody else. This squad has also been very strong about
cultivating young talent. Just look at Gordon Pollock’s consistent improvement
each year for this squad. That’s why it’s hard to imagine their sophomores not
making at least a little jump this year. Heintzleman could even be a medal
contender at states if things click. Plus, we will probably see a new freshman
or two blossom onto the radar at this school.
They
won the district title last year with 20 points! That’s unreal! Look out A.
Riverview (2016: 2nd,
2015: 3rd)
Ben
Barnes, Sr – 17:36 (6) + 16:58/10:01/4:37
Michael
Komaniak, Sr – 18:09 (13)
Ryan
Cecil, Sr – 18:54 (32)
Jacob
Sullivan, So – 19:20 (47)
Ricky
Smith, Sr – 19:25 (50)
Parker
Morgan, So – 20:55 (90)
Sean Sliben, Jr
Riverview
is now back to back state qualifiers out of A. They made it on a tiebreaker in
2015 and then made it outright this past season. And the team is still growing.
Riverview returns five top 50 finishers from last year’s meet, including Ben
Barnes, a state medalist and excellent front runner. It’s hard to imagine this
team out of the state qualifying picture given the resume they have put
together the past two years with much of this same core.
Sewickley Academy (2016: 3rd,
2015: 1st)
Austin
Duffield, Sr – 18:32 (22) + 17:58
Sam
Casale, Sr – 18:57 (33) + 18:23/52
Jared
Washington, Sr – 19:05 (39)
Michael
Bartholic, Sr – 22:10 (116)
Mason SanFlippo, Sr – 18:37
Henry Meakem, Jr – 10:19/17:08
Sewickley
Academy won back to back district titles in 2014 and 2015. In 2016, they got
hit hard by the injury bug, but still managed to make it back to states with a
3rd place finish (that included a clutch final mile of running).
They graduate some key pieces, but they will hopefully also return guys like
Henry Meakem, who medaled at A states as a freshman and Mason SanFlippo.
Sewickley has something to prove. They’ve been a few bad breaks away from back
to back state titles in their classification. I’m sure they are hungry to steal
the thunder of the two time state champs in their own district.
Shenango (2016: 5th,
2015: 4th)
Matt
Salem, Sr – 17:43 (7) + 10:11/17:06/4:44
John
Maloney, So – 19:06 (40)
Lucas
Olcott, Jr – 19:16 (44)
Nathan
Kraus, Sr – 19:21 (48)
Ty
Kent, Jr – 19:25 (51)
Jensen
Lewis, Jr – 20:06 (68)
We’ve
talked a lot about heartbreaks, but I’m not sure anyone has Shenango beat. This
program has missed out on the past two state championships by a combined 6
points. It’s been a rough journey, but Shenango will bring 6 of their top 7 in
2017. There’s a chance to flip the script and punch that ticket to states
behind excellent front-runner Matt Salem. They will need a couple younger
runners to step up as they have a lot of sophomores and juniors expected to
contribute, but they have the talent to make a run at a top 3 finish.
Greensburg CC (2016: 9th,
2015: 9th)
Aiden
Brewer, Sr – 18:12 (15) + 17:32/10:41/2:03
Calvin
Dziewulski, Jr – 18:22 (18)
Brendan
Maher, Sr – 20:36 (83) + 19:22
Andrew
Nassur, Sr – 20:39 (87)
Patrick
Brewer, So – 21:38 (103)
Danny
Erdely, Sr – 22:01 (112)
I think
this may be the program outside the top 5 with the best shot to make noise in
A. GCC were a surprise state qualifier out of this district two years ago and
could be gearing up to make another run. They’ve been 9th the past
two seasons, but that has been while they groomed a young core for a chance to
make it back to Hershey. At least one, if not two, of their top 5 guys is going
to have to make a leap from 20 minute performer down toward 18 minutes, but
that wouldn’t be unprecedented for this school. Let’s see if this squad has any
more surprises left for us.
A
ReplyDeleteThe main issue I see with Sewickley Academy is they lack a number 5 guy under 20. Senior Mason SanFlippo ran a 18:37 during his Sophomore season.(I realize that the italicized times are personal records and not run from the state meet. ) For whatever reason, his PR last season was only 22:37, which was run at the State meet. The emergence of a number 5 runner will determine if they grab the 3rd spot WPIAL's or not. Lastly, Winchester Thurston has the District title in the bag for all I care. Another state title whoever is another story. Riverview should make their 3rd consecutive state meet.
The only A team I disagree with is Greensburg CC. The team outside of the top 5 with the best chance is Eden Christian Academy. They return 6 of their runners from a team that placed 6th, behind Shenango and Avonworth. They have great depth, especially if you look at everyone's PRs and not their season beasts. The big issue with this team is they they lack any low sticks and will have to rely on depth. They desreve a mention, escpally if GCC gets one too.
AA
Quaker Valley reminds me of NA because they always deserve a mention. Both programs made it to states last year, but had mediocre seasons based on past performances. We'll see how QV rebuilds over the next few years, especially with a young Dan Ford leading the way. The race for states in AA will be one of the more interesting story lines in the state. All 6 teams mentioned have legitimate chance of making states.
AAA
Ironically, 2 of the 4 NA guys you mentioned are seniors, thus continuing their streak of graduating their top guys. Seneca Valley is clearly a younger team, and will be the heavy favorites for the title. Despite being younger, they are not inexperienced. Seneca Valley has plenty of experience in a high stress situations such as the 4x800m at states and XC states. I was even told that they finished on top after a close District team battle over NA.
On an interesting note, I has not idea that Mars moved up to AAA.
Appreciate the comment, this is great analysis. I won't pretend to be anything close to an expert on A WPIAL action. Glad to get another team a mention and looking forward to watching Eden this fall.
DeleteMt Lebo looks to have the most potential. NA looks a little thin this year.
ReplyDeleteThe Commit: Peter Cooke was a great interview that I just stumble upon. it's in the top right corner and really worth the read.
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