At the
start of the week, I mentioned in my AA team preview that I was looking for
some poetry. It turns out, I was looking in the wrong place. The story of the
AAA state championship didn’t start in November. It didn’t start in September.
Heck, it didn’t even start in 2017. Way back in 2011, before any of this
current crop of state champs was even in high school, the boys from Cardinal
O’Hara were looking to become the first boys PCL state champions. There had
been close calls prior to that. LaSalle was 2nd in 2008, the first
year the PCL was in the PIAA. Then the Explorers were 3rd in 2009,
before O’Hara took on the bronze medal position in 2010.
Although
O’Hara wasn’t overwhelming favorites heading in to the 2011 XC season, they
really started to click as the year progressed. By the time states rolled
around, they were clear favorites for gold. Meanwhile, the boys from North Penn
had struggled during the regular season. Although there were big preseason
expectations, there first few results were relatively unimpressive and,
unsurprisingly, they finished 3rd at the District One Championships.
But North Penn had championship pedigree. They had won back to back state
titles in 2007 and 2008 and, at the time, they and Henderson were the clear #1
programs in the district for that half decade strength.
So a
great District One program with potential coming off a disappointing district
loss against a PCL power looking to get the historic conference their first
official PIAA title. Sounds familiar right? Well, what if I told you that those
two schools went on to tie for the state title with a score around 130 points?
Now, it’s just getting creepy.
Yes,
the 2011 state title ended in a 6th man tiebreaker, but the PCL team
(O’Hara in this case) came out on the wrong side of history. OH ended up in the
silver medal position and, after they lost on a tiebreaker again in 2012, it
seemed like the PCL may be cursed within the PIAA.
Enter
the LaSalle squad of 2017. They picked up big wins throughout the season and
established their depth as tops in the state. On state championship Saturday, I
think most would agree that they were the favorites, even if not overwhelmingly
so. And through the first two miles, it looked like they would run away with
the state title. But their 25 point lead started to slip in the race’s final
meters. The lurking talents from CR North were coming quickly and LaSalle was
trying desperately to hold them off. The curse would not give up easily.
In the
end, LaSalle would have to sweat it out until all points were tallied and all
were reviewed. For the third time in 7 years, the AAA state title would be
decided by the #6 runner. But unlike the first two, the PCL team came out on
top. It’s fitting that the team affectionately called “The Army” wins a state
title via their 6th man.
But
let’s be honest, they won this on their 6th and 7th man. Both Vincent Twomey and Jack Seiberlich
displaced North’s #5 man, adding two pivotal points to their rivals’ score.
That means if either Seiberlich or Twomey had decided to drop out or completely
fold up on the last mile, their team would have ended up second. It’s a
testament to the mental strides this team has taken in the last year that they
held on and got that gold.
Also a
hero on race day was Paul Ghantous. The junior wasn’t projected to be a scorer
on race day. He was actually the team’s #7 at districts. But when a member of
the top five had a small hiccup, Ghantous stepped up big time. In his best
performance of the season, Paul raced to 54th overall and was the
team’s #4 runner.
And I
would be silly to not point out that Evan Addison, who was forced to drop out
of last year’s state championship, provided the low stick this pack didn’t have
in 2015 or 2016 when they were good, but not great in the state landscape. He
pulled out some big time redemption with an 11th place finish at
states, the first individual medal for LaSalle at states since 2012 if memory
serves.
Now in
every dramatic tiebreaker, there are two sides. For Council Rock North, reading
about all the little things that went into this championship performance
probably doesn’t feel great. But the boys from North have nothing to hang their
head about. They defended their state title of a year earlier admirably and, I
think many would agree, came closer to pulling off the upset than I expected.
They posted 3 medalists and 4 top 50 finishers. After not breaking 17 minutes
at a fast course like Lehigh, 5th man Matt Mullen bounced back to
run 17:30 on the Hershey hills and keep his team in the hunt. Mullen will be
the top returner for this proud program in 2018 as they go for yet another
state qualifying performance in the always crowded District 1.
That
loaded District 1 also produced the 3rd, 4th, 5th
and 7th place finishers in the team title race. After I speculated
the streak of top 10 D1 teams would finally end, I got slapped in the face by
the states deepest district. Bishop Shanahan, who I doubted coming in, posted
perhaps the surprise of the day in 5th place, but Spring Ford and
OJR also bettered my predictions for them (and DT West matched). Everybody
really came to play.
For
Shanahan, the Hoey boys stepped up with strong performances, particularly Jonah
who nearly joined his brother on the medal stand. But what really sealed their
top 5 finish were the results from the pack. Jack Ettien put down one of his
best races of the season at the #4 spot to help bring things home. For Spring
Ford, all that waiting for an appearance at states ended up being worth it. The
boys proved they belonged with a 4th place finish behind a medal
performance from McKenna. They had the best freshman in the state in Zawislak
(50th) but also got a huge boost from Shane Ainscoe who just barely
missed a top 50 spot. He was the difference maker in their fight for the top 5.
Zach Smith also brought his “A” game and Milan Sharma continued to be a
reliable, consistent performer (helped by JT Clark who was pushing hard as the
#6). Ultimately Spring Ford was just 7 points behind DT West, last week’s
district champs.
OJR couldn’t
quite get past Spring Ford this time around, but the a group of state rookies
still stormed into the top 7. Liam Conway led the way as usual, getting his
first XC state medal (long overdue), but Andrew Malmstrom has been the star of
the past two weeks for this squad. He posted a top 10 finish at districts in
perhaps the meets biggest breakthrough performance and then doubled down with a
17th place finish at states. This kid was a solid 3200 guy last
spring and could be sleeper come track season. Conway won’t be a sleeper by any
stretch considering he’s the #1 returner indoors and out at the mile. Should be
fun to see how he handles track after his best ever XC season. He should have
arguably his best ever training contingent as well (you guys got a DMR lurking
over there OJR?).
EDIT: Thought I wrote this in the original post, but turns out I never did. The boys from DT West returned just one guy from their 3rd place team in the state a year ago and turned around to be better than they were in 2016. District champs. Third in the state. In the mix for the title. That's also four straight years in the top 4. That's an elite tier right there.
EDIT: Thought I wrote this in the original post, but turns out I never did. The boys from DT West returned just one guy from their 3rd place team in the state a year ago and turned around to be better than they were in 2016. District champs. Third in the state. In the mix for the title. That's also four straight years in the top 4. That's an elite tier right there.
Jumping
outside of the D1 bubble, District 3 came through with 3 teams in the top 10.
That was a big day, especially when you factor in the district had just one
individual medalist. I was really impressed with these schools as I thought
this would be a down year for the middle of the state. Hempfield had their best
state meet of the last few years, putting it together at Hershey at the perfect
time. They’ve had some great peaks in the past, but this one was their best I
can remember. Carlisle backed up a year in which they lost three huge pieces
with a top 10 finish and Mechanicsburg? Is this an XC powerhouse now? A little
known school who lost two huge cogs in Alex Tomasko and Andrew Sulon turned
around and got better? Shout out Michael Vigliano on a big season. Plus, major
props to Pepe Renteria. He was a critical piece of their state qualifying
effort at Big Spring and then ran even better at states. This sophomore may be
the hero of the week for the Mechanics. I’m not sure that one will stick.
OK,
let’s jump off the team talk and move to individuals. Obviously, the first
thing I’ve got to do is bow down to Rusty Kujdych. I’ve doubted him seemingly
every step of the way, but the state’s best XC runner has been nothing short of
spectacular. After we saw favorites win the first two races of the day, I
thought this AAA field would be the one that brought us the upset, but Kujdych
was not to be denied. He and Beveridge really fought hard throughout the second
half of the race with Hoey hanging around as well. But ultimately, Kujdych
dropped the hammer at the end and pulled away for gold. His three year stretch
of 19-10-1 is one of the best we’ve seen. Plus, he’s a two time district champ
with piles of fast times (including what is now #2 on this new Hershey lay out
off a slower pace than last year). I think Kujdych has a chance to do big
things at regionals and make a big run at Footlocker. The kid is battle tested
and really strong. Hopefully, I don’t jinx him.
Behind
Rusty, Noah Beveridge of Butler was the man to emerge from a wild chase to the
finish line. Beveridge posts a second straight top 5 finish in the state,
joining a fairly elite club in his own right. He’s got some Footlocker
experience from last fall which could help him out as he goes for a qualifier
spot of his own. But what could be more interesting is the next steps for the
group behind him. Dan McGoey, Morgan Cupp and Tyler Wirth all cracked 16
minutes at this race and are set up to be potential sleepers in the Footlocker
Regional should they go out. PA had 4 national qualifiers last year (5 if you
count Hengst) and really threw down against the region. Maybe we can keep the
momentum going with these other stars.
McGoey,
just a sophomore, makes it three years in a row we have a sophomore in the top
3 at states. It used to be almost unprecedented, but now it’s getting seemingly
old. But let’s not underestimate the meaning of this result. This is an awesome
mark and shows McGoey could be something special on the track. The two other
sophomores to place top 3? Josh Hoey and Sam Affolder. Those guys ended up
anchoring marquee DMRs, running sub 4:12 miles and competing for state golds in
the 1600. Also, worth noting, all three of these guys are little brothers of
some all-time great PA super stars.
Wirth
is an XC rookie and becomes the top junior returner for 2018. Cupp caps off a
year in which he was unbelievably consistent at the top of every field he
raced. I’d love to see Cupp go for a national qualifying spot. He would be a
long shot, but he wouldn’t be afraid to stick his nose in there and see what
happens. He’s a natural at XC. Wirth is going to be a lot of fun when we get to
track season. He may pass on the regional meets this time out, but would be
another intriguing watch.
As some
have already pointed out, we’ve got a lot of sophomores in that top 50-60. Not
only did we have 3 sophomore medalists, but we also had huge days from
Christian McComb (28th? I did not see that one coming), Christian
Fitch and Noah Demis (100th at the mile, 33rd at the
finish. Kid is legit). Even scanning down the list, I thought state course
rookies like Patrick Theveny (62nd after being 132nd at
the mile) and Antonio Burkhardt of Bethel Park had big days. That class is
loaded.
Throwing
out a few more shout outs here in the individual section, let’s give credit to
some bounce back performances first. Avery Lederer of Penncrest, who struggled
over the last stretch at districts, proved he was ready for vengeance in
Hershey. The senior finished in 12th place overall with arguably the
biggest week to week turnaround in PA. Lederer faded over the last stretch a
year ago, slipping out of medal position. This time he actually gained ground
on the leaders every step of the race.
Jared
Giannascoli of Lower Dauphin deserves a mention. He was in the dreaded 26th
spot, but the Lower Dauphin senior had his best race of the season to get to
that point. Although his regular season brought ups and downs, he came to play
at states in the clutch. When he was selected in our fantasy draft, some people
didn’t even realize he qualified for states. Well, he not only qualified, he
ended up being a strong pick at #26.
Other
guys jumped into the top 50 and wrecked my predictions. Sam Gatti was a name
that our own Ryan1220 talked up and the senior backed it up with a career best
27th place finish. Jake Robinson of Conestoga broke into the top 40
with a monster run that really impressed me. Sean Guydish of Easton and Matt
Bodon of Stroudsburg ended up being the surprise 1-2 punch for District 11.
Guydish especially impressed me as he went from outside his team’s top 2-3
guys, to 2nd at districts and now 39th at states. Shout
out to the Easton senior.
So, looking fwd to 2018, who are the teams to look out for? It looks like a few of the top teams are losing a couple of key seniors. It seems like we could see some turnover in the top 5.
ReplyDeleteOn paper, DTW and Lasalle look to be loaded again. Seneca Valley also returns a nice group. Outside of that, Carlisle and NA look good. Really, a better way of viewing this may be to name the teams that are "done". CRN takes a huge hit, as does Spring Ford and Butler. I know ESPN does their "way too early" rankings, so I'll copy them here.
DeleteYour 2018 AAA XC team rankings are:
1. Lasalle
2. DT West
3. Seneca Valley
4. North Allegheny
5. Bishop Shanahan
6. Carlisle
7. Mount Lebanon
8. CB East
9. Unionville
10. Owen J. Roberts
Honorable Mention: CR North, Palmyra, North Penn
-Jiminy Cricket
I don’t know how Shanahan could possibly be in the top 5, let alone top 10. Half of their success was having Hoey as a low stick, and he’ll be gone, as well as their #3 in Mcgrory. Probably not a top 10 team at districts. With OJR, even though they lose a deadly top 3, the rest of their group returns, and I think those guys could be good. The biggest question mark is Unionville. This team could be a title challenger next year. They had two state qualifiers, a freshman who ran 16:30, and a 4th dude who ran 16:07 as a sophomore who missed the postseason with an injury. Only problem is their 5th man is closer to 18 flat. If they address that, this team makes a case for one of the best teams in the state.
DeleteI don't see Shanahan anywhere near the top 5 next year. They're graduating 3 of their top 5 runners and don't have a particularly deep team. Am I missing something? The other 7 in your top 8 look pretty good though. I don't really have any guesses on who my 8-10 would be yet. I'd also like to throw in West Chester East, Haverford and Oxford as teams to watch in District 1
DeleteHigh School Cross Country is more about culture than anything else. Yes, there is obviously a lot of talent involved, but there is a reason certain schools like Henderson, DT West, CRN, and La Salle constantly field strong teams even if they seem to lose top guys and that is because the coaches as well as the upperclassmen have established a team culture where everyone buys in. Everyone does their runs on the weekends and in the summer and it is cumulative to the point where every person on the team making themselves a little better = the team getting really deep and really strong up top.
DeleteI agree with the fact that the culture of these programs plays into the end results. These coaches get the athletes to "buy in" as you mentioned above and the upperclassman support and befriend the young runners and teach them the importance as well. We all know the younger runners look up to the upperclassmen and they set great examples for them. Many of these kids are taught that discipline and hard works is imperative long before high school even. I know and find it interesting that many of the Council Rock North boys and LaSalle boys were previous teammates as youngsters while running for St. Andrew and St. Ignatius together in the Philly CYO league and learned from great coaches when they were very young, too. I am sure many of the other runners have also come from youth running programs or teams within the CYO and around the state, too. Culture definitely matters. Would not be surprised to see CRN back next year.
Delete2018 Way Too Early Top 5
ReplyDelete1.DT West-Isaac Valderrabano is coming on strong. Will lead the team with Sewall in 2018.
2.Seneca Valley-Volk-Klos and Dixon will have big Sr years.
3.North Allegheny-McGoey will push the team toward the top of the polls. Ethan James and Luke Turkovich will have strong Sr years
4.LaSalle-Your 2019 State Champs. Possible title hangover year in 2018? Looks to be a few pieces short in 2018. Needs a couple of guys from "The Army" to rise up. If that happens, look out, they could make a multiple year run.
5.Carisle-They have a deep program that will fill the void from losing Rush and Barefield. Also, Padgett will take the next step in 2018.
Others to look out for (in no particular order)-Wallenpaupak, Mount Lebanon, North Penn, Easton Area, Mechanicsburg
LaSalle does return 5 runners and both of their alternates, but that’s none of my business.
DeleteAgreed. Way too early to bet on a winner but if I had to guess I'd say a repeat. CRN will be depleted while La Salle returns 7 of 9, although in fairness, losing Evan Addison as a low stick will be tough, but I wouldn't be surprised to see someone like Vincent Twomey stepping up next year following a tough states race much like Addison this year.
DeleteOutside of La Salle. Gotta agree that NA will be making a big push especially with an individual title contender in McGoey.
Another team to look out for in the top 5 I'd say is Spring Ford. Even with losing McKenna, I wouldn't be surprised to see them follow up being led by a strong performance by current freshman John Zawislak who snuck into the top 50.
i agree with this top comment that LaSalle is going to be the winner in 2019 if things even remotely keep up for them. incredible squad. and could this mean a 3-peat? my bet is LaSalle will have two medalists next season #17 and #24 and they'll have 5 to 7 guys under 17:10. seems like a recipe for another state championship...
Deletethat being said, DT West wasn't that far back and they return a fantastic squad as well including state medalist Payton Sewall who had a great end of his season and continually stepped up big time.
And i think Seneca Valley's top 3 next year are going to be clicking and may be a CRN 2012 situation with 3 guys in the top 26 (or better). and they return solid 4-5 pieces.
but we can't forget about our top returner Dan McGoey and the NA Tigers. looks like they're rebuilding the pack slowly but surely and McGoey is a brilliant, tough runner. it would be hard to count them out of the top 3...
i think 2018 is going to be another really awesome year for XC boys in Pennsylvania. i hope training is going well for everyone!! enjoy the process :)
Just because a team takes a huge hit with graduating seniors doesn't mean they can't reload. DT West lost 6 of 7 runners from last year's #3 team and came back this year and finished #3 again. Spring Ford, Butler, and especially CR North could have runners step up for next year.
ReplyDeleteHad the Hoey's stayed at Downingtown West they probably would have won a third straight championship. Three straight team AAA wins has probably has never happened. A 4th next year would have been a likely too.
ReplyDeleteNo way DTW would have beat 2016 CRN. They could have won this one though.
DeleteDT West would have won this year with Josh and Jonah (would have scored 93 points), but not last year. CR North dominated states last year. At best, Jonah would have been the #7 man and even if Josh had won the race (not happening with Affolder plus remember Josh wasn't running well for him at that point last year finishing 17th in districts and choosing to not even run states) it wouldn't have made up enough points to catch CR North's incredible performance.
DeleteThey would have won Chesmonts over Rustin if they had the Hoey's last year, but districts and states would have still been CRN.
DeleteBringing back ancient history here, but Council Rock (before the split into north and south) won 8 state titles in 9 years in the 1990's. Marrington (current coach) was an assistant coach then.
DeleteJust to reply to a few of the other commentators:
ReplyDelete-Your Shanahan concerns are valid. I slotted them at 5 because of how impressively they ran at states. Also, they still have Jonah Hoey coming back, who's to say he can't be a top 5 guy in the state next year?
-SV's Dixon is graduating this year. You probably meant Domencic.
-Yes, teams reload every year. I think the difference is that teams such as DT West have incredibly strong JV teams that make it a lot easier to reload. I didn't see a lot of impressive results out of CR North' JV, and that's why I put them so low.
-Jiminy Cricket
Thought I would look at some other 3-year-stretches compared to Rusty's.
ReplyDelete1. Jake Brophy. 8-1-1: 10
2. Colin Abert. 12-2-5: 19
3. Nathan Henderson. 13-5-2,: 20
4. Kevin James. 22-4-2: 28
5. Tony Russell. 27-1-1:29
6. Rusty K. 19-10-1: 30
7. Connor Quinn. 20-1-13: 34
8. Spencer Smucker. 15-12-9: 36
9. Ryan James. 15-17-8: 40
9. Sam Webb. 14-19-7: 40
Only went back to 2010 in AAA.
Craig Miller went 1-1-1 way back.
Brad Miles went 10-7-1.
DeleteYes going back to the old course.
DeleteIan Gottesfeld-4,1,2-Early 2000s.
DeleteWill Kellar-17,2,6.
DeleteChris Aldrich-18,4,2
La Salle returns 4 of their top 7-JV runners who averaged 17:50 at Belmont, plus 5 Freshman who averaged 19:20. Rumor also has it their incoming Freshman class will be the best they've had, which if you look at last year's, is saying something.
ReplyDeleteAs someone stated above, if you want to see how good a program is going to be, look at the CYO results and follow those top kids. Most run at the more successful CC schools.
Credit to Coach Mary Ellen Malloy who runs that CYO program. Thinking back to CYO and how impressive Nativity was back in the day, I believe that those boys who now run for Penncrest will make it out of D1 in the next year or at least 2019.
DeleteMalloy is great. I had my first experience with the CYO scene this past season since I had nieces and nephews running. Amazing what goes on down there and with the programs around the area.
DeleteMary Ellen Malloy should be in the PA XC Hall of Fame. The impact that program has on PA High School XC is very impressive year after year.
ReplyDeletei would also like to bow down to Rusty Kujdych. i doubted him quite a bit this year but he has continually ran incredible races and proved me wrong. extremely well done Kujdych. I can't imagine him not making nationals. i'm thinking he goes top 5.
ReplyDeleteShout out to the PA alums who qualified for D1 nationals this weekend. I definitely don't pay as much attention to the college scene as I do high school, but it's still really cool to see some of the studs from a few years ago continue to run well. I think this is the full list:
ReplyDeleteColin Abert (Easton)- Penn St.
Casey Comber (Hatboro-Horsham)- Villanova
Andrew Marston (Conestoga)- Villanova
Patrick Reilly (Dallastown)- Lehigh
Dominic Deluca (Dallas)- Cornell
Jake Brophy (Central Bucks East)- Navy
Dan Jaskowak (Grove City)- Virginia Tech
Dominic Hockenbury (Lake Lehman)- Syracuse
*plus maybe Kevin James (Cardinal O'Hara) and Noah Affolder (Carlisle) could line up for Syracuse
I feel like this is the most PA has had in awhile. Well done guys.
-Jiminy Cricket
Way too early predictions 2018:
ReplyDelete1. La Salle
2. Mt. Lebanon
3. CB East
4. DT West
5. Seneca Valley
6. Bishop Shanahan
7. North Allegheny
8. Owen J Roberts
9. Carlisle
10. Council Rock North