A quick refresher on 50-31
50. Dan Quigley
49. Dan Filler
48. Jack Carmody
47. Liam Galligan
46. Seth Slavin
45. PJ Murray
44. Nick Feffer
43. Grayson Hepp
42. Gabriel Allgayer
41. Zach Skolnekovich
40. Cooper Leslie
39. Patrick Grant
38. Eric Kennedy
37. Colin Wills
36. Andrew Hanna
35. Nick Wolk
34. Josh Higgins
33. Kyler Shea
32. Joe Maguire
31. Tucker Desko
30. Cody DiVecchio, Sr Burgettstown (7 A)
District
7 Single A is loaded this year. Out of the five A guys who made the list, four
of them are from District 7 and at least three more are in my top 100. I
suppose that’s not too surprising considering last year’s gold and silver
medalists both came from the WPIAL and two of the district’s (and therefore
state’s) best teams were sitting at home on race day. I’m banking on that sort
of inter-district competition bringing out the best in it’s athletes at the
state championships this fall.
Enter
Cody DiVecchio (not to be confused with Tony DelVecchio of Backyard Sports) a
senior from Burgettstown who last year struck gold in the stretch run of the
season by finishing 2nd at WPIALs (over Will Loevner and Griffin
Mackey) and then 8th at states (within a breadth of Domenic Peretta). DiVecchio’s track
season wasn’t quite as strong as some of his WPIAL contemporaries (he ran a
strong 9:52 and 4:37) his XC run a year ago makes me feel pretty good about his
potential. It seems he is a longer distance type and his dramatic increase on
the trails a year ago imply there is still room to grow as he gains experience
at the top.
29. Matt Wisner, Sr Carlisle (3 AAA)
Carlisle
has had a pretty impressive three year run on the track and on the grass behind
leader and three time state champion Zach
Brehm. Although Brehm grabbed the headlines during his career, this past
track season, Wisner made a name for himself as well. He dropped a 1:53.1 at
the state championships to place 5th in what was arguably the
fastest field in meet history. This came after an impressive indoors where he
was essentially unbeatable in the mile and 800m.
Wisner’s
XC season last year was not on the same level as what he did on the track in
2015, but he still had his fair share of impressive marks. He was 18th
at the Mid Penn Championships and 14th at Districts, a critical
performance considering the Carlisle Herd was very much on the bubble for an
appearance at states. He, along with his teammates, got out too slow at states
to be a factor in the race, but Wisner was clearly gaining steam at the end of
the year and it obviously carried through to the track.
1:53
(and 4:21) speed doesn’t always translate to the hills, but I have a good feeling
that Wisner only scratched the surface of his XC potential in 2014.
28. Brian Delaney, Sr Manheim Township (3
AAA)
Manheim
Township’s star harrier has been tearing up Cross Country courses for two
straight years. This past year he was 8th at Carlisle (running sub
16 minutes), 3rd at Lancaster-Lebanons and 4th at
Districts, a second straight top 10 finish. However, each of the past two
years, Delaney has struggled to complete the back to back runs of districts and
states at Hershey and he ended up just 66th last year. The upcoming
course changes should really help him out.
Delaney
was solid on the track this spring, running a 4:25 for 1600m and an underrated
9:14 at Henderson with little competition and damp conditions. He didn’t put up
a blazing fast two mile time to give me confidence to jump a few other guys
ahead of him, but he has an excellent past cross country resume that earns him
a spot in the top 30.
27. Bryce Descavisch, Senior Central
Cambria (6 AA)
Bryce
is a fresh off a truly terrific track season that featured a solid 4:31 1600m
but also, more importantly, a 9:22 performance for 3200m, putting him among the
medalists in the event for AA this spring. It capped off a track season where
he was near dominant in the longer distances and practically unbeatable against
some of his district rivals.
In
Cross last year Descavisch had a strong season with a nice run in the Champions
race at Carlisle and a runner up finish to Will
Kachman at the District 6 Championships. However, at states Bryce struggled
to make the adjustment from A to AA and ended up just 61st. His
track season did not feature many races against top notch competition prior to
the state championships, so I could be potentially overvaluing it, but
ultimately a 9:22 on the big stage gave me the confidence to slot Bryce in the
top 30.
26. Todd Gunzenhauser, Senior Mount Lebanon
(7 AAA)
Mount
Lebanon has had an excellent program over the years, pushing to keep pace with
their rivals over at North Allegheny. They have yet to steal back the WPIAL
crown from the Tigers, but with NA graduating their top three overall, Lebo,
who returns five of their top seven, is hoping to rewrite the script in 2015. A
huge key to pulling it off will be their projected front-runner Todd
Gunzenhauser AKA “T Gunz”.
Last
fall, Gunzenhauser yo-yoed through the various spots on the team’s depth chart,
finishing an impressive 3rd at Tri States, then taking 33rd
at WPIALs (9th in 2013) before moving back up to the #1 spot on
Lebo’s team at states (where he finished 89th overall). Todd was
solid on the grass last year, but where he really impressed was the track. It
began with a few solid indoor 3ks, most notably his 8:48 at states that earned
him a state medal. Then outdoors he ran 9:16 for 3200m at Baldwin and followed the
performance with two more marks in the low 9:20s. Those are very fast marks,
very juniors can eclipse the 9:20 mark, and 2 mile times tend to translate best
to XC success. That being said, Todd will still have to prove he can
consistently navigate the hills and provide a low stick for the Hattons.
And
of course, it wouldn’t be an etrain post without a “this guy has a brother and
he did this” comparison. So here it goes. Todd’s brother, Rad Gunzenhauser, was solid as a Junior during cross but had a few injury
problems that crippled him down the stretch. When he returned to full strength
as a Senior, he hit a whole other level, finishing 2nd at states,
qualifying for Foot Locker Nationals and winning an indoor state title in the
3,000m. In many ways, Todd has been more successful than his brother was
through this point on the track so it will be interesting to see if he can make
a similar leap during his Senior XC campaign.
25. Jake Susalla, Senior Plum (7 AAA)
The
top returner from last year’s District 7 championship in Cross Country is Jake
Susalla. He was third last year behind the McGoey-Wharrey
monster from North Allegheny and now the district is Susalla’s for the taking.
And District 7 Champion has a pretty good record historically. By my count 4th,
7th, 5th, 6th, 3rd and 3rd
are the finishes at states for the last 6 WPIAL XC champs. That’s a pretty darn
good stretch. In other words if Susalla maintains his position as top returner,
then #25 is a drastic underrating.
Susalla
was excellent on the trails last year with a 1st place finish at the
Grove City Invitational and a 17th place finish at the AAA state
championship to bolster his WPIAL’s performance. On the track he added an 8:56
indoor 3,000m and added a 9:44 outdoors. I think his true strength seems to be
hill/mud running, an ability that translates much better to the X than the T.
In my mind the D7 landscape is fairly open, so I’m excited to see if Susalla
will be the one to seize the throne.
24. Ryan Barton, Junior Downingtown West (1
AAA)
At
#24 we have our first Downingtown West runner to crack the top 50 in Ryan
Barton. On the track, Barton got things rolling outdoors after a quiet indoor
season and ran 4:18 for 1600m, an excellent time for a sophomore. He also broke
2 minutes in the 800m and 10 minutes in the 32. That track resume in itself
creates a compelling case for a top 50 spot, but Barton also boasts a 36th
place finish at states last year in Cross Country as the #2 man on the eventual
4th place finishers DT West.
But
here’s the catch. Barton was just 42nd at the District One
Championships prior to states, meaning that if the his team had not qualified
(they were a tight 5th ahead of CB East), R Bar would have never had
the chance to run that excellent mark at states. That will be what Barton needs
to improve looking ahead to this year, consistency. He was 47th at
Carlisle, 6th at Chesmonts, 42nd at Districts, 36th
at States and 43rd at Nike Northeast Regionals last year. The dude
is a beast when he is in the zone.
And
the good news is, he will be a Junior this year, rather than a sophomore,
adding a critical year of experience and maturity to his racing. He also will
have arguably the best group of training partners in the state to help him in
practice and races and that should continue to push him to the next level.
23. Matt Kravitz, Senior North Pocono (2
AA)
Remember
when I said that District 7 was the best district in A? Well District 2 has
been killing it in AA the past two years. For starters they have had both
individual champions (Dominics Deluca
and Hockenbury) plus team champs Tunkhannock and consistent contender
Scranton Prep. Last year the district had four of the top nine and nine of the
top 25. All from a District that sends just two teams and ten individuals to
states! That’s crazy! 80% of their at large qualifiers medaled and 90% were in
the top 35! That’s an absurd ratio that even the highly touted District One
cannot match.
In
addition to housing the defending state champion in Hockenbury, the district
also holds one of this season’s biggest sleeper contenders: Matt Kravitz.
Kravitz was 17th last year at states after finishing 3rd
in the loaded D2 race (ahead of eventual top 10 finishers at states Ben Evans and Nathan Morgan). Plus Kravitz 7th at last year’s loaded
Paul Short Invitational, running under 15:40 for 4k at the meet. On the track,
he only continued to improve running 4:17 for 6th at states in the
1600m (in AAA).
Overall,
Kravitz has put together an impressive career. The key to taking the next step
will be proving himself on some of the hillier courses like Hershey where his
foot speed may be a bit more neutralized.
22. Connor McMenamin, Junior Souderton (1
AAA)
The
Souderton rising junior is looking for redemption this year after fading over
the final mile at Hershey and slipping out of medal position, ultimately having
to settle for 31st (he was 13th after 1 and 18th
after 2). Connor has shown great heart throughout his career, running a clutch
9:28 at Districts this past year to earn a spot in the State Championships for
3200m as just a sophomore. He also cracked 16 minutes for 5k at Lehigh when he
finished 11th at Districts. He is a strong hill runner (ran well at
Centaur last year) and clearly is fearless. With an extra year of strength and
maturity at his disposal, it’s hard to count Connor out of contention for a
state medal.
21. Kevin Lapsansky, Senior Easton (11 AAA)
Last
year Easton was one of my favorite stories of the 2014 Cross Country season.
Colin Abert was doing big things with some record setting runs (including a
14:55) and he was pulling his team into contention with some other top teams in
the state. When the dust settled, Easton took home 5th place honors
at states. But Abert was only a piece of why Easton had made the jump from not
qualifying to 5th place. The other key jump was made by Kevin
Lapsansky who became an excellent running mate to Abert almost as soon as the
year began.
At
PTXC, Lapsansky was 5th overall and then at Paul Short he clocked a
15:48 for 14th. He finished 2nd to Abert at Districts
before navigating the Hershey course well and taking an 18th place
medal home with him. On the track, Kevin hit his stride alongside Abert once
they got rolling outdoors. He dropped to 4:28 and 9:29 in the long distance
events and I believe he also helped Easton’s 4x8 advance to the state
championships.
Have been meaning to post since last cross season. I realize you can only go by what you see on milesplit, but just wanted to let you know there are some teams that don't run hard every meet. Some are actually tempo'ing races. (Whether it's the right strategy or not who knows, it's a coaching decision). Sometimes in your blogs you wonder what happened to a runner at a particular race and I want to tell you right here that some races the kids are being told not to run hard.
ReplyDeleteIndeed, I know this does tend to happen. For the purpose of the rankings I really went off states, districts, leagues, big time invitationals as criteria because I felt those were most likely to be honest efforts. But certainly throughout the season feedback from readers is important for reasons just like this. Sadly, results tend to only provide a small window into what actually happens in a race.
DeleteI'm blown away by the detail and time Jarrett puts into this blog. Gauging xc runners is very difficult as ever cc course is different. Its not like track. Greater weight is appropriately given to the state meet where the top runners run on the same course the same day and should all be peaking at the same time if they trained properly. Noone cares would peaked in September, it's November that matters.
ReplyDeleteThank you very much, it's a bit of work but it's more fun than anything and hopefully the readers feel that way as well
DeleteAs someone who lives on the eastern side of PA, I still think Susalla is definitely underrated. He rarely ever lost and as you said when he did, it was to the two NA monster in Wharrey and Mcgoey. I think if Susalla is healthy, Gunzenhauser will be close but not able to match susalla. Back over here in the east, Train's exactly right about Barton, the kids a beast and people forgot he was only a sophomore, but he needs to stay consistent. Really interested to see what will happen to Wisner, and out towards D11, unless Quigley or maybe Slavin can have a monster season, I think Lapsansky should have the district title barring injury.
ReplyDeleteAlso quick question train, if Barton was #24 on this list, then how far off the list was Maxwell? Disregarding states, I think Maxwell was at least able to match Barton (running faster at both Chesmonts and districts). Although Barton gets the for sure nod on the track, I figured if one was on the list, especially this far down, the other one would be too.
DeleteGreat post, many of your thoughts overlap with pieces of my own but you provided some nice insight. Maxwell was a name I considered when initially narrowing to 50 but he ended up finishing outside (didn't rank past 50 so no idea quite where). Barton's state race, track season and training partners at West made me think his potential was high enough to warrant inclusion, but projecting when/if somebody is ready to make a jump is a guessing game at its heart
Delete