After a
Thursday filled with bold predictions, the runners at Paul Short and Carlisle
set to the course to turn dreams into reality. Let’s move through these in
chronological order.
Paul Short Brown Race
Spring
Ford, after finishing outside the top 3 in Hershey, pulled off an impressive
two week double with a statement victory at Paul Short. The Rams not only
bested league rivals Boyertown and Owen J Roberts, but also defeated highly
touted Ches-mont programs Downingtown West and Bishop Shanahan. As was the case
in Hershey, Jacob McKenna stepped with a big finish, dropping a 15:48. But the
big performer was Zach Smith who ran 15:57 for a sub 16 finish just a week
after being the team’s #7 runner. Smith, who has been producing fast times on
this course since his freshman season, stepped up big time with perhaps a bit
more conservative race start paying dividends in the second half of the race.
Spring Ford also had the #1 frosh in the race as John Zawislak proved his
Hershey run was no fluke with a very quick 16:03.
Boyertown
entered this race with a target on their back and, although they may have been
disappointed with a 4th place finish, I thought there was a good
amount to be proud of. The front running was quite there the way it was at
Foundation, but Endy and sophomore Christian McComb both produced sub 16:10
marks with Dominic Derafelo right behind. At districts, those three could all
be state qualifiers (regardless of team finish) and considering the spread isn’t
large, they should punch a team ticket to Hershey if they hold this form. I
personally still think their 6-7 can step up and push the scorers, but even
without them they still had a better #5 than everyone outside Spring Ford. I’ve
said before having a great race the week after killing it on the Hershey course
is close to impossible. I don’t think people should be burying Boyertown just
yet.
Coming
into this race, I thought DT West would look similar to Spring Ford or maybe
even Boyertown, a solid pack, but not anybody faster than 15:50ish. Well Tyler
Rollins quickly set the record straight. In the best performance West has seen
on this course since the Hoey-Sappey era, Tyler dropped a 15:37 and reminded us
why he was on a lot of sleeper lists heading into the season. Rollins, the only
returner from last year’s varsity squad, ran in the 9:20s on the track and has
consistently improved each season. I think he’s a threat for top 10 in AAA this
year and that really ups what West can do in the team standings.
Ultimately,
DT West finished 3rd, 40 points back from Spring Ford and 33 points
ahead of Boyertown (out of state Salesianum was 2nd). Payton Sewall
had a terrific day with a sub 16 and I think Evan Kaiser, who had been leading
the team in some early, shorter meets, could potentially be a 16:0x or faster
guy at districts. This team had 8 guys under 16:50 which is really impressive.
Plus, West was actually leading at the 1 mile mark without Rollins even being included in the scoring. Now a 1 mile
split shouldn’t be much of a gauge in a 5k, but I think it does speak to the
fact that this team doesn’t have much big meet 5k experience. Unsurprisingly,
we can expect DT West to peak at the right time and make a run at a state
championship.
In the
final standings, District One teams accounted for the top 5 PA teams in the
race. As you probably know, just 5 teams can make states out of District One.
Missing from Paul Short were recent state qualifiers in CR North, CB West,
Henderson and CB East. So yeah, it’s crowded at the top. That being said, I
love what I saw from Owen J Roberts. This team had a solid day at Foundation,
but, as a I commented on the blog, I thought they needed a #3 to step up if
they wanted to look like a state qualifying team. Well that didn’t take long.
Linus Blatz had a huge day with a top 50 finish in the team standings, dropping
a 16:19. If he holds this form (or improves) that OJR top 3 are going to be
potent. This team goes 9 deep and will have plenty of competition to boost the
#5 spot a little more. Honestly, the formula that OJR had at this meet was the
same as recent state qualifiers like CB East with Brophy that I mentioned in
that comment. They have the formula. Honestly, the biggest problem might just be
the talent around them.
Bishop
Shanahan went all in here at Paul Short and was actually just 1 point off the
lead at the mile mark. Josh Hoey proved his XC fitness is well ahead of where
it was this time last year with a 15:16 and they got an extra sub 16
performance from Joseph Schubert. I think that Schubert and sophomore Jonah
Hoey may have switched chips or something as Jonah was not in the final results
but was expected to be racing. Shanahan didn’t have quite enough to hang on to
their fast start, but they’ve got guts and they run hard. Yoquinto delivered a
very strong performance as he dropped a 16:37. If that was their #5 guy (which
I think was the case at Abington), this team’s score looks pretty darn good.
So I’ve
already done a page and a half on teams and we’ve barely even cracked the
surface in this meet. I’ll try to move quickly through the rest here. In
District 11, Easton was the top squad in a three team battle between themselves
Parkland and Stroudsburg. Easton got out super quick in this one as well and
Joseph Ozgar (sub 16 at Northampton) ended up fading to their #4 runner. All
the same, Easton had five guys under 17, a nice top 3 with the potential to
improve with Ozgar and they took care of business against their district
rivals. Parkland’s big three looked excellent (especially Riley Williamson,
holy moly 15:39!) while Stroudsburg just 2 points back of the district powerhouse.
Put Matt Bodon up a couple spots with Landvik-Larsen and this squad is in good
shape to finish with or ahead of Parkland at districts and knock the powers out
of the state championship picture.
Wyomissing
finished as the top AA squad beating Dallas at their own game. The big three
for Wyomissing that featured two emerging stars in Ben Kuhn and Matt Driben
knocked off the D2 stars 332 to 476 and took 9th overall. Wyomissing
has to get buzz in the state championship conversation for AA, but that race is
completely up for grabs as things currently stand. They have 6 guys under 17
minutes on this fast course which is a nice place to be, but they will need to
show up in Hershey this year at a much higher level than they did a year ago if
they want to be champions. Dallas still looks strong, especially at the front
of the pack where they had two sub 16 guys. Hard to count out this program, but
there are a lot of teams gunning for them at the moment.
Hempfield
was easily the #1 PA team, led by a 15:40 from Christian Groff in his second
straight sub 16 on this course. Wallenpaupack topped Abington Heights, outdoing
their signature 1-2 with one of their own. Holy Redeemer was the next best AA
team behind Dallas, but finished in 35th in the standings compared
to Dallas’s 15th.
Alright,
let’s jump now to the individuals. I made the “bold” prediction of picking 30
guys under 16 at this race and I came within about a second of that statement
becoming reality. 31 guys ran 16 flat on the course including 27 sub 16. If you
ran 16:20, that got you just 54th in the standings. If you didn’t go
out under 5 minutes, you weren’t in the top 40 at that point in the race. It
was madness.
At the
front of the field, that madness really showcased itself. We had 6 finishers
under 15:30, led by out of stater Dalton Hengst, who clocked 14:57. Right
behind him, putting down a performance that should get him some well-deserved
national attention, was PA #1 Rusty Kujdych who clocked a 15:01. Last three
weeks for Rusty include sub 16 at Briarwood, win at Foundation against elite
field, and now 15:01 at Lehigh! By the way, 15:01 puts him at #6 in the past 12
years for PA guys on the course behind only Springer, Weller, Abert, Dawson and
Russell. That’s super elite company. Rusty is racing a lot right now and has
more big meets to come (he mentioned Manhattan was on his schedule). That may
seem like too much, but sometimes it helps runners to race against consistently
elite competition. Kujdych’s strategy reminds me a lot of Wade Endress in 2010.
Endress traveled all over to race the best PA had to offer and, although he
picked up some early season Ls to Campbell, Hebda, Kush and Silenieks, he beat
all those guys at states and finished off his year qualifying for nationals at
NXN.
Although
I was pleasantly surprised by Kujdych’s mark, Liam Conway’s 15:08 was mind-blowing.
Conway is now tied with Jake Brophy and Ben Furcht on the PA Lehigh All-Time
list with this mark. Yes, Jake Brophy, two time state champ and old course
record holder, never clocked a faster mark than Conway. The Owen J Roberts
senior put himself back in the state championship conversation after he ran
solid but not extraordinary at Foundation. From 2007 to 2016, every runner from
PA who has clocked sub 15:10 on Lehigh’s course has made it to a National
Championship. Are Kujdych and Conway going to join them?
Josh
Hoey rounds out the big 3 as he clocked a 15:16 for a career best on the course.
The Shanahan senior proves his XC credentials are still there and, at least for
now, he’s ready to roll during the XC season. 15:16 matches the time Nick Dahl
of GFS ran last year to win this meet so it’s no slouch of a time. The 2015 bronze
medalist from states is always going to be a name worth discussing in state
level talk.
No PA sophomore
has clocked sub 15:20 on the Lehigh course, but Phoenixville’s Carlos Shultz
came awfully close this weekend. He ran 15:21, moving from 41st at
the mile to 5th at the finish and showing he is ready to run with
the big boys. Shultz now heads into districts with the chance to make history
in another fast race. This kid is legit and showed he was deserving of the top
12 ranking he received in last week’s Top 50 list. Shultz is awesome and
perhaps still scratching the surface of greatness. Maybe a bit quicker of a
start or a bit less crowded of a meet will make it easier for the youngster to
get all the way to the front of the race next time he takes to the course.
Rounding
out the sub 15:30 crew was Tyler Wirth of Wallenpauck. Wow, what a run from the
District 2 stand out. Wirth is the perhaps the best AAA D2 XC runner we’ve seen
since Reece Ayers, a three time top 10 finisher in XC. He’s got incredibly
speed which served him well on this course. Wirth is only 2 major invites into
his cross career.
Lots of
other sub 16s happened. So many that it’s probably not worth cycling through
all of them. I’ll point out a couple strong runs worth mentioning. Alex Ermold
of Governor Mifflin proved his PTXC breakthrough was no fluke with a 15:45.
Jack Zardecki was top’s in AA for Dallas with a 15:43. Quinn Serfass of
Loyalsock was the #2 at 15:51. Josh Lewin of WC East threw down an awesome sophomore
performance that was a bit overshadowed by Shultz. He clocked 15:48 in a poised
bounce run after Foundation. 800 specialist Hudson Delisle showed his range with
a 15:56. Andrew Stanley of A ran 16 flat and Charlie Hermann of Lower Merion
went from 128th at the mile to 45th at the finish in one
of the most impressive finishes of the day.
Paul Short White Race
GFS
took the title as top PA team with a 4th place overall finish. The
independent leaguers will remain in the favorite position for the Non-PIAA
title. Zach Goldberg led the team in 16th and Alexander Blaylock had
a huge day to take 40th overall. There’s a great pack here for GFS
as their top 5 were all in the top 60 and at 17:10 or faster. The GFS dynasty
appears alive and well.
Jenkintown
of A fame pulled out a 5th place overall finish against some much
larger schools. They were led by Jack Miller who got some revenge on A rival
Andrew Healey with a strong 15:48 victory. Jenkintown seems in good form and
had a nice #5 performance from Carter Geer. Their top 4 is still the strength
of the team as Luke Miller, another frosh, continues to show big improvement.
This team would be in the state title conversation most year’s in A, they just
have a tough battle ahead in a loaded year. Worth noting, they return 5 of 7
for next year including the Miller’s and #3 man Pat Wagner.
We saw
4 sub 16 performances in this race as well, all coming from PA athletes. As
mentioned Miller and Healey (15:54) were under 16, but so too was independent
league stand out Peter Borger (15:52) and William Tennent’s Sean Rahill
(15:55). This was a big result for Rahill of William Tennent, producing his
best invitational mark of the season. He was a top 50 guy a year ago and has
nice upside to make a run down the stretch. For Borger, this should give him a
ton of confidence. He likely wants the individual independent title and will
need every bit of that 15:52 speed to combat Elias Lindgren and Jeffrey Love.
Those three are all really strong and probably underrated because they are
outside the PIAA. That battle is one to watch as we inch closer to November. By
the way, Borger’s freshman teammate Collin Hess was excellent at this meet as
well. Hess clocked a 16:20 for 10th place overall in the race and
top frosh honors.
Post Week 5 Rankings
ReplyDeleteAAA:
5. D West
4. Spring Ford
3. CRN
2. Seneca Valley
1. La Salle
AA:
5. Indiana Area
4. Harbor Creek
3. Dallas
2. York Surburban
1. Grove City
A:
5. Montrose
4. Elk County Catholic
3. Jenkintown
2. Winchester Thurston
1. Jenkintown
Typo on 1., meant Penns Valley
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