Looking back on my results, I was pretty satisfied with most of my picks. I did just about aswell as I hoped and came up only 7 points short of the winner so I’ll take what I can get. The 800 really messed me up but I was able to rebound my 5k predictions. Let’s take a deeper look into what worked for me and what did not.
800
Predictions:
Results:
Pros: There really wasn’t a lot of good for me inthis race. The closest thing I had in this race wasKemboi getting second. I will say that I truly believe this was the hardest event to predict. There were so many top guys so close to each other and I don’t think most people expected McBride to have the day he did.
Cons: Of my predictions, this was the worst of all of them. I knew I had bombed it after the prelims when Arroyo and Walker didn’t make the finals. I expected Schnulle to be top 5 but he finished 7thand that hurt me along with McBride not coming anywhere close to first. I know I should’ve invested more thought into Murphy or Capwell, but I felt that their slight inexperience would work against them and I was wrong in this case.
Mile
Predictions:
Results:
Pros: I was pleasantly surprised about how I did. I felt confident about my top 3 and sure they enough they showed up. I also felt that Kidder could’ve really blown up. He barely made the field so I was just happy for him to make the finals.
Cons: My bias really got in the way and Patrick Joseph just didn’t show up. He looked deflated and seemed as if he had nothing in the tank during the prelims. He didn’t even make the finals. I also should’ve put more trust in Gregorek. After watching his prelim I knew I made a mistake. I guess the other thing that stinks is that even though I did really well with my top 3, everyone else had something similar.
3000
Predictions:
Results:
Pros: What was big about this race was that I predicted the winner correctly. Most had Cheserek(who really should’ve won) but having Jenkinswin was a nice bonus. While I didn’t have the order of the top 4 right, I did have all the rightnames which is something I can’t be upset about. I kept my point deductions to a minimum whichreally helped.
Cons: Kebenei was the only poor decision I made in this race. I wasn’t the only one who had him placing top 5, but a 10th place finish earned me 5 points which offsets the -5 bonus I got from Jenkins being the winner.
5000
Predictions:
Results:
Pros: This was my best race of all of them. I was able to score an excellent 3 points which allowed me to win this race in terms of predictions. Eric Jenkins was a good call for the win but most people predicted that. What really helped me was that Witt hit fourth place just as I had predicted which kept me from racking up a large amount of points. I also had Curtin finishing 5th and he ended up in 8th which is pretty solid considering I could’ve placed him finishing in the top 3 like others did. Parker Stinson was also an excellent choice. Only Gatchell had Stinson in his top 5 as well but I was only 1 place off from correctly predicting Stinson’s finish. Another huge benefit for me was not having Lutz in my top 5. Everyone except me had Lutz in their top 5 which was an excellent call considering he placed 11th.
Cons: I’m really not sure how, but I basically missed Campbell when making my predictions. Maybe I saw that his seed time was slower so I ignored him. Whatever the case may be, I should’ve caught that mistake and had him in my top 5.
DMR
Predictions:
Results:
Pros: There was some good and some bad but it was all very balanced. I was spot on about Penn State’s 2nd place finish. They’ve been coming up short for years now in the DMR and I wasn’t surprised to see it happen again. Georgetown may not have won, but they didn’t bomb it either. They didn’t hurt me too much which was what I wasreally worried about. I can’t say I’m upset about my Oregon pick either. I figured that putting them outside the top 3 would classify me as clinically insane. There was only 2 points worth of damage they could do to me so in retrospect, 3rd place for Oregon wasn’t a bad idea. I will also mention that Stanford wasn’t really a bad pick either. Yes, they did finish dead last, but in terms of point scoring they didn’t hurt me all that much. Everyone had Stanford in their top 5 so that pick wasn’t superdetrimental when comparing my score to the others.
Cons: I severely underrated Villanova. I saw that Dusty Solis was originally going to anchor the DMR and after watching Solis falter at Penn State, I didn’t feel confident about giving them top 5 honors. That was my mistake and I probably should’ve looked into that more since Williamyzsplit a 3:55. Iowa State also came out of nowhere. I underrated Kemboi quite a bit and their anchor was able to stick around with a bunch of fast guys longenough to get them a medal. Duke didn’t come up like I thought they could. Duke has been iffy at the 800 this season and it didn’t help me with them having the 3rd slowest 800 leg in the field (1:50.53) and a 3:00.83 1200 leg (4th slowest).
What I’ve Learned: There were a couple things I learned looking back at it. Some of them were obvious but others reinforced previous mindsets I had before.
Thanks for reading and feel free to provide somefeeback!
Run on,
Garrett
Wow you lucked out on Jenkins with the 3k
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