2017 Prediction Contest

Well, my predictions are now officially out in the open. Now it’s time for you to make your counter offers.

We will host another prediction contest this year for the 2017 PTFCA Indoor State Championships. Here is how it will work. For each of the five distance events we’ve previewed (mile, 800, 3k, DMR, 4x8) you can post either 1) a top five (normal contest) or 2) a top eight projected finishers in the event (super contest). Each prediction is scored based on the following criteria:

a) -3 points for correctly predicting the winner
b) +2 points for each top 5/8 finisher missing from your list
c) You will receive a positive amount of points equal to the difference between your predicted runners finish and the actual finish. For example, if I predict Caleb to get 3rd and he gets 1st, that’s +2. Similarly, if I predict Alex to get 2nd and he gets 7th, that’s +5. That maximum amount of positive points you can receive for any one runner is +8.
d) Lowest score wins

If you are participating in the Etrain Ultimate Fan Challenge (which offers the chance to win free t-shirts for you and your teammates), this competition can get you points. If you are competing in the normal contest (i.e. top 5), for every event that you score better than Etrain, you will get 3 points in the UFC. For every event you score better than Etrain in the super contest (top 8), you will get 5 points in the UFC.

That means you can receive as many as 25 points for the UFC which, considering our current leader has 9 points, would be a big swing. So best of luck to all! Hope to see your predictions posted shortly.

12 comments:

  1. 4x8:
    1. State College
    2. CB West
    3. Germantown Friends
    4. Carlisle
    5. CB East
    6. Pennsbury
    7. North Penn
    8. Abington

    Mile:
    1. Noah Affolder
    2. Sam Affolder
    3. Evan Addison
    4. Tristan Forsythe
    5. Liam Conway
    6. Brandon Hontz
    7. Josh Higgins
    8. James Abrahams

    800:
    1. Josh Hoey
    2. Noah Affolder
    3. Nick Wagner
    4. Ryan Thrush
    5. Peter Cooke
    6. Kamil Jihad
    7. Isaiah Bailey
    8. Matt Kraus

    3000:
    1. Nate Henderson
    2. Zach Lefever
    3. Connor McMenamin
    4. Ben Bumgarner
    5. Noah Beveridge
    6. Seth Slavin
    7. Rusty Kujdych
    8. Will Griffen

    DMR:
    1. Germantown Friends
    2. Council Rock North
    3. LaSalle
    4. Cardinal O’Hara
    5. Carlisle
    6. West Chester Henderson
    7. Lower Merion
    8. State College

    -Jiminy Cricket

    ReplyDelete
  2. 4x8
    GF
    Penn
    CBW
    SC
    Carlisle

    1600
    N. Affolder
    Sam Affolder
    Addison
    Hontz
    Forsyth

    800
    Hoey
    Jihad
    Afforder
    Delisle
    Cooke

    3K
    Henderson
    Rudy K.
    McNenamin
    Leffer
    Baumganer

    DMR
    GF
    CRN
    Carlisle
    COH
    Henderson

    RCF

    ReplyDelete
  3. 4x800
    Germantown Friends
    Pensbury
    State College
    Central Bucks West
    Carlisle

    1600m
    Noah Affolder
    Sam Affolder
    Tristan Forsythe
    Brandon Hontz
    Liam Conway

    800
    Josh Hoey
    Noah Affolder
    Ryan Thrush
    Nick Wagner
    Isiah Bailey

    3k
    Ben Bumgarner
    Nathan Henderson
    Rusty Kudjych
    Seth Slavin
    Noah Beveridge

    DMR
    Carlisle
    Germantown friends
    Cardinal O'Hara
    Council Rock North
    Central Bucks West

    ReplyDelete
  4. Mile

    Noah Affolder
    Sam Affolder
    Evan Addison
    Liam Conway
    Brandon Hontz
    James Abrahams
    Tristan Forsythe
    Sean Brown

    800

    Noah Affolder
    Josh Hoey
    Joe Cullen
    Ryan Thrush
    Jake Claricurzio
    Kamil Jihad
    Matt Kraus
    Hudson Delisle

    3k

    Rusty K
    Nathan Henderson
    Connor McMenamin
    Noah Beveridge
    Ben Bumgarner
    Zack Lefever
    Matt Scarpill
    WIll Griffen

    4x8

    Carlisle
    CB East
    Germantown Friends
    CB West
    Pennsbury
    State College
    Abington
    Seneca Valley

    DMR

    Carlisle
    Council Rock North
    O’Hara
    Germantown Friends
    La Salle
    WC Henderson
    State College
    DT West

    ReplyDelete
  5. Mile:

    Noah Affolder
    Evan Addison
    Sam Affolder
    Conway
    Forsythe

    4x8

    Carlisle
    GFS
    State College
    CB West
    Pennsbury

    800
    Hoey
    Affolder
    Jihad
    Thrush
    Wagner

    3k
    Henderson
    Bumgarner
    Kudjych
    McMenamin
    Lefever

    DMR

    GFS
    CRN
    La Salle
    Carlisle
    OHara

    - DK

    ReplyDelete
  6. My predictions are based on reading that Carlisle is going all out for the team championship so I’m figuring the Affolders are in 4 x 800, Mile, 800 (N only) and the DMR. Shanahan is a contender too but the talk is Hoey is going 800 (and probably the 4x400). It wouldn’t be surprising if Hoey were in the 4x800 though since Shanahan could definitely pick up some points in this event. But I’m taking a chance and going all in on Carlisle for my predictions.

    4 x 800

    If I were Carlisle I’d be going after this 4x800 for 10 points out of the gate, and if they do go after it I think they’ll win it going away. It’d be great theatre if Dahl and N Affolder got the baton dead even on the anchor but it just doesn’t seem likely.

    Carlisle
    Pennsbury
    GFS
    State College
    CBW

    Mile

    This has the potential to be a really weird race. You have to figure the Affolders will be left to set the tone so they’re likely going out comfortable and nobody really pushes the pace early. Hopefully somebody not named Affolder starts pushing it by lap 4 but if not it might be a sprint over the final 400. If one of the speedsters has a huge day he might split the Affolders in the last 200, but I’m guessing S Affolder wins it as his brother cruises through the line saving what he can for the 800.

    S Affolder
    N Affolder
    Conway
    Addison
    Forsyth

    800

    Assuming the speculation is true and Hoey doesn’t run the 4x800, he should take this one, but this races has at least 12 guys who could realistically be in the top 5 with a good day.

    Hoey
    Wagner
    N Affolder
    Thrush
    Cooke

    3000

    Henderson
    Kujdych
    McMenamin
    Baurgarner
    Beveridge

    DMR

    It will be interesting to see where Carlisle stands when this one comes around, especially with the teams in contention that have the 4x400 left. They will need a huge effort to still be in it at this point and an even bigger effort to come away with some points in this late race. I’m always hoping for the huge historical effort so I’m optimistic Carlisle will do something special here. That said, they’re still facing great PA competition. But even with the Affolders coming back for their 3rd and 4th races of the day, they could still go sub 10:20 if the team championship is on the line. Who can match that? Probably only GFS but I’m not sure they’ll have enough.

    Carlisle
    GFS
    O’Hara
    WCH
    CBW

    -RJJL

    ReplyDelete
  7. What's up with Etrain's Hontz bromance? He's solid, but he'll need to run two sub 4:20 miles to get the mile and DMR predictions. That'd be an incredible day for a guy who's never done it once before.

    4x800

    Pennsbury
    GFS
    State College
    Carsile
    Shanahan

    Mile
    N Affolder
    S Affolder
    Forsythe
    Conway
    Hontz

    800

    N Affolder
    Hoey
    Cullen
    Jihad
    McDermott

    3000

    Griffen
    Bumgarnder
    Henderson
    Beveridge
    Scarpill

    DMR

    GFS
    Carlisle
    CBW
    O'Hara
    WCH

    Fast Steve

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Fast Steve, who is McDermott in the 800? Am I missing a name? My apologies if so

      Delete
  8. 4x8:
    1. State College
    2. Carlisle
    3. Germantown Friends
    4. CB West
    5. CB East
    6. Pennsbury
    7. North Penn
    8. Abington

    Mile:
    1. Noah Affolder
    2. Liam Conway
    3. Sam Affolder
    4. Evan Addison
    5. Tristan Forsythe
    6. Brandon Hontz
    7. Josh Higgins
    8. James Abrahams

    800:
    1. Josh Hoey
    2. Noah Affolder
    3. Nick Wagner
    4. Ryan Thrush
    5. Peter Cooke
    6. Kamil Jihad
    7. Isaiah Bailey
    8. Matt Kraus

    3000:
    1. Nate Henderson
    2. Zach Lefever
    3. Connor McMenamin
    4. Rusty Kujdych
    5. Seth Slavin
    6. Ben Bumgarner
    7. Noah Beveridge
    8. Matt Scarpill

    DMR:
    1. Germantown Friends
    2. Council Rock North
    3. State College
    4. LaSalle
    5. West Chester Henderson
    6. Cardinal O’Hara
    7. Carlisle
    8. Lower Merion

    -Claig by Claig

    ReplyDelete
  9. This meet should be held outside today. They better open every door and window possible because it's going to be warm in there.

    Mile

    N Affolder
    Forsyth
    Hontz
    S Affolder
    Abrahams

    800

    N Affolder
    Wagner
    Hoey
    Cooke
    Baily

    3000

    Henderson
    Lefever
    Slavin
    McMenamin
    Rusty

    4x800

    GFS
    State College
    CB West
    Pennsbury
    Carlisle

    DMR

    GFS
    O'Hara
    Henderson
    CRN
    LaSalle

    - Tad

    ReplyDelete