Official Prediction Contest (with Links to Previews)

Here is how this will work. Each person has gets $400 (not literally of course). I assign some dollar values to all the runners in the distance events and you choose how to use that money to "buy" runners for states and build your team. Then scoring works just like it does at the state meet. If your runner gets 1st, that's 10 points, second is 8 points, then 6-5-4-3-2-1 up through 8th. Here is the dollar values to pick from (remember to attach some type of code name so we can keep track of how everyone did):

Mile
Ritz $100
James $85
Brophy $85
McDevitt $65
Webb $65
Kolor $55
Shinn $30
Galligan** $25
Degroot-Lutzner $25
Diestellow $25
Wills $20
Weidner $10
Seel $10
Other $5

800m
Ritz $80
Lewis $90
Graca $90
Sauer $85
Eddinger $65
Foust $50
Samuels $30
Hackman $35
Strosko $35
Wisner $35
Wagner $20
Wolfinger $10
Other $5

3000m
Hockenbury $85
McGoey $85
Comber $90
Loevner $60
Wharrey $60
Gunzenhauser $55
Tidball $40
Gebhart $45
Heinauer $30
Power $30
Abert $30
Susalla $15
Knapp $10

4x800m
Pennsbury $95
Penncrest $85
LaSalle $85
CB West $75
State College $70
Pennridge $50
Abington $50
Strath Haven $30
Neshaminy $30
Altoona $45
Bensalem $10
Wissahickon $10

DMR
O'Hara $85
St. Joe's $80
Stoga $85
GFS $70
Malvern Prep $75
DT West $60
CB East $70
Bonner $40
CR South $35
WC Henderson $15
Twin Valley $15
CR North $15

If you have any questions, comments, concerns you know where to reach me. Good luck to all and I will post up my own squad at some point soon.

39 comments:

  1. Team RXC

    Mile:
    James-$85
    McDevitt-$65

    800:
    Foust-$50
    Wisner-$35

    3000:
    Abert-$30
    Gebhert-$45
    Knapp-$10

    DMR:
    SJP-$80

    ReplyDelete
  2. CM 1
    Nice concept:
    DMR-
    Stoga-$85
    GFS-$70
    WCH-$15
    800-
    Wolfinger-$20
    Wagner-$10
    Other-$5
    Mile-
    James-$85
    Webb-$65
    Other-$5
    3k
    Abert-$30
    Knapp-$10

    ReplyDelete
  3. 3V

    Mile:
    James $85
    Webb $65

    800:
    Graca $90

    4x8:
    CB West $75

    DMR:
    O'hara $85

    ReplyDelete
  4. Bluebird:

    Mile: Ritz $100
    800m: Lewis $90, Hackman $35
    3000m: Power $30
    4x800m: SC $70
    DMR: Malvern Prep $75

    ReplyDelete
  5. Mile:
    Weidner $10
    Kolor $55
    Shinn $30

    800m:
    Wisner $35
    Strosko $35
    Wolfinger $10

    3000M:
    Gebhart $45
    Power $30

    4x8:
    State College $70

    DMR:
    St. Joe's $80

    ReplyDelete
  6. Team Cheap

    3k
    Power 30
    Abert 30
    McGoey 85

    Mile
    Brophy 85

    800
    Sauer 85

    DMR
    GFS 70
    CR North 15

    ReplyDelete
  7. AL16

    Mile:
    James $85
    Other $5

    3000:
    Susalla $15
    Gebhart $45

    800:
    Eddinger $65
    Foust $50




    4x800:
    CB West $75

    DMR:
    DT West $60



    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Actually, Etrain, I'll take Wharrey in the 3k instead.

      --AL16

      Delete
    2. Mile
      James
      Diestelow
      Other

      800
      Wolfinger
      Other

      3000
      Abert
      Knapp

      DMR
      OH
      Stoga
      DT West

      Wrong Way

      Delete
  8. Are any of the 800 runners NOT AAA for outdoors?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If I'm not mistaken, Ritz is not PIAA and Hackman, Lutzner and Koryak are AA for track (A for XC)

      Delete
    2. Think any of those non AAA guys have a good shot at medaling or even placing top 5, outside of Ritz, in the 8?

      Delete
    3. Lutzner is on the double from the mile (where I think he could medal), so it will be difficult for him to medal. Hackman and Koryak are both very capable of medaling. Hackman is in the fast heat so if he can hang tough with that fast pace, he will be in the medals. Koryak could win Heat 2, an achievement that would likely result in a medal for him as well.

      Delete
  9. Mile:
    James 85$

    3000:
    Wharrey $60
    Power $30

    4x800:
    La Salle $85
    Neshaminy: $30

    DMR:
    Malvern Prep $75
    CR South: $35

    -NJD

    ReplyDelete
  10. Mile
    McDevitt $65

    800
    Lewis $90

    3000
    Gebhart $45
    McGoey $85

    DMR
    St Joe's $80

    4x800
    Strath Haven $30

    -GBC

    ReplyDelete
  11. I'm making the following picks for my squad (I'm aware that if my team does well it has a big asterix next to it considering I made up all the monetary values, but hey I want to play too!)
    CBW 4x8
    Hock, Geb, Susalla, Knapp in the 3k
    Stoga DMR
    KJ in the Mile (and I'm not Sam Hinkie so I won't be trading him for a 2nd round pick)

    Feel free to check my math, I make a remarkable amount of mistakes for someone who majored in math

    Good luck to everyone at states (especially those who I just picked)
    -train

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hey if I throw in Canaan is it a deal?

      Delete
    2. You and I are the only remaining people interested in the Sixers ....

      Delete
  12. D6 Legend
    Mile
    Ritz-100
    James-85
    Other(Power)-5
    800
    Wolfinger-10
    3k
    Hockenbury-85
    Abert-30
    DMR
    OHara-85

    ReplyDelete
  13. Comber - 90
    Stoga - 85
    James - 85
    Knapp - 10
    CRN - 15
    Penncrest - 85
    Abert - 30

    - TKparklife

    ReplyDelete
  14. False Start

    Mile
    Mcdevitt 65
    Diestelow 25
    Seel 10

    800
    Eddinger 65
    Wisner 35
    Foust 50
    Hong 5

    3k
    Wharrey 60

    4x8
    State College 70

    DMR
    Council Rock North 15

    ReplyDelete
  15. mile
    Ritz $100

    800
    Lewis $90

    3k
    Hockenbury $85
    Gebhart $45

    DMR
    St. Joe's $80

    ReplyDelete
  16. Team ODNAN

    Mile
    Webb $65

    800m
    Lewis $90
    Hackman $35
    Foust $50

    3000m
    Power $30
    Abert $30

    4x800m
    State College $70
    Altoona $45

    DMR
    WC Henderson $15

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. double check your math, I think that u may be using $430?

      Delete
    2. Team ODNAN

      Sorry, drop Abert from the 3000m

      Delete
  17. Squad MRD

    800m-Eddinger $65

    3k-Gebhart $45, Power $30, Tidball $40

    DMR- GFS $70, Stoga $85

    Mile- McDevitt $65

    ReplyDelete
  18. Suzy W

    800 - Lewis $90
    Mile - Ritz $100, Weidner $10
    4x8 - SC $70
    DMR - CB East $70
    3K - Wharrey $60

    ReplyDelete
  19. Mile
    Webb $65
    Shinn $30
    Diestellow $25

    800m
    Foust $50
    Hackman $35
    Wisner $35

    3000m
    Tidball $40
    Gebhart $45

    DMR
    Malvern Prep $75

    - GENELE

    ReplyDelete
  20. Mile: mcdevitt 65
    800: lewis 90
    Foust 50
    3k: knapp 10
    Power 30
    DMR: GFS 70
    4 by 8: pennsbury 85

    Bmoc

    ReplyDelete
  21. Team hawk

    800
    Lewis $90
    Other $5

    1600
    Degroot-Luzner $25
    Webb $65

    3000
    Abert $20
    Knapp $10
    Power $30
    Loevner $60

    4x8
    LaSalle $85

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Just FYI, the other is for anyone I didn't list, but you can only pick one individual from the other category for 5, as opposed to all the others. Sorry for not making that clear originally.

      Also my math said you have 390, so feel free to use that 10 somewhere additionally

      Delete
  22. TEAM MOM

    800
    eddinger $65

    mile
    ritz $100

    3000
    comber $90
    power $30
    abert $30

    DMR
    stoga $85

    ReplyDelete
  23. Mile
    Ritz – $100

    800
    Lewis – $90

    3000
    Power – $30

    4x800
    Pennsbury – $95

    DMR
    Stoga - $85

    - RJJL

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That's it RJJL? Just picks, no analysis? And why not Knapp in the 3K, he's a steal at $10 bucks and you if anyone should know that.

      Delete
    2. Ok, lots of intrigue at this state meet which made Etrain’s play money tough to budget. After laying out my fake money these are my predictions:

      Mile – Not to put any unnecessary pressure on the guy, but this should be all Ritz. I’ve read the talk this year about doubling and burn out and I’m not buying it. I believe he’s run a similar indoor schedule for running big mile races as Willig, Huemmler and Russell….though Etrain with his institutional knowledge can correct me! But he just seems to be a class above the competition right now.

      He’s got a 10 second lead on paper. He’s got 1:52 indoor 800 speed and most impressive, he can go 1:57 after going out in 2:20. The only guy I see with a chance to beat him is James and the only way I can see that getting done is if he pushes the pace from the gun, which is a huge disadvantage, but probably his only option as it’s unlikely he’s going to outkick Ritz. My guess is it goes out tentative like in 2013 and Ritz just hangs back through three laps and takes over, James tries to match him and puts up a valiant effort but in the end its:

      Ritz – 4:13
      James – 4:15
      Brophy – 4:17
      Webb – 4:19
      McDevitt – 4:19

      800 - I was real pleasantly surprised to see Lewis give up the 400. Lewis fresh, Ritz trying to complete the double. I’ve always been skeptical of the double at states, the competition is too good and there’s too great a risk of being disappointed in both races. I do think James will force Ritz to go very hard for the mile gold and Ritz should make that race his priority, therefore he’ll be at a little worn against the fresh guys who have him in their sights. So, this one is all Lewis. Yes, Graca is on a role but Lewis is a beast at this event.

      Lewis – 1:51.9
      Graca – 1:53.1
      Ritz – 1:53.9
      Sauer – 1:54.0
      Foust – 1:54.6

      3000 – I’m a little disappointed that James dropped the 3K for the mile. I realize it’s the better option to run the earlier and shorter mile for doubling back to the DMR. But if this 3K were the only event he was running, he’d be my favorite to win by a decent margin. The guy has had an incredible career and a state championships would be a nice way to close out his indoor season. He’s still got a decent shot in both the mile and DMR, but this 3K just seemed set up nicely for him. But……he’s not in this race. So, Hockenbury is pretty far out in front coming in but there’s a lot of talent in the pack that hasn’t really come into top form yet. I’m expecting a tight pack but maybe someone will have a breakout race like Norris and Martin the past two years, I just don't know who it is.

      Power – 8:35
      Hockenbury – 8:36
      McGoey – 8:38
      Comber – 8:42
      Loevner – 8:43

      4x800 –

      Pennsbury – 7:52
      LaSalle – 7:54
      Penncrest – 7:54
      CBW – 7:58
      State College – 7:59

      DMR – I really like that St Joe’s, Stoga and GFS gave up the individual events to go for it all. It’s gutsy and should make for a great race. But, only one team can get the victory. I think the Stoga guys are a well rounded team, clicking and due for a drop.

      Stoga – 10:22
      St. Joes – 10:25
      OH – 10:26
      GFS – 10:27
      DWest – 10:30

      Delete
    3. RJJL I'm afraid you're way off. James for double gold, and Hockenbury will win big.

      Delete
  24. Team Sam Hinkie's Pinky

    Mile
    Brophy - $85

    800
    Graca - $90
    Wisner - $35
    Other: Wilson - $5
    Other: Jihad - $5

    3k
    Abert - $30
    Susalla - $15
    Knapp - $10
    Gebhart - $45

    DMR
    St. Joe's - $80

    ReplyDelete
  25. DirtWolf

    Mile
    Ritz - $100
    McDevitt - $65

    800
    Lewis - $90

    3000
    Comber - $90

    4x800
    LaSalle - $85

    DMR
    GFS - $70

    ReplyDelete